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re: Tejas Snow/Ice Storm: 2022 Edition (Wednesday Night and Thursday expected timing)
Posted on 2/1/22 at 6:49 pm to LegendInMyMind
Posted on 2/1/22 at 6:49 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
GFS drops the Memphis area below freezing about three hours before the Euro.
NAM is in line with the Euro. HRRR is several hours later than all the others. Gonna be interesting to follow that freezing line.
That's basically the difference in ice totals right now.
Also if you were to type in... lets say gumbowx.com into your browser you might find something interesting.
This post was edited on 2/1/22 at 7:09 pm
4
Posted on 2/1/22 at 8:26 pm to Duke
quote:
Also if you were to type in... lets say gumbowx.com into your browser you might find something interesting.
Gumbox.com forecast for Groundhog Day ice event
Cool, Duke! Very well organized and straightforward site layout. Graphics very approachable and the forecasts relate to every day life.
"If you’re in these regions, get your prep done tonight, hope the lights stay on, and keep the car in the driveway."
"No hype weather with the context you need"
Mission accomplished.
Posted on 2/1/22 at 8:37 pm to Duke
Posted on 2/1/22 at 8:42 pm to crazyLSUstudent
Isnt that the Fujiwara effect?
Posted on 2/1/22 at 8:56 pm to RummelTiger
Still, that's pretty surprising. Haven't seen them on the weather waivers from the airlines.
Posted on 2/1/22 at 9:14 pm to Duke
quote:
Also if you were to type in... lets say gumbowx.com into your browser you might find something interesting.
I'm going to dive in after the game is over, but right off I love the embedded soundings. I don't know that I've seen it done like that anywhere else. Good looking site, too.
Posted on 2/1/22 at 10:43 pm to Duke
quote:
Looking at Austin (and split the difference if you’re in Waco), almost all the members of the GEFS (29/30) show snow for Austin with the 18z run on 1/31. Sure, likely to see some snow but the ensemble mean has 0.9” of liquid falling for this event. Reasonably (I didn’t run the stats to confirm) it looks like a range of .75” - 1.25” of liquid in this event. The ensembles show a mean of 2” of snow, with only one member significantly higher with 9”. Austin left with slim chances of getting the early turnover to snow that are long odds in Dallas. This also means more freezing rain instead. Wait! Why are people from Austin throwing things at me!? Just kidding, no one is reading this. My thinking tonight is Austin is probably in for .25-.75” of ice off this event.
I know all of that was meant for me.
:hugs:
Posted on 2/1/22 at 10:48 pm to RummelTiger
.75" ice may turn Austin into a real shite show
Posted on 2/1/22 at 10:56 pm to Sao
.75" of ice turns everywhere into a shitshow but thats a very high end estimate.
Posted on 2/1/22 at 10:58 pm to Duke
Picturing hills on the west side (Bee Cave etc) gives me anxiety.
Posted on 2/1/22 at 11:04 pm to Wermanium
quote:
I don't think it will be anything like last years winter storm, but I may go to the store for some things that we already need.
Went to the store at 7 am today and the shelves were bare in Frisco. Got bread, milk and soup so we should be fine.
Posted on 2/1/22 at 11:04 pm to LSUGrrrl
What about the beer?
Posted on 2/1/22 at 11:10 pm to H2O Tiger
Sorry guys, im late to the thread, but im scheduled to be on a flight arriving in Dallas Thursday morning at 11am.. would actually love for it to get canceled and have to miss these mandatory meetings.. i almost hate to jinx it by asking , but what do yall think are the odds of my flight getting canceled ?
Posted on 2/1/22 at 11:15 pm to BK Lounge
quote:
what do yall think are the odds of my flight getting canceled ?
There's a pretty good chance it gets cancelled.
Posted on 2/1/22 at 11:17 pm to Duke
quote:
There's a pretty good chance it gets cancelled.
Thanks, i was kind of hoping for a percentage guess from anyone who might have some insight .
Posted on 2/1/22 at 11:17 pm to BK Lounge
That thing is gonna get cancelled.
A friend of mine had his 9am DFW-ORD cancelled already. Airports will be a mess.
A friend of mine had his 9am DFW-ORD cancelled already. Airports will be a mess.
Posted on 2/1/22 at 11:18 pm to BK Lounge
90% at least.
Posted on 2/1/22 at 11:19 pm to H2O Tiger
quote:
That thing is gonna get cancelled.
Sweet.. i like your optimism/pessimism…. For me, it would definitely be a win to be able to stay home .
Posted on 2/1/22 at 11:22 pm to BK Lounge
Hopefully for both of us I can get out and you can stay home
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