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re: The craziest/best poker call I've ever seen (270k pot)

Posted on 10/3/22 at 8:48 pm to
Posted by 9rocket
Member since Sep 2020
1724 posts
Posted on 10/3/22 at 8:48 pm to
Hey! I love Rounders.
Posted by UGATiger26
Jacksonville, FL
Member since Dec 2009
9128 posts
Posted on 10/4/22 at 6:17 am to
quote:

Hey! I love Rounders.


Don't get me wrong, it's a great movie. I love it.

But it also portrays a Hollywood-version of Poker that stresses pseudo-wisdom like "you play the man; not the cards" which indeed carries some truth, but the cards still matter.
Posted by UGATiger26
Jacksonville, FL
Member since Dec 2009
9128 posts
Posted on 10/4/22 at 6:48 am to
quote:

Caraway Rye


We get it. You're like that guy who went through a really messy divorce and is now convinced that the concept of marriage is evil and that any man who gets married is a moron.

I'm guessing you got taken to the cleaners at a poker table at some point in your life, and you probably consider yourself a pretty intelligent person, so your big take-away from that experience was "Bah! Poker is nothing but luck!"

quote:

They think this dude that got played by flesh with tits is a genius


I'd literally never heard of this guy until I read the OP. I barely watch TV, let alone poker games and livestreams. I only participated in this thread to comment on the extremely bizarre nature of the hand and to help those who aren't as familiar with poker understand why it was so bizarre.

quote:

Because they arent broke as frick begging for money.


Right. The guy playing in a cash game with over half a million dollars is "broke as frick begging for money." If that's what broke as frick looks like, where do I sign up?

Your contention that if poker were based on skill, math, and odds, then the people commenting in this thread should all be billionaires is as asinine as saying that anyone who is a good businessperson should be a billionaire. There's lots of reasons why that may not be the case.

Other asinine contentions which would be in the same category of ignorance include nuggets such as:

If Nick Saban is such a good football coach, why isn't he undefeated?

and...

If Tom Brady is such a good quarterback, why does he throw interceptions?

and...

If the 1985 Bears defense was so good, why did they allow 198 points?

As for professional players, you do realize there were professional players long before poker was "cool" and before sponsor dollars were involved, correct?

quote:

the ones that tripped through a big money tournament and you never heard from again


You mean a guy like Doyle Brunson who won the World Series of Poker in back-to-back years (what a lucky guy!!) yet continued playing and had lifetime tournament cashes totaling over $6 million (not adjusted for inflation)?
This post was edited on 10/4/22 at 8:03 am
Posted by GusAU
Member since Mar 2014
4979 posts
Posted on 10/4/22 at 9:43 am to
quote:

He either needed a club, 6 or J

or a 7 or an 8.





We really need to get together a poker weekend for the OT.

Posted by GusAU
Member since Mar 2014
4979 posts
Posted on 10/4/22 at 9:48 am to
quote:

Caraway Rye

You are the perfect example of someone who screams to the world "I don't know shite about what I am talking about" without actually saying those exact words.




Job well done!!!!

Posted by TSLG
Member since Mar 2014
6724 posts
Posted on 10/4/22 at 10:18 am to
quote:

We really need to get together a poker weekend for the OT.


I've got dibs on the 9/10 seat.

Don't let reading these poker threads cause you to loosen up against morons. Their power comes in numbers at the table.

One may have 4 outs, but they can combine like Voltron to give themselves a 1 in 3 shot.
Posted by UGATiger26
Jacksonville, FL
Member since Dec 2009
9128 posts
Posted on 10/4/22 at 10:39 am to
quote:

Don't let reading these poker threads cause you to loosen up against morons. Their power comes in numbers at the table.


Ever since I "retired" from playing online when I got married, I just play the occasional home game with friends and acquaintances. It's not big money of course, but enough to pay for a nice dinner with the Mrs.

9 out of 10 times, the games are profitable because all I really have to do is play tight and sip whiskey while I wait to hit trips on the flop with a pocket pair; that's usually enough to make the night worth it.

The guys I play with are such casual/amateur players that they still haven't figured out that if I'm hanging around and making bets after the river is dealt, they're likely about to lose.
This post was edited on 10/4/22 at 10:45 am
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
25484 posts
Posted on 10/4/22 at 11:35 am to
quote:

Garrett has been leaning on her the whole session. She's frustrated & sick of it. She has good enough instincts to think Garrett's all-in move was weak(it was). She basically loses all logic & says frick it I'm going to make a stand


This would be a perfectly acceptable explanation if she had the low pair, or even ace high. She put him on a draw, that he missed, and at that point it's reasonable to think she had the best hand. Of course, if that happened this wouldn't even be talked about.
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
25484 posts
Posted on 10/4/22 at 11:37 am to
quote:


If you're not a poker player, read the football analogy I posted on page 24


I tried that earlier in the thread too. It doesn't do any good though. Idk if the same clueless morons are still posting, but some of them just won't ever get it no matter how much you dumb it down.
Posted by IAmNERD
Member since May 2017
24240 posts
Posted on 10/4/22 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

You mean a guy like Doyle Brunson who won the World Series of Poker in back-to-back years (what a lucky guy!!) yet continued playing and had lifetime tournament cashes totaling over $6 million (not adjusted for inflation)?

The first name I thought of was Chris Moneymaker. He basically kicked off the poker craze in the early 2000s with his WSOP win. He was just a guy. You could say he "tripped his way through a tourney". But they man is still playing to this day. And still winning.

There are some scorching hot takes in this thread.
Posted by Chicken
Jackassistan
Member since Aug 2003
27472 posts
Posted on 10/4/22 at 12:52 pm to
Late to the game here, but can someone explain the two river cards?
Posted by EarlyCuyler3
Appalachia
Member since Nov 2017
27290 posts
Posted on 10/4/22 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

Late to the game here, but can someone explain the two river cards?


It's already been explained.

If you're heads up, you can agree to run it multiple times to decrease variance.
Posted by WDE24
Member since Oct 2010
54853 posts
Posted on 10/4/22 at 12:56 pm to
I’m not reading through this whole thread because there were several dumb takes on the first page with lots of upvotes.

Has the ring theory been discussed here? Saw a clip where in the aftermath of the hand, while she nervously tries to explain the call she fidgets with a ring on her finger then goes below the table and her hand reappears without the ring. Some are speculating it was a device receiving signals from someone watching the stream.
This post was edited on 10/4/22 at 12:57 pm
Posted by CocomoLSU
Inside your dome.
Member since Feb 2004
156604 posts
Posted on 10/4/22 at 1:08 pm to
quote:

I'm guessing you don't play much poker if you don't see how crazy her call was. Yes she called cause she thought he was bluffing. Yes he was semi-bluffing. The problem with her call is that even if he is bluffing she still can only beat his EXACT hand in the range of hands that he could've possibly had. No player that knows even a little about poker would make a call knowing they can only beat 1 hand that their opponent could have.

Well that’s not really true though, right? She could have beaten more than just EXACTLY the 7/8 of clubs. I’m not saying her call was a good one or even a rational one based on what she had. But what does make at least some sense is when she literally said she doesn’t have shite but doesn’t think he does either and calls to see if he’s bluffing. Like that makes sense to me and makes her cards almost irrelevant.

quote:

Someone whose poker knowledge extends only as far as watching Rounders and a couple episodes of WSOP on ESPN with their friends will be along shortly to tell you that "it was a coin flip!"....
...without understanding that the only way those odds would be relevant is if they had played the hand with their cards face-up.

Those odds are relevant though. Bc even with her bad call she had a coin flip at worst. Like I said above, based on the cards her call was a bad one. But she says she didn’t make it based on her hand. She made it based on her thinking he had shite. And he was on a draw but she was basically right. Dude tried to bully her out of the hand and she didn’t back down. And he ended up losing because of that.

You can claim she got lucky or whatever, but the odds (which tell us unbeknownst to the players) say otherwise since it was essentially a coin flip for them both.

I get why this hand is being analyzed. I never said I didn’t. But my point is people call others all the time to see if they’re bluffing, regardless of what cards they have or don’t have. On the surface that seems like what happened here, and then she got nervous when people freaked out about it.

Like I said previously, could she be cheating? Sure. It’s not likely but certainly possible. But the simplest explanation is that she wanted to call to see if he was full of shite, which he was ultimately. Just not quite as full of shite (cards wise) as she was, no?
Posted by UGATiger26
Jacksonville, FL
Member since Dec 2009
9128 posts
Posted on 10/4/22 at 1:35 pm to
quote:

Those odds are relevant though. Bc even with her bad call she had a coin flip at worst. Like I said above, based on the cards her call was a bad one. But she says she didn’t make it based on her hand. She made it based on her thinking he had shite. And he was on a draw but she was basically right. Dude tried to bully her out of the hand and she didn’t back down. And he ended up losing because of that.


Making a call like that with the cards she held "just because she wanted to see if he was bluffing" is incredibly idiotic; what do you mean you "that makes sense to you?"

A move like that isn't just cutting off your nose to spite your face; it's cutting off your HEAD to spite your face.

quote:

Bc even with her bad call she had a coin flip at worst.


No, no. Even with her call, she had a coin flip, AT BEST. But even that is giving her too much credit. I don't know how this can be stressed any further: even if he was bluffing, her hand was so bad that LOTS of his bluffing hands still beat her. Yes, even "jack shite" hands.

quote:

But my point is people call others all the time to see if they’re bluffing, regardless of what cards they have or don’t have.


Putting your chips all-in "to see if they are bluffing?"

Where the hell do you play poker, because I want to know.

quote:

You can claim she got lucky or whatever, but the odds (which tell us unbeknownst to the players) say otherwise since it was essentially a coin flip for them both.


Poker is a game of imperfect information. Yes, it turned out that the odds were basically a coin flip, but she couldn't have known that prior to making the call. Go back to page 24 and read my football example. The only way Auburn comes out of that situation on top is if LSU runs the exact play that they did. If LSU runs pretty much any other play, Auburn loses. That's about a good of an analogy as I can think up for this situation.

It would be like Auburn saying "we're going to blitz our entire back 7 because we want to see if LSU runs a QB draw."
This post was edited on 10/4/22 at 1:57 pm
Posted by Chicken
Jackassistan
Member since Aug 2003
27472 posts
Posted on 10/4/22 at 1:46 pm to
is this just a cash game? what else was at stake?

Posted by UGATiger26
Jacksonville, FL
Member since Dec 2009
9128 posts
Posted on 10/4/22 at 1:48 pm to
quote:

is this just a cash game? what else was at stake?


No idea. Looks like it was a very high-stakes cash game. I'm not a big poker-watching guy, and I don't care about following the careers of professional players. I just like to play.

I'm only in this thread to talk about the x's and o's of the game.
This post was edited on 10/4/22 at 1:49 pm
Posted by CocomoLSU
Inside your dome.
Member since Feb 2004
156604 posts
Posted on 10/4/22 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

Making a call like that with the cards she held "just because she wanted to see he was bluffing" is incredibly idiotic; what do you mean you "that makes sense to you?"

I’m not saying it wasn’t stupid. I’m saying she literally said she didn’t have anything but called to see if he was bluffing. That’s what makes sense to me.

I’m not saying it was smart. I’m not saying I agree with her or that I would’ve done it at all. I’m saying that taking everything as on the up and up (ie assuming she isn’t cheating) she wanted to know if he was bluffing. So she called.
quote:

No, no. Even with her call, she had a coin flip, AT BEST. But even that is giving her too much credit. I don't know how this can be stressed any further: even if he was bluffing, her hand was so bad that LOTS of his bluffing hands still beat her. Yes, even "jack shite" hands

Of course. It was a stupid call, as I’ve said numerous times. And lots of hands beat her nothing hand, sure. But lots of hands also lose to her too.

And I get that her responses after the hand are awkward, which is why I get why this hand is being so scrutinized. I’m simply saying it’s not out of the realm of possibility that she does it and wins either.
quote:

Putting your chips all-in "to see if they are bluffing?"

The point is she thinks he’s bluffing. So she calls because she thinks he doesn’t have shite. And outside of a draw she was right. If you and I are playing and I think you’re bluffing and don’t have shite, if I’m confident enough then I’d risk my chips and call your all in. Maybe I win, maybe I lose. But if I’m confident in your bluffing I’m good with either outcome.

But to act like it’s virtually impossible for her to call and then win is what strikes me as so weird. People luck out in poker all the time. Even with bad calls (or awful, atrocious ones too). It could be that she called his bluff and then had to stick by her stupid decision, and then won in the end. Then saw the table reaction and got nervous.

Stupid call? Absolutely. But acting like it’s bullshite that she wins is just as stupid IMO (considering we know the probabilities were a coin flip).

And I haven’t played regular poker in years. And my games were very low stake, fun games. I’m no poker expert nor do I claim to be. And I understand what a lot of the bitching is about. I’m just saying this isn’t weird statistical anomaly. It could simply be a stupid call that worked out. And that happens in poker sometimes.

And everyone ignoring that the dude make a stupid decision too is also strange.
This post was edited on 12/15/22 at 9:58 am
Posted by EarlyCuyler3
Appalachia
Member since Nov 2017
27290 posts
Posted on 10/4/22 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

is this just a cash game? what else was at stake?


Just a few hundred grand, not much really.
Posted by EarlyCuyler3
Appalachia
Member since Nov 2017
27290 posts
Posted on 10/4/22 at 2:00 pm to
quote:

The point is she thinks he’s bluffing.


The point is that she loses to most of his bluffs. If she had a pair or even ace high, it would be a little different. It's enough to make the experts question things.
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