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re: The average interest rate on a 30-year mortgage rises to 7.62%, the highest since 2000

Posted on 9/8/23 at 1:47 pm to
Posted by GRTiger
On a roof eating alligator pie
Member since Dec 2008
65934 posts
Posted on 9/8/23 at 1:47 pm to
quote:

Couldn’t imagine being a Gen Z kid who just graduated from college and is working while trying to find a home now.


Rent and start throwing super low offers at homes and hope someone bites. Hard to justify buying at both inflated rates and prices but nothing seems to be giving.
Posted by Athanatos
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2010
8170 posts
Posted on 9/8/23 at 1:52 pm to
The finishes in homes today are much nicer. People have smart switches, home automation, double ovens, six burner stoves, and all of that stuff costs extra.

You could probably build a bare bones, 3/2 house for pretty cheap, but then no one would buy it.
Posted by SabiDojo
Open to any suggestions.
Member since Nov 2010
84295 posts
Posted on 9/8/23 at 1:52 pm to
If you're a young person wanting to buy a home, my suggestion would be to create liquidity and keep an eye on the foreclosure market.
Posted by Forever
Member since Dec 2019
6252 posts
Posted on 9/8/23 at 1:52 pm to
quote:

Wife was toying with the idea of wanting a bigger house a few months ago. She started looking around at the price point where we'd be comfortable based on the projected monthly note at our current interest rates (3.25%). She found one she liked, I said that's cute this is how much we "can afford" if we only want to spend XXXX a month with today's current interest rates. She closed her laptop

I think you’re going to start seeing a lot more people living well within their means going forward. Me and my wife live in a $400,000 house with an insanely good interest rate and we both make significantly more money than we did when we bought it, so we were looking at houses in the $500,000-$650,000 range out of curiosity and there’s a 0% chance I’m going to let my note basically quadruple so I can impress a bunch of people I don’t even like. Why anyone would take on $5,000+ per month right now is beyond me
Posted by SabiDojo
Open to any suggestions.
Member since Nov 2010
84295 posts
Posted on 9/8/23 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

You could probably build a bare bones, 3/2 house for pretty cheap, but then no one would buy it.



Find a 3/2 home built in 1985 with no renovations and tell me what the price is.
Posted by brass2mouth
NOLA
Member since Jul 2007
20143 posts
Posted on 9/8/23 at 1:56 pm to
2.15 here daddio
Posted by Dawgfanman
Member since Jun 2015
24787 posts
Posted on 9/8/23 at 2:01 pm to
quote:

Find a 3/2 home built in 1985 with no renovations and tell me what the price is


Probably pretty cheap. Would need new hvac, roof, water heater, appliances, possibly plumbing…
Posted by RedHawk
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2007
9265 posts
Posted on 9/8/23 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

Find a 3/2 home built in 1985 with no renovations and tell me what the price is.


I would guess about $200k.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 9/8/23 at 2:02 pm to
I refinanced durning COVID and went from 4.75 to 2.25
Posted by Dawgfanman
Member since Jun 2015
24787 posts
Posted on 9/8/23 at 2:03 pm to
quote:

Per Black Knight: It would take some combination of up to a 28% decline in home prices, a more than 4% reduction in 30-year mortgage rates, or up to a 60% growth in median household incomes to bring home affordability back to its 25-year average.


Seems fairly possible in the next 2-3 years
Posted by Chicken
Jackassistan
Member since Aug 2003
24456 posts
Posted on 9/8/23 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

The respective increases are not even remotely close.
well, what are they?
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
38845 posts
Posted on 9/8/23 at 2:07 pm to
quote:

well, what are they?



damn chicken, you don't got to stunt on us with your tech money.

Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
38591 posts
Posted on 9/8/23 at 2:07 pm to
quote:

You could probably build a bare bones, 3/2 house for pretty cheap, but then no one would buy it.


I think you mean no one would build it.

Have fun finding a contractor to build you a spartan 3/2 any time soon. The builders profit would be pennies compared to what they are getting for everyone else's bids.
Posted by Athanatos
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2010
8170 posts
Posted on 9/8/23 at 2:08 pm to
Cheap house

Maybe not a great example, but sort through Zillow for a 3/2 that is less than 300k and on the market for more than 90 days.
Posted by Chicken
Jackassistan
Member since Aug 2003
24456 posts
Posted on 9/8/23 at 2:19 pm to
that graph seems unbelievable. It seems that every college graduate that I talk to is making 2-4 times what I made coming out of college in 1994.

Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
38591 posts
Posted on 9/8/23 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

that graph seems unbelievable. It seems that every college graduate that I talk to is making 2-4 times what I made coming out of college in 1994.



And how much is that?

The average starting salary of a fresh college grad is like 55k. In 1994 it was 33k.

So a 66% cumulative increase over 29 years.

A far cry from your estimate.
This post was edited on 9/8/23 at 2:28 pm
Posted by Grassy1
Member since Oct 2009
7330 posts
Posted on 9/8/23 at 2:27 pm to
I graduated in ‘86 and bought a house in ‘89, interest rates were at 10%.

Had to buy a house that was within my means.

It’s not impossible.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
165198 posts
Posted on 9/8/23 at 2:29 pm to
quote:

Had to buy a house that was within my means.

It’s not impossible.

It's close to impossible for some people now

Posted by Hamma1122
Member since Sep 2016
21170 posts
Posted on 9/8/23 at 2:38 pm to
Supply demand genius
Posted by DakIsNoLB
Member since Sep 2015
1059 posts
Posted on 9/8/23 at 2:39 pm to
quote:

I graduated in ‘86 and bought a house in ‘89, interest rates were at 10%.

Had to buy a house that was within my means.

It’s not impossible.


Yes, but there's degrees of possible. Really not a good market right now, and, regardless, comparisons to 30 years ago typically don't match up well. Houses are far more expensive now relative to income than then. Hopefully it gets better.
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