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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:18 pm to
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
15290 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:18 pm to
quote:

The pumps should be able to handle that for the most part (the ones that are working at least)

It’s when NOLA gets 5 inches in 45 minutes is when there’s a problem


Dont doubt the city's ability to fricker that all up
Posted by lionward2014
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2015
14045 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:19 pm to
quote:

I was talking about, what I'm going to call EWRC for now on, is an eyewall replacement cycle. It's when, basically, a storm trades a small more intense core for a larger windfield and larger core.


Does that mean that the storm is a weaker center?
Posted by SOLA
There
Member since Mar 2014
3776 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:20 pm to
Looks like the last day for last island
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51688 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:20 pm to
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36758 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

This is a green hurricane.



The best part will be when he makes the claim that he told us it would be bad 24 hours after the NHC started predicting a 4
Posted by Cooler
Member since Mar 2017
188 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:21 pm to
quote:

Less time than an eye replacement cycle


Thanks
Posted by BayouBengals337
Lafayette
Member since Dec 2011
845 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:22 pm to
How's this looking for Lafayette with recent updates?
Posted by Goldberg7
Member since Dec 2016
57 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:22 pm to
#Ida continues to intensify, with an eye now beginning to clear out on satellite imagery. We won't get a new recon aircraft for another few hours, but max winds are now estimated near 100 mph.

The track has also wobbled slightly to the right (NE). We'll see if that continues.

LINK
This post was edited on 8/28/21 at 1:24 pm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75091 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:23 pm to
quote:

Does that mean that the storm is a weaker center?

To an extent, yes. However, an EWRC broadens the windfield. Time is generally the biggest issue with an EWRC with a storm that is approaching landfall. Timing of that cycle can help with max wind speeds, too, if at landfall the EWRC hasn't completed.

With Ida, though, we aren't likely to see a true cycle just due to the current state of the storm and the time left until landfall.
Posted by bayou39
Member since Nov 2012
630 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:23 pm to
quote:

How's this looking for Lafayette with recent updates?


Well the eastern wobble is good for Lafayette .. see if that continues
Posted by DrewTheEngineer
Baton Rouge (Oak Hills)
Member since Jun 2006
1286 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:24 pm to
How long were schools closed in BR after Gustav? Just wondering what to possibly expect next week.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

Does that mean that the storm is a weaker center?



When one happens, pressures rise and the winds drop yes.

I'm not really expecting that to save SELA's bacon on this one.
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
115322 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:25 pm to
quote:

How long were schools closed in BR after Gustav? Just wondering what to possibly expect next week.


At least a week, as I recall.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75091 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:25 pm to
Y'all baws need to cut Levi some slack....

quote:

Web update: the tremendous demand for satellite loops is starting to slow down LINK since there is hard ceiling on how much data it can serve per second. Go easy on the refreshes??

Today's video update on #Ida will be in a few hours once we have new recon data
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:25 pm to
From another forum:

quote:

So if we were to take a consensus track between the latest 12z GFS and Euro, a track just west of Houma is what comes out of it, about 15-20 miles east of the official track forecast.



Posted by mightynine
Member since May 2006
1278 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:26 pm to


Someone should take a look at the AVNO settings, it appears
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36758 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:26 pm to
quote:

I'm not really expecting that to save SELA's bacon on this one.



Bacon is already gone. Will be moving on to struggle meals shortly
Posted by LSUBALLER
Louisiana
Member since Jul 2013
21612 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:29 pm to
Will it continue to wobble East or will wobble back west. Guess asking will this change landfall location?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:30 pm to
quote:

Web update: the tremendous demand for satellite loops is starting to slow down LINK since there is hard ceiling on how much data it can serve per second. Go easy on the refreshes??

Today's video update on #Ida will be in a few hours once we have new recon data


Errr...

That's been my bad.
Posted by sealawyer
Coonassganistan
Member since Nov 2012
3145 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 1:30 pm to
quote:

Will it continue to wobble East or will wobble back west. Guess asking will this change landfall location?


The models don’t suggest much variance from the NHC track at landfall.
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