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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:32 pm to Chad504boy
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:32 pm to Chad504boy
WV Loop
Watch the clouds on the west side start pushing out. That's outflow knocking the shearing upper low backwards. Outflow is also expanding out to the NE. Ominous signs of strengthening before it hits the gulf, and this means it's dropping shear over it earlier than expected too.
Watch the clouds on the west side start pushing out. That's outflow knocking the shearing upper low backwards. Outflow is also expanding out to the NE. Ominous signs of strengthening before it hits the gulf, and this means it's dropping shear over it earlier than expected too.
2
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:32 pm to slackster
Slack, what time are they starting this contra flow bs.... im trying to decide on what time to leave my camp tom morning
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:32 pm to slackster
As my kids would tell me, bruh ...
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:32 pm to Chad504boy
Anyone else’s cell service been god awful in BR today?must be all the storm panic.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:32 pm to thejudge
quote:
We have hotel rooms north Houston but have to cancel tonight for full refund.
Pro traveling tip: you can always cancel day of. All you have to do is adjust your reservation, move it a week out then you can cancel promptly without any fees.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:33 pm to slackster
All ensembles are run at a lower resolution than their operational counterparts.
This typically creates a greater variance than reality
This typically creates a greater variance than reality
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:33 pm to When in Rome
quote:
for people who stay for the storm and then leave if power goes out the next day, is that usually a pretty successful endeavor?
I only went into LC the day after Laura hit because I saw the storm chasers drive close enough to my house to give me multiple options there. We were incredibly lucky. I still had to park a block away.
Some people couldn't get back in for 4-5 days b/c of debris.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:33 pm to tigafan4life
quote:
Is the black track the one they think it will take?
Black track is the mean of all the ensembles.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:33 pm to onelochevy
quote:
Bristow
They closed
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:33 pm to SlowFlowPro
quote:
Unless something dramatic happens, yes. 100%
I am just on edge that "something dramatic happens" happens
Same.
If I wake up tomorrow to bad news (god I hope not), then I’m glad we made reservations in Houston a few days ago.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:34 pm to tigafan4life
Black track is the median. I think they rule out any outliers when doing it, but it’s essentially the middle of all of the tracks
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:34 pm to LSURulzSEC
quote:
What part of Lake Charles are you?
Downtown.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:34 pm to sonoma8
quote:
Slack, what time are they starting this contra flow bs.... im trying to decide on what time to leave my camp tom morning
IDK if they are staring contraflow - haven't heard about it at all, but they need it given the bridge situation in Morgan City.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:34 pm to SlowFlowPro
quote:
Unless something dramatic happens, yes. 100%
I am just on edge that "something dramatic happens" happens
I’m right there with you. I’m so gun shy it’s ridiculous.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:35 pm to TitleistProV1X
How does moving it a week out from when you need it help? My brain’s not understanding ..
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:35 pm to bayoudude
I've been told high-end 3 from someone in the know. I have not been through a major hurricane since I was a kid. Scared shitless.
This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 1:37 pm
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:36 pm to tiger91
If you don’t need it you move it a week to cancel so you don’t get dinged for a 48-24 hour policy
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:36 pm to lsugolfredman
quote:
All ensembles are run at a lower resolution than their operational counterparts.
This typically creates a greater variance than reality
Yeah it's just a little unexpected shift given the operational run of the GFS going slightly east of 6z.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:36 pm to Ed Osteen
Ok got it.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:36 pm to latxwoman
quote:
I've been told high-end 3 from someone in the know.
Someone in the know?
It’s a constantly evolving situation
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