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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:52 pm to
Posted by maisweh
Member since Jan 2014
4222 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:52 pm to
Almost to toledo from thibodaux.
Sorry I couldn't go through all the pages to get in touch with the baw to help board up his sister's windows.
Anyone have ah idea how far out thr wind fields gonna go?
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
32231 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:52 pm to
quote:

If you’re in Iowa you should be fine




quote:

Willard Sharp - Storm Chaser & Photographer
@madridiowawx

Screen grab from the beautiful tornado that developed right in front of me earlier this afternoon several miles west of Maple Rock, Iowa. 2021 keeps on rolling for me. Captured some nice data using my @RadarOmega weather station. #iawx


Posted by Duzz
Houston
Member since Feb 2008
10219 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:53 pm to
How fricked up will New Orleans and Slidell get here?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21045 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:53 pm to
quote:

18z Euro with the HWRF with getting it under 940 mb.


For those keeping score at home, that's a 20mb drop in the 6hrs prior to landfall. Models are showing an environment conducive of RI all the way through landfall.
Posted by lsusteve1
Member since Dec 2004
46432 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:54 pm to
quote:

For those keeping score at home, that's a 20mb drop in the 6hrs prior to landfall. Models are showing an environment conducive of RI all the way through landfall.


Sure hope this doesn't happen
Posted by TackySweater
Member since Dec 2020
24650 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:54 pm to
What you put in you summer gumbo baw
Posted by Cowboyfan89
Member since Sep 2015
12960 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:54 pm to
So what is the outlook for northern Lafayette Parish/St. Landry (basically immediately west of the current path) if the current path were to hold? From what I've seen on the models, looks like several inches of rain with 40 mph winds unless I'm misreading them.

NWS out of Lake Charles has a graphic saying 80-90 mph winds, but the only thing I've seen even remotely suggesting that is the probability graphics from NHC.
This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 7:57 pm
Posted by Tigerfan1274
Member since May 2019
4453 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:54 pm to
quote:

So..say you live East of LC by 10 miles. What should I expect with this storms current path?


On the Tropical Storm Warning posted on weather.com, the current forecast for this area is 15-20 mph, 25-30 gusts. It says the “potential” is there for hurricane force winds, but according to NHC, the chances of that happening is 13%.
Posted by DingleBarry
Member since Aug 2021
318 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:54 pm to
Apparently Jim Cantore checked into a Hampton inn in Laplace
Posted by TackySweater
Member since Dec 2020
24650 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:54 pm to
quote:

But I’ve experienced sustained winds over 100mph for 10 straight hours.


When was this
Posted by redstick13
Lower Saxony
Member since Feb 2007
40430 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:54 pm to
quote:

So..say you live East of LC by 10 miles. What should I expect with this storms current path?




An opportunity to cut your grass.
Posted by Bigfishchoupique
Member since Jul 2017
9481 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:54 pm to
quote:

see people keep saying there’s a slight shift East on the model yet these center lines keep shifting west. That center line was on western Houma a day or so ago. Hence my constant confusion lol

.

I think that is some of our OT weathermen running models beyond what the NHC is showing at present.

The NHC has shifted West steadily since 2 AM. About 35 miles from what I can see.

At 2 AM it was at Hwy 90 and 182 near Houma. Now further West.
This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 7:56 pm
Posted by TackySweater
Member since Dec 2020
24650 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:55 pm to
Translation?
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25762 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:56 pm to
quote:

How fricked up will New Orleans and Slidell get here?


Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:56 pm to
quote:

For those keeping score at home, that's a 20mb drop in the 6hrs prior to landfall. Models are showing an environment conducive of RI all the way through landfall.


With the global (well a global model I suppose) models picking up on such rapid deepening too, it's screaming to be ready for a power hurricane rapidly intensifying on approach.

Which you know, isn't something I'd be super keen to ride out.
Posted by BigBrod81
Houma
Member since Sep 2010
22724 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:57 pm to
quote:

Models are showing an environment conducive of RI all the way through landfall.


How much more can Ida honestly strengthen in comparison to what a model like the HWRF is already forecasting prior to landfall? The models are ready terrible looking as is.
Posted by LSUfanNkaty
LC, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2015
11938 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:57 pm to
I don’t know specifics but from what I just was told in the phone, far
Posted by hg
Member since Jun 2009
127659 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:58 pm to
Is the track pretty much set in stone or is it continuing to shift?
Posted by deaconjones35
Thibodaux
Member since Sep 2009
9878 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:58 pm to
Rapid Intensification
Posted by LSUfanNkaty
LC, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2015
11938 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:58 pm to
You done fricked up A ARON!!!
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