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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:14 pm to
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14281 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:14 pm to
In case anybody missed it, pressure is down to 987 mb already before reaching the Gulf - not good.

Posted by weadjust
Member since Aug 2012
15750 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:14 pm to
I'm staying. Football starts Saturday and I am ready

Posted by TigerEyes
Member since Oct 2007
2036 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:15 pm to
Assuming it's a Morgan City landfall, what kind of winds can Jennings / Lake Arthur expect? I'm not sure if I should prepare hurricane force winds or a 30 - 40 mph gust here and there.
Posted by sp22
Member since Jan 2019
779 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:15 pm to
Which one of you baws did I see picking up 2 30s of keystone and nothing else from rouses
Posted by haikarate
Member since May 2011
1646 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:15 pm to
Posted by Tigercowboy
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2007
5092 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:15 pm to
Wife and kids are staying put in Prairieville. We have a good neighborhood so they will help her if shite gets bad. I am heading to NOLA for drill but was told to come with my bags packed.

Getting ready for a very long week.
Posted by H2O Tiger
Delta Sky Club
Member since May 2021
7954 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:15 pm to
quote:

Which one of you baws did I see picking up 2 30s of keystone and nothing else from rouses



That doesn't really help narrow it down for this board
Posted by Dominate308
South Florida
Member since Jan 2013
2895 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:16 pm to
Andrew took my roof off in Baton Rouge. Taking a video of my contents a day before the storm hit AP saved me. Nsurance company just cut me a check.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476599 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

Yeah Lili was a mid october storm I think?

Hit that slightly cooler shallower water on the shelf and died

Pretty sure I was living in the Commons at the time and we were worried it was hitting BR. Then it died.

Our 4th wheel was from Abbeville and his parents' place got wrecked
Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
95026 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

Ida may be far more dangerous than what the computer models are suggesting.

I say this because the storm is intensifying, may well skirt south of the western tip of Cuba and the Isle Of Youth, thereby maintaining its deepening core and having 48 hours of trajectory over very warm water. There is a fair chance that the growing circulation reaches Category 3 or 4 intensity, with an increase of wind speeds just before landfall. Add in the surge off of the Gulf of Mexico, along with quick-hit tornadoes, and you have a recipe for surprise and chaos.

Occasionally, some of the standard equations (use the 12z NAM as an example) have shown a weaker system spiraling off into SE TX. Given that this is a warm-core tropical cyclone, the HWRF version may actually be better as the system zeroes in on Vermilion Bay in Louisiana around daybreak on August 30. I like the slow, lurching track into east central portions of the Bayou State, through northwest Mississippi and then a wobbly motion through Virginia and Tennessee. The big issue will be flooding rains. But for the time that communities like Lafayette, Franklin, Pineville, and Baton Rouge are affected, the howling winds will be etched in memory.

Arizona, by the way, will feel the wrath of Nora early next week as it breaks up after leaving Baja California. And when all is said and done, an oppressive heat wave will encompass much of the USA, save for the far northern tier that gets hammered by severe thunderstorms.

And by the way...have a nice weekend.

per Larry Cosgrove earlier today…
This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 2:18 pm
Posted by LSUfanNkaty
LC, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2015
11962 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:17 pm to
quote:


Pretty significant probability that no person currently in MC has experienced a storm this strong before.


After Laura, noooo fricking way.
Posted by Keys Open Doors
In hiding with Tupac & XXXTentacion
Member since Dec 2008
32892 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:17 pm to
Right, I think the sustained winds were 65-70 mph in Houston. It was more like the 2016 rain in Baton Rouge than any recent hurricane, if I have to find a comparison.

But so was Gustav for this area (wins in the low to mid 60s) and they felt nothing alike to me.
Posted by Butch Baum
Member since Oct 2007
3599 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

Baton Rouge probably gonna become a shitshow tomorrow I’m sure


Late by 24 hours
Posted by CharlesLSU
Member since Jan 2007
33653 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:18 pm to
Those eddie tornados from Gustav were fricking scary.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131550 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

Just heard, large sized Cat 4 at landfall, unless some miracle, will be direct hit on New Orleans, my birthplace. (Unless Indian Curse is real and it’s BSL. ) Per several retired meteorologist. Not Nash Roberts so they could be wrong, unlikely but possible.


Hot take
Posted by Zach Lee To Amp Hill
New Orleans
Member since Mar 2016
4957 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:18 pm to
Shut up
Posted by Swagga
504
Member since Dec 2009
19242 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:19 pm to
quote:

Just heard, large sized Cat 4 at landfall, unless some miracle, will be direct hit on New Orleans, my birthplace. (Unless Indian Curse is real and it’s BSL. ) Per several retired meteorologist. Not Nash Roberts so they could be wrong, unlikely but possible.



this baw has private meterologists who are dead.
Posted by CharlesLSU
Member since Jan 2007
33653 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:19 pm to
Nope. I’ll wager a Morgan City landing
Posted by mightynine
Member since May 2006
1278 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:19 pm to
Is a retired meteorologist still considered a private meteorologist?
Posted by lighter345
Member since Jan 2009
11898 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 2:20 pm to
I’m sure it’s been asked but anyone know if flights on Sunday morning into New Orleans will be definitely cancelled?

Out of town at the wrong time and won’t be able to get back before then. If my house floods, I have no one to try and get the water out if it passes(concrete floors).
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