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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:59 am to
Posted by Ed Osteen
Member since Oct 2007
59234 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:59 am to
Because a slight wobble could put it on LC as it hasn’t even entered the gulf, it’s not difficult to figure out why someone a few hundred miles from the projected path would be concerned about this right now
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50688 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:00 am to
quote:

Yes, which is why I was addressing the LC people freaking out.

Gotcha. I would still be watching this like a hawk in LC though. A whole lot can still happen in terms of landfall location.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476467 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:00 am to
quote:

it’s not difficult to figure out why someone a few hundred miles from the projected path would be concerned about this right now

Nobody in LC is feeling amazing this morning.

Just better than yesterday morning.
Posted by Swagga
504
Member since Dec 2009
19231 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:00 am to
quote:

Consensus looks like central la because of those extreme western outliers. There’s a pretty decent grouping on SELA.


So the consensus looks like that because it’s a consensus?
Posted by PhillyTiger90
Not Phillytiger9
Member since Dec 2015
11854 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:01 am to
quote:

I’m trying to figure out where all the hysteria is coming from for the LC folks. I realize ensembles still have a wide spread including SWLA but all major models point towards SELA.

I know it could swing back the other way but at this point, things are looking better for SWLA than any other point in a while.


Laura was supposed to bee line for Nola up until 3 days before landfall then shifted West to LC. Point is it could easily do that again we just don’t know enough about it yet. Everyone from Beaumont to Biloxi needs to be on high alert for this
Posted by bayoudude
Member since Dec 2007
25907 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:02 am to
quote:

Calling it now. Western Mississippi landfall.


Well that would be less than ideal for me. At least I finally put insurance on the pole barn.
Posted by GeauxPack81
Member since Dec 2009
10575 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:05 am to
quote:

Calling it now. Western Mississippi landfall.


This. I know this probably isn't historically accurate, I just always feel once they start shifting, they don't typically stop. This thing will hopefully continue to push east. My completely untrained opinion, we are looking at a direct hit on Biloxi/Gulfport area. Cat 1 or 2.
Posted by Tigerfan1274
Member since May 2019
4679 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:06 am to
quote:

Because a slight wobble could put it on LC as it hasn’t even entered the gulf, it’s not difficult to figure out why someone a few hundred miles from the projected path would be concerned about this right now


The mouth of the ship channel in Cameron is less than 90 miles from the middle of Vermillion Bay. I guess you could call that Central La and still enough to get many LC folks, including myself, a little nervous.
Posted by TheOtherSide
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2016
348 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:06 am to
This is link to the Katrina Graphic Archive

You can select to stop, advance, slow or zoom the images.

Here is a link to the Graphic Archives by Year It opens to 2005, but across the top of the page are the different years with storms to select.
Posted by White Roach
Member since Apr 2009
9666 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:06 am to
Are 100% of the pumps are working, or is it 100% of the "operational" pumps are working?

In classic NO/LA style, our leaders would always rather obfuscate the issue than just tell the truth.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50688 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:06 am to
The NHC included the panhandle in their latest outlook for impacts. I’d bet they’re beginning to see the possibility of the ridge break down more.
Posted by purple18
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2009
1772 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:07 am to
The models that are showing a the SELA landfall are thinking the current center of circulation is on the northern side of the convection. Until the NHC puts out its first advisory which will probably be this afternoon, the models will continue go back and forth and where landfall will be.
Posted by ragincajun03
Member since Nov 2007
29171 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:08 am to
quote:

I’m trying to figure out where all the hysteria is coming from for the LC folks.


Wow.
Posted by BallsEleven
Member since Mar 2019
6163 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:08 am to
quote:

So the consensus looks like that because it’s a consensus?


Tell me you have as much faith in the run into Mexico as you do as a run into vermillion bay.
Posted by Dlab2013
Pineville, Luzianna
Member since Jun 2013
9532 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:12 am to
Posted by geauxtigers87
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2011
27420 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:12 am to
quote:

Tell me you have as much faith in the run into Mexico as you do as a run into vermillion bay.



will you please stop cluttering up the thread with your BS
Posted by Sao
East Texas Piney Woods
Member since Jun 2009
68469 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:12 am to

I'm personally pulling for a run up to 95L. I wouldn't mind seeing some good rains through central and NETX.
Posted by jamboybarry
Member since Feb 2011
33255 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:13 am to
That looks like a gallon of suck there
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476467 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:13 am to
So when will we have an idea?

If this thing may hit Sunday night, tomorrow doesn't leave much time for planning. This is real shitty b/c there is about 200+ miles of coastal cities frozen right now.
Posted by bayoudude
Member since Dec 2007
25907 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:16 am to
quote:

That looks like a gallon of suck there




Yeah Lafayette and Baton Rouge get kicked in the dick on that run.
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