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re: The Great Flood of 2016: Fill Out Disaster Forms NOW. Link Inside!

Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:28 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21544 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:28 pm to
quote:

quote:
More rain this week though

true! more so concerned with overnight, though.


Overnight actually looks pretty good and tomorrow looks about like today, spotty storms that could dump some localized heavy rain. Beyond that, the next 7 - 10 days look pretty normal for this time of year to maybe a tad on the dry side. Biggest caveat, the Western Pacific looks to stay jacked up with a steady stream of disturbances and typhoons recurving up to the high latitudes. That can make the downstream pattern over N. America pretty unstable beyond 5 days or so.
Posted by Fatty Magoo
USA
Member since Nov 2015
1029 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:28 pm to
4000 building is at Sherwood and North Lake Sherwood Ave.
Posted by learnthehardway
B.R./Northshore
Member since Oct 2007
10023 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:28 pm to
I'm off Norwood road at Henderson bayou rd. We have been high and dry so far. Should I expect that to change overnight?
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147160 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:28 pm to
just an aside... anything I put quotation marks around is police scanner chatter
Posted by Hammertime
Will trade dowsing rod for titties
Member since Jan 2012
43031 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:28 pm to
quote:

Someone else who has been in the swamps said he doesn't think they can hold that much water.
It is a huge area, so water will be able to dissipate, but the levee that I've walked over on the west side is only like 2-3ft higher than the actual water in the swamp. I believe the other side of 30 has water though
Posted by hedgehog
Prairieville
Member since Oct 2006
2495 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:28 pm to
I live on Swamp Rd and we are all good.
Posted by KamaCausey_LSU
Member since Apr 2013
17695 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:28 pm to
quote:

It's all about watershed. The swamp wasn't being fed by the large areas that the bayou is. It was an isolated area self contained. Now it is being bed by manchac. And is filling up.


I asked it earlier but I didn't see a clear answer. Where is the water going into Spanish Lake? Is it from overtopping Manchac Rd?

Where we're at in St. Gabriel/Bayou Paul area it's Spanish Lake that I am concerned about. There is a canal that drains Plaquemine Point/Sunshine into Spanish Lake (I think) that is probably the only thing that could flood us.
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
78366 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:29 pm to
You think Oak Alley and Legacy Hills will be ok?
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:29 pm to
quote:

Basically this... people see their locations barely budging when the true rate of input is being sent into the swamp


There are a ton of bayous leading out of the swamp to the south. If the swamp really is overflowing then those bayous should be too and theoretically the amount of water going through the swamp could be endless.

No one knows if the swamp is filling. It is just a theory as to why we haven't seen any back filling of bayou fountain
Posted by TigerNation01
Death Valley
Member since May 2010
281 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:30 pm to
Summerwood on Burbank is okay. Bayou Fountain in the back has remained at the same height since early afternoon.
This post was edited on 8/14/16 at 9:31 pm
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147160 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:30 pm to
Main and Acadian... possible male shot at the location
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10129 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:31 pm to
A theory that seems to make some sense. Highland/burbank taking in a good bit of water. Burbank/Bluebonnet is relatively dry. Why?
Posted by Puck82
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2009
23949 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:31 pm to
quote:

understand a swamp is low, water migrates there and during a flood it fills up, but it had already taken over a foot of rain so it wasn't empty.


It wasn't empty no. But it also wasn't at capacity either. Think of it like a lock and damn. The water had two ways to go. It will soon only have one avenue with the same flow that two channels were supporting
Posted by BeerMoney
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2012
8925 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:31 pm to
Anyone know anything about Bellingrath Estates? My inlaws came out of there to my house. They can't get any news. Figured TD would have something in the last 6-12 hours?
Posted by Clark W Griswold
THE USA
Member since Sep 2012
10937 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:31 pm to
Santa Maria isn't too bad. Water in road but haven't seen in houses taking it in. Trapped in there though unless you have a boat. Houses along Old Perkins under water and Manchac has risen so high it's from blue bayou to bluff rd almost.
Posted by MiloDanglers
on a dock on a bay
Member since Apr 2012
6558 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:32 pm to
quote:

Basically this... people see their locations barely budging when the true rate of input is being sent into the swamp


Again, why wont it stay there? At least until the backflow ahead it it ceases
Posted by chRxis
None of your fricking business
Member since Feb 2008
27939 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:33 pm to
quote:

Oak Alley and Legacy Hills

the right hand side (when looking from the entrance) of LH may see some water, if/when the water does get down to this part of Ascension.... OA, not so much... OA South, though, their entrance was flooded Friday night, and out of those 3, they'd be my pick for most likely to flood...
Posted by tke857
Member since Jan 2012
12195 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:33 pm to
What we are seeing is Backflow Flooding through the drainage system. If bayou fountain tops over then there has been some serious effing flooding going on.

Posted by OldTigahFot
Drinkin' with the rocket scientists
Member since Jan 2012
10507 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:34 pm to
I am in Houston and thus removed from the action. But I have kids & grandkids in Zachary and Central. Let me just say big props to everyone who has been participating in this discussion. There is more valuable and pertinent information in this one thread than has been disseminated in the entire mainstream media this weekend. and prayers & best wishes to all of you.

Posted by supernovasky
Member since Jul 2012
588 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:34 pm to
quote:

quote:
Basically this... people see their locations barely budging when the true rate of input is being sent into the swamp


Again, why wont it stay there? At least until the backflow ahead it it ceases



It will, just at some point the input will be higher than the output, at least according to the flood maps and the description of what happens when the Amite hits 16'. I am curious - are any of you actually in the area to watch it? Especially Burbank or Highland and Bluebonnet - that is the area I think should be flooding about now.
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