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The futurist stories are fun to read: "It won't be pretty"
Posted on 1/6/20 at 11:10 am
Posted on 1/6/20 at 11:10 am
Warning: Vanity Fair
While I certainly agree that we will face some changes, I think the job loss will be overblown. This same article touts the jobs created by new technology, while making dire predictions that future technology won't create jobs.
While I certainly agree that we will face some changes, I think the job loss will be overblown. This same article touts the jobs created by new technology, while making dire predictions that future technology won't create jobs.
quote:
technological changes that would take place over the next century would be more rapid-fire than the technological changes that had taken place over the past 20,000 years.
quote:
According to one study by researchers at Oxford Economics, robots will likely take over 20 million manufacturing jobs around the globe by 2030 alone. A McKinsey report in 2017 was much more dire, predicting the loss of as many as 800 million jobs globally by 2030. It isn’t just truck drivers and pizza delivery people who will be replaced by artificial intelligence algorithms; the carnage will hit every career imaginable.
Accountants might be the first to go. Lawyers who aren’t on the bench, who create legal documents, could be next. Journalists who write the sports stories or Wall Street updates are easily replaced by a bit of machine learning. Actors will be replaced by CGI versions. Netflix will be able to create 50 editions of a single show with characters who are black or white, Asian or African, young or old, depending on the demographics they’re trying to reach.
Posted on 1/6/20 at 11:12 am to Bjorn Cyborg
quote:
Actors will be replaced by CGI versions
Already being done. Princess Leia leading the rebellion from beyond the grave.
Posted on 1/6/20 at 11:13 am to Tiguar
quote:
Princess Leia leading the rebellion from beyond the grave.
Unused footage from TLJ/TFA. Not CGI (for the most part)
This post was edited on 1/6/20 at 11:14 am
Posted on 1/6/20 at 11:14 am to Bjorn Cyborg
quote:
Netflix will be able to create 50 editions of a single show with characters who are black or white, Asian or African, young or old, depending on the demographics they’re trying to reach.
This is trying to suggest that a pallete swap is all that differs between us
Posted on 1/6/20 at 11:15 am to Tiguar
quote:Maybe this will finally put an end to Awards Shows and the near illiterates pontificating on all things political and sociological.
Actors will be replaced by CGI versions
Already being done. Princess Leia leading the rebellion from beyond the grave.
Posted on 1/6/20 at 11:19 am to theunknownknight
while true, it will be used as a launching point.
The technology is there. I give it 10 years before actors are being told to learn to code.
The technology is there. I give it 10 years before actors are being told to learn to code.
Posted on 1/6/20 at 11:27 am to Bjorn Cyborg
quote:Wait until this guy hears about cartoons
Netflix will be able to create 50 editions of a single show with characters who are black or white, Asian or African, young or old, depending on the demographics they’re trying to reach.
Posted on 1/6/20 at 11:43 am to fr33manator
quote:
This is trying to suggest that a pallete swap is all that differs between us
i like a sweater vest, some prefer a suicide vest. we're not so different.
Posted on 1/6/20 at 11:49 am to Bjorn Cyborg
quote:
technological changes that would take place over the next century would be more rapid-fire than the technological changes that had taken place over the past 20,000 years.
This is true
Just think of materials science advancement?
How long between wood to stone?
Stone to copper?
Copper to bronze?
Bronze to iron?
Iron to steel?
Now think of computer technologies?
More and more innovations are coming and at much more rapid paces
This post was edited on 1/6/20 at 11:51 am
Posted on 1/6/20 at 11:49 am to Bjorn Cyborg
Historically, new tech has created more jobs than it replaced. But there's no assurance that that is inevitable in the future.
On the other hand, with new technology, we should be able to take care of people efficiently. Amidst the howls of "socialism" (which is government ownership of business, not social programs - ahem) we'll have to do that.
On the other hand, with new technology, we should be able to take care of people efficiently. Amidst the howls of "socialism" (which is government ownership of business, not social programs - ahem) we'll have to do that.
Posted on 1/6/20 at 11:52 am to Overbrook
quote:
we should be able to take care of people efficiently. Amidst the howls of "socialism" (which is government ownership of business, not social programs - ahem) we'll have to do that.
Why does “we” always mean the government? Why can’t it be charities, churches, non-profits, and the like?
Posted on 1/6/20 at 11:54 am to Bjorn Cyborg
I always find these articles to be a bit sensationalized and overblown. Kind of like the ones that say the planet will be inhabitable in 15 years.
This post was edited on 1/6/20 at 11:54 am
Posted on 1/6/20 at 12:20 pm to fallguy_1978
quote:
Kind of like the ones that say the planet will be inhabitable in 15 years.
I'm dead?
Posted on 1/6/20 at 12:22 pm to Bjorn Cyborg
Periodical writers are a a dime a million. In order to get published, much less paid decently, you have to generate clicks and maximize ad revenue.
People don't click on articles with headlines like, "The world will continue to run much the same as it always has."
It might be accurate, but it won't generate revenue or help compete against other half-baked, sensationalist sites and articles.
People don't click on articles with headlines like, "The world will continue to run much the same as it always has."
It might be accurate, but it won't generate revenue or help compete against other half-baked, sensationalist sites and articles.
This post was edited on 1/6/20 at 12:24 pm
Posted on 1/6/20 at 12:26 pm to Bjorn Cyborg
Someone has to make and program the robots and provide maintenance. It’s just different jobs.
Posted on 1/6/20 at 12:28 pm to theunknownknight
Do you even Grand Moff Tarkin, Bro?
Posted on 1/6/20 at 12:44 pm to TheCaterpillar
quote:
Someone has to make and program the robots and provide maintenance. It’s just different jobs.
The theory would be AI robots would be smart enough to maintain the robots and develop new versions. That's the paradigm shift from creative destruction.
If that ever happens is certainly interesting.
This post was edited on 1/6/20 at 12:46 pm
Posted on 1/6/20 at 1:13 pm to Bjorn Cyborg
Meh, we’re due for a civilization reset. All it takes is a few bad decisions and I bet we won’t have to worry about AI takin our jobs.
Posted on 1/6/20 at 1:24 pm to Bjorn Cyborg
It's always easier to predict which jobs will be lost than it is to predict which jobs will be created.
20 years ago, if you said that hundreds of thousands of people would become taxi drivers using their cell phones, people would've laughed at you.
And you'd have become a billionaire for making it happen.
20 years ago, if you said that hundreds of thousands of people would become taxi drivers using their cell phones, people would've laughed at you.
And you'd have become a billionaire for making it happen.
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