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re: Storm Watch- Gulf- Tropical Depression- Northward Miss. Valley

Posted on 6/3/20 at 11:28 pm to
Posted by Fusaichi Pegasus
Meh He Co
Member since Oct 2010
14709 posts
Posted on 6/3/20 at 11:28 pm to
The OP needs to be updated
tsssk
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147160 posts
Posted on 6/3/20 at 11:30 pm to
quote:

I think 7 am? If not for sure 10 am

from the NHC?

1 AM... then 4 AM
This post was edited on 6/3/20 at 11:30 pm
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 6/3/20 at 11:33 pm to
1 am intermediate. No cone changes.

4 am full.

Looking at radar one more time before bed, looks like there's a slight S to SSW motion starting. May just be doing another loop but that direction would run him into rougher terrain.
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
15297 posts
Posted on 6/3/20 at 11:57 pm to
quote:

Today I also learned Fairbanks has the same population as New Iberia.


Yeah Alaska doesnt have much of a population center

Seriously though I thought it was the strangest thing up here, the weather.

Some of those folks that lives in the Aleitians essentially live in tropical force winds during the fall time.

The systems look like hurricanes too when they barrel into the west coast.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 12:11 am to
Some of the finest baroclinic cyclones nature can offer in the Aleitians.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105315 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 12:14 am to
quote:

Some of those folks that lives in the Aleitians essentially live in tropical force winds during the fall time.


In my first real job after college I worked with a guy who had been stationed on Shemya with the air force. He talked about the wind howling all the time. There were no trees and the only wildlife were burrowing rodents. There were some hiking trails along the beach but you had to beware of rogue waves. The only pastime was drinking. Anybody who wasn't an alcoholic became one. Guys would volunteer for Vietnam just to get away from there.
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 1:10 am to
Late night Euro really trying to intensify this into a hurricane once in the central gulf.

Posted by whodatdude
Member since Feb 2011
1495 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 1:36 am to
Also shifted a bit further east before hooking back west.

Posted by paperwasp
2x HRV 2025 Poster of the Year
Member since Sep 2014
30007 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 5:45 am to
Posted by GravelLotinCanada
Anywhere, Anytime
Member since Dec 2019
399 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 7:01 am to
Did it stall or stay over land more than whtay was expected? I feel like it was supposed to hit our coast at some point on Sunday mid day and now it’s showing 1am on Monday
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51716 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 7:09 am to
quote:

Did it stall or stay over land more than whtay was expected? I feel like it was supposed to hit our coast at some point on Sunday mid day and now it’s showing 1am on Monday

I think it’s doing pretty much what’s been expected the last few days. The NHC cone had a 1am Monday landfall yesterday, too.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51716 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 7:13 am to
Wherever this thing makes landfall, I hope it moves out quickly. If we have a central Louisiana Coast landfall, I don’t want to see this thing meander around Louisiana and Arkansas for 3-4 days dumping a ton of rain on Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi and Alabama.
This post was edited on 6/4/20 at 7:14 am
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16414 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 7:18 am to
There is Definitely A shift in expected landfall. Sunday was the general thought and now it’s Early morning Monday.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50795 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 7:38 am to
Euro brings max gusts to the southern half of the BR area in the range of 40-55 mph and sustained from 20-30 mph.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51716 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 8:34 am to
quote:

There is Definitely A shift in expected landfall. Sunday was the general thought and now it’s Early morning Monday.


Like I said, they had the same landfall time on yesterday's cone.
Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 8:38 am to
Not liking the eastern trends. Hope they start shifting more West eventually taking that NW curve into Tx
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50795 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 9:05 am to
Even if the BR area takes a direct hit from this, we're probably still just going to get rain and maybe a little wind. I know the EURO and some other models are showing max gusts close to 60mph but anyone who's ever been through a tropical storm or hurricane knows that the winds forecast almost never come to fruition - especially with tropical storms.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 9:06 am to
Well inland now and organization waning.

Going to be starting from practically scratch when back over the water.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
41081 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 9:07 am to
quote:

Even if the BR area takes a direct hit from this, we're probably still just going to get rain and maybe a little wind. I know the EURO and some other models are showing max gusts close to 60mph but anyone who's ever been through a tropical storm or hurricane knows that the winds forecast almost never come to fruition - especially with tropical storms.



Many of these TS tend to have the worst rains away from the center. I'm worried about this thing hitting SE LA with a lot of rain. Hopefully it will be a quick mover and won't stall.
Posted by Anaximander
3524 Third St New Orleans, LA
Member since Jun 2018
3412 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 9:21 am to
The models seem to be creeping East with some showing the kind of hook that could take it up the Mississippi. This thing does not have to be a Cat 3 to mess up New Orleans if it came in that way and dumped enough rain. Especially since the SWB does not have full power to the pumps.

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