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re: TORNADO!!! Pine Belt Tornado preliminary rating of EF-4 with 1 fatality

Posted on 4/17/20 at 3:07 pm to
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 3:07 pm to
NWS Birmingham didn't even bother with the word "possible" in the enhanced region
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147126 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 3:21 pm to
quote:

NWS Jackson MS @NWSJacksonMS
Severe thunderstorms are likely Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening. The main threat will be for damaging winds up to 60-70mph, large hail up to tennis ball size, and a few tornadoes.

1-3 inches of rain will also be possible which could lead to flash flooding.



Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147126 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 3:24 pm to
quote:

NWS New Orleans @NWSNewOrleans
Here's the latest on the potential for severe weather this upcoming Sunday. Confidence continues to increase that strong to severe storms will be possible Sunday & Sunday night with more widespread severe storms along and N of I-10/12. Stay tuned for more updates #lawx #mswx




Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147126 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 3:26 pm to
quote:

NWS Shreveport @NWSShreveport
Severe thunderstorm potential will ramp up late Saturday night, and continue through much of the daytime hours on Sunday. The severe threat will increase by/after daybreak Sunday mainly over East Texas, North Louisiana, and over extreme Southern Arkansas.



Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147126 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 3:28 pm to
Both NWS Shreveport & NWS Lake Charles are holding FB Live updates of the potential for severe weather this weekend RIGHT NOW
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147126 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 9:18 pm to
the weather's starting to come together

some thunderstorms by Shreveport and by the TX/LA border by Jasper... and a potent bit of thunderstorm in east Arkansas

nothing severe at the moment... hopefully it stays that way for tonight and tomorrow before the heavy stuff is supposed to come on Sunday
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147126 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 9:41 pm to
Posted by Crimson1st
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2010
21120 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 9:43 pm to
quote:

Weird how the frequency of tornadoes has increased in Dixie Alley over the last decade or so. Tornadoes were synonymous with the Midwest for years now it’s more prevalent in the southern part of the country.




Not true at all. You have a bias because when it is the climatological time of year for tornadoes to happen in this region, you deal with them thus they seem to be prevalent. When the pattern shifts to another region, you don't deal with them, thus it seems the rate is not as high...that is to those who don't follow things like this, which I assume you don't to make the post you did in the first place.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147126 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 10:35 pm to
I'm already seeing lightning & thunder here in Ellick

gonna be an interesting weekend
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51714 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 8:12 am to




Posted by Pisco
Mayfield, Kentucky
Member since Dec 2019
4442 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 8:36 am to
My sister is on the northern edge of the enhanced risk. My stepdads kids and grandkids are in Metter, GA so they’re in the path. We’ll just have to wait and see
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
115436 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 8:39 am to
Looks like I-12 is the southern edge of the enhanced region.
Posted by El Magnifico
La casa de tu mamá
Member since Jan 2014
7017 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 8:54 am to
[quote]
Weird how the frequency of tornadoes has increased in Dixie Alley over the last decade or so.[quote]
This is a good explanation:
LINK
Posted by Dale Doubak
Somewhere
Member since Jan 2012
6000 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 10:19 am to
Like I said 60% this morning......nothing. Looks like none today. Tomorrow dropped from 80% to 50% I’d bet none. Losers
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147126 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 10:28 am to
Saturday morning update for Sunday... still an enhanced area

quote:

NWS SPC @NWSSPC
1:06am CDT #SPC Day2 Outlook Enhanced Risk: from the sabine river eastward into south carolina SPC Outlook Page




and even a marginal possibility for severe weather still for today

quote:

NWS SPC @NWSSPC
7:54am CDT #SPC Day1 Outlook Slight Risk: over portions of central and southeastern florida SPC Outlook Page


Posted by BigB0882
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
5422 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 10:30 am to
Do you realize what a dick you sound like? Multiple people died last Sunday. Sorry a tornado didn’t hit your house. They can’t pinpoint exactly where these systems will develop the strongest storms but don’t pretend they were way off.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147126 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 10:35 am to
quote:

Do you realize what a dick you sound like? Multiple people died last Sunday. Sorry a tornado didn’t hit your house. They can’t pinpoint exactly where these systems will develop the strongest storms but don’t pretend they were way off.

pssst... don't tell him in rained in Metairie in the early morning hours this morning

it'll kill his "all weather people are wrong" narrative
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75157 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 10:41 am to
quote:

This is a good explanation:
LINK

That was....umm, that was, I guess it was entertaining. And a bit scary. And, well....befuddlement may just be the right word for what I am after reading that thread.
Posted by BPTiger
Atlanta
Member since Oct 2011
6218 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 11:18 am to
quote:

Weird how the frequency of tornadoes has increased in Dixie Alley over the last decade or so.[quote] This is a good explanation: LINK


In. Crafting tin foil hat now.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147126 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 12:29 pm to
NWS Jackson already talking about a system for Wednesday/Thursday too
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