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Started By
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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:40 am to Who_Dat_Tiger
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:40 am to Who_Dat_Tiger
That's horrible if true. Katrina redux, but with Latoya & JBE in charge rather than Nagin.
This post was edited on 8/26/21 at 6:45 am
1
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:43 am to Swagga
quote:
Bruh, what?
Which part is false?
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:45 am to BallsEleven
You seem to be kinda dumb if you can’t figure out why people around LC have anxiety.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:45 am to BallsEleven
The part where you said most models are predicting SELA. There are just as many predicting SWLA.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:46 am to Tigerfan1274
quote:
PTSD
Yeah, we got dealt a shitty hand last year. Doesn’t mean we need to play the perpetual victim card.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:46 am to BallsEleven
quote:
Which part is false?
Your entire post for the most part.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:47 am to Swagga
What are the update times?
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:48 am to Swagga
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Aug 26 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in
association with a broad area of low pressure located over the
west-central Caribbean Sea about 150 miles south-southwest of
Jamaica. Environmental conditions remain conducive for additional
development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is
expected to form later today or tonight while the system moves
northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea, reaching the
Cayman Islands tonight and western Cuba and the Yucatan Channel
Friday and Friday night. Given the recent developmental trends,
Tropical Storm Warnings for the Cayman Islands and western Cuba
could be required later this morning, and an Air Force Reserve
reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system
this afternoon. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall
and flooding are possible over portions of Jamaica and the Cayman
Islands today and tonight, and will likely spread across Cuba
and the Yucatan Peninsula on Friday.
The system is expected to enter into the Gulf of Mexico Friday night
and continue moving northwestward toward the central or northwestern
U.S. Gulf coast, potentially bringing dangerous impacts from storm
surge, wind, and heavy rainfall to portions of the coasts of Texas,
Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle by Sunday
and Monday. However, uncertainty in the system's exact track and
intensity remains large since the low is just beginning to form.
Interests in these areas should closely monitor the progress of this
system and ensure they have their hurricane plans in place.
Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can
be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Aug 26 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in
association with a broad area of low pressure located over the
west-central Caribbean Sea about 150 miles south-southwest of
Jamaica. Environmental conditions remain conducive for additional
development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is
expected to form later today or tonight while the system moves
northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea, reaching the
Cayman Islands tonight and western Cuba and the Yucatan Channel
Friday and Friday night. Given the recent developmental trends,
Tropical Storm Warnings for the Cayman Islands and western Cuba
could be required later this morning, and an Air Force Reserve
reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system
this afternoon. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall
and flooding are possible over portions of Jamaica and the Cayman
Islands today and tonight, and will likely spread across Cuba
and the Yucatan Peninsula on Friday.
The system is expected to enter into the Gulf of Mexico Friday night
and continue moving northwestward toward the central or northwestern
U.S. Gulf coast, potentially bringing dangerous impacts from storm
surge, wind, and heavy rainfall to portions of the coasts of Texas,
Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle by Sunday
and Monday. However, uncertainty in the system's exact track and
intensity remains large since the low is just beginning to form.
Interests in these areas should closely monitor the progress of this
system and ensure they have their hurricane plans in place.
Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can
be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:48 am to Swagga
So how certain are they on tge strength of this thing? And what are they predicting? Still a cat1?
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:49 am to Dixie Normus
quote:
The part where you said most models are predicting SELA. There are just as many predicting SWLA.
For the moment, the operational models have trended away from SWLA.
Like I said before, I get that ensembles have some still heading our way but right now we look a hell of a lot better than 24 hrs ago.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:49 am to GREENHEAD22
I would prepare for a major hurricane
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:50 am to rds dc
Methinks Mississippi.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:50 am to Swagga
quote:
Your entire post for the most part.
Wrong.
Take a look at the operational runs and get back to me.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:50 am to Dixie Normus
quote:
I just think the community may be irreparably broken by another strong storm.
It would be difficult to gather up motivation to rebuild - not including resources it would take.
PS my fat thumb gave accidental down vote on your post.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:51 am to BallsEleven
quote:
right now we look a hell of a lot better than 24 hrs ago.
dude
isn't consensus like central la ?
no one is looking "better" at the moment
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:52 am to tarzana
quote:
That's horrible if true. Katrina redux, but with Latoya & JBE in charge rather than Nagin.
Destroya has got this. 100% of the working pumps are working.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:54 am to rocket31
quote:
dude
isn't consensus like central la ?
no one is looking "better" at the moment
When a day ago consensus was Cameron/vermillion, then yeah it’s better for us
Edit:
Consensus looks like central la because of those extreme western outliers. There’s a pretty decent grouping on SELA.
This post was edited on 8/26/21 at 6:58 am
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:56 am to BallsEleven
quote:
When a day ago consensus was Cameron/vermillion, then yeah it’s better for us
Where are you, LC? Because a Vermillion Bat cat 4 landfall would be terrible for BR.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:58 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
Where are you, LC?
Yes, which is why I was addressing the LC people freaking out.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:59 am to TDsngumbo
Calling it now. Western Mississippi landfall.
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