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Posted on 7/31/24 at 11:29 pm to Mr Roboto
Oh boy....GFS 11 PM model shows a Cat 3 hurricane hitting Biloxi next Thursday.
Posted on 7/31/24 at 11:29 pm to Mr Roboto
0z GFS has an insane run where it never makes landfall. Sits offshore Panama City from Monday to Wednesday stalling out and intensifying to then drifts back south and west towards the Miss/La by Friday as a major hurricane
This post was edited on 7/31/24 at 11:31 pm
Posted on 7/31/24 at 11:30 pm to Mr Roboto
What in the actual frick? Massive chaos if this played out
Bamafig
Bamafig
This post was edited on 7/31/24 at 11:34 pm
Posted on 7/31/24 at 11:32 pm to TrigSwig
quote:
Oh boy....GFS 11 PM model shows a Cat 3 hurricane hitting Biloxi next Thursday.
that model run sucks
I'd rather be in the bullseye right now than later
Posted on 7/31/24 at 11:32 pm to lsugolfredman
A few of the other models are hinting at this same stalling scenario. Not good. The next 24 to 72 hours will be very interesting as this begins to hit the local news markets tomorrow AM.
Posted on 7/31/24 at 11:35 pm to lsugolfredman
Everyone along the gulf coast would have no way of getting insurance ever again if that run would ever verify.
Posted on 7/31/24 at 11:36 pm to SWLA92
quote:
Everyone along the gulf coast would have no way of getting insurance ever again if that run would ever verify.
for real. MS Gulf Coast would just get reclaimed back by nature
Posted on 7/31/24 at 11:40 pm to gaetti15
quote:
that model run sucks I'd rather be in the bullseye right now than later
400 mile wide bullseye on that run
Posted on 7/31/24 at 11:42 pm to lsugolfredman
quote:
400 mile wide bullseye on that run
can be taken so many ways. I mean if that thing were to really sit near the coast of FL, strengthen, then approach anything near LA/MS border....
talk about screwing everything from Panama City to New Orleans East with wind/especially flood damage
Posted on 7/31/24 at 11:54 pm to Dissident Aggressor
quote:
nola needs a cleansing…
nola needs to keep their trash in nola. Not repeats of Katrina. I don't even know if any cities would open their doors for any refugees again after past experiences.
Posted on 8/1/24 at 12:01 am to lsugolfredman
You couldn't ask for a shittier setup than what produces that run. It had an absolute breakdown of all steering. The trough has made it to the East coast before the system is even fully off of Cuba. It feels the pull a bit, but pretty much misses the front entirely. It slows down, a ridge builds to the west of it causing it to drift. With favorable conditions to work with, it strengthens.
Just all around shite.
ETA: The 500mb level tells it all on that one.
Just all around shite.
ETA: The 500mb level tells it all on that one.
This post was edited on 8/1/24 at 12:03 am
Posted on 8/1/24 at 12:23 am to LegendInMyMind
That would be an absolute disaster for most of the gulf coast. No way that verifies. This thing could still be an east coast storm. Getting unlikely but still possible.
Posted on 8/1/24 at 1:28 am to LegendInMyMind
Love how the GFS has it sit off the panhandle as a small storm and then when it puts it in reverse it blows up like a new bride with a thyroid disorder waddling toward Biloxi.
Posted on 8/1/24 at 1:45 am to BOSCEAUX
The 00z Canadian continues the trend with a little shift to the south which puts it a little farther west into the Gulf, staying over water instead of riding the coast along the FL peninsula. It still has it getting swept up by the trough and turning NE across GA. The main takeaway from this run is that the Canadian has come in line more with the GFS and Euro in regards to the path closer to Cuba.
This post was edited on 8/1/24 at 1:46 am
Posted on 8/1/24 at 1:56 am to BuddyRoeaux
Contraflow starting Monday?
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