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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:48 am to
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:48 am to
quote:

Spann is captain obvious today. To be fair, he doesn't have to make much effort to get clicks. All he really does now is retweet photos from other people.

Further, he's ramped up his "I'm the expert, don't come here acting like you know more than me" attitude.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:49 am to
A bit of a north shift would be unsurprising. Its trying to tuck the center under the convection and got pulled a little north.
Posted by kingbob
Sorrento, LA
Member since Nov 2010
70445 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:49 am to
Cat 4 triggers a mandatory evacuation of Orleans Parish because the levee system is only rated for a 3.

I’ve got a big decision to make. I have 3 options for riding out this storm:
1. Apartment in New Orleans. This would keep me relatively safe from wind and flooding as I’m facing an interior light well, but power outages would be brutal as I don’t have a gas stove and would have to take 15 flights of stairs to reach ground level.

2. Parents’ house. They have a generator, gas stove, and ample freezer space for all my food, but their land can be prone to flooding. If the projections of 20” are even remotely accurate, their house is going under.

3. Friend’s house in BR: insulated from flooding but prone to prolonged power outages due to downed trees. Has a gas stove. House is super crowded as a new tenant just moved in and some of the previous tenant’s stuff is still there. I would be riding the couch.

Current models track the eyewall to hit the latter two locations.
Posted by PhillyTiger90
Not Phillytiger9
Member since Dec 2015
11854 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:49 am to
quote:

Nola peeps staying or leaving?


1 story and no generator so I’m leaving tomorrow by lunch. Foley, AL so might try to sneak a beach day in after the storm passes
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216454 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:49 am to
That part of Cuba won’t help much with this storm.
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18050 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:49 am to
Just a reminder again not to sleep on the inland and river flooding threat. Lots of rainfall with this thing.

Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25816 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:49 am to
quote:

North Covington


quote:

I’m not going anywhere, what are we looking at 30-40 mph winds?


Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26623 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:50 am to
The GFS is very, and I mean very, slightly east at 48 hours.
Posted by LSUfanNkaty
LC, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2015
11962 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:50 am to
quote:

A bit of a north shift would be unsurprising. Its trying to tuck the center under the convection and got pulled a little north.



Dumb question, I'm sure, but how does that north shift with the center affect the E to W directional movement? (ridge aside)
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177279 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:50 am to
quote:

for once, can that country help us out a bit?


This same little tip of Cuba helped us out big time in 2008 and weakened cat 4 Gustav.
Posted by JDPndahizzy
JDP
Member since Nov 2013
6963 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:51 am to
quote:

Good thing all these thunderstorms are about to be rolling through for the next 6 hours to really get everything primed and soaked through before this hurricane hits.

We've been fighting this in the eastern Gulf all morning trying to get people out.. Helicopter operators shutting it down at COB today.
Posted by LSUTiger23
Madisonville, LA
Member since Jun 2010
1352 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:51 am to
GFS 12z coming in slightly more east than the 06z
Posted by bee Rye
New orleans
Member since Jan 2006
34580 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:51 am to
quote:

Only worry would be parking lot flood for car.



Go park it at the nearest hospital parking garage
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50698 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:51 am to
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
42220 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:52 am to
Posted by Brobocop
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2018
2118 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:52 am to
What mph winds we looking at in BR ?
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131528 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:53 am to
Would be nice if center passed right over isle of youth. Anything to slow it down
Posted by FutureMikeVIII
Houston
Member since Sep 2011
1761 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:53 am to
quote:


Forecasting and tracking is better but that 3 day Katrina cone doesn’t show anything about that.


Pretty sure, the cone shows forecasting skill based on historical data, it does not describe any of the uncertainty of any particular storm.

So, the three day cone being much smaller now than it was in 2005 is very much indicative of how much better forecasting has gotten since then.
Posted by LSUfanNkaty
LC, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2015
11962 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:53 am to
quote:

GFS 12z coming in slightly more east than the 06z



it corrected. Almost identical landing spot
Posted by trussthetruzz
Member since Sep 2020
9359 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:54 am to
quote:

What mph winds we looking at in BR ?


There’s a graphic explaining just this 2 posts before yours
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