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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:48 am to GEAUXmedic
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:48 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
Spann is captain obvious today. To be fair, he doesn't have to make much effort to get clicks. All he really does now is retweet photos from other people.
Further, he's ramped up his "I'm the expert, don't come here acting like you know more than me" attitude.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:49 am to loogaroo
A bit of a north shift would be unsurprising. Its trying to tuck the center under the convection and got pulled a little north.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:49 am to Delacroix22
Cat 4 triggers a mandatory evacuation of Orleans Parish because the levee system is only rated for a 3.
I’ve got a big decision to make. I have 3 options for riding out this storm:
1. Apartment in New Orleans. This would keep me relatively safe from wind and flooding as I’m facing an interior light well, but power outages would be brutal as I don’t have a gas stove and would have to take 15 flights of stairs to reach ground level.
2. Parents’ house. They have a generator, gas stove, and ample freezer space for all my food, but their land can be prone to flooding. If the projections of 20” are even remotely accurate, their house is going under.
3. Friend’s house in BR: insulated from flooding but prone to prolonged power outages due to downed trees. Has a gas stove. House is super crowded as a new tenant just moved in and some of the previous tenant’s stuff is still there. I would be riding the couch.
Current models track the eyewall to hit the latter two locations.
I’ve got a big decision to make. I have 3 options for riding out this storm:
1. Apartment in New Orleans. This would keep me relatively safe from wind and flooding as I’m facing an interior light well, but power outages would be brutal as I don’t have a gas stove and would have to take 15 flights of stairs to reach ground level.
2. Parents’ house. They have a generator, gas stove, and ample freezer space for all my food, but their land can be prone to flooding. If the projections of 20” are even remotely accurate, their house is going under.
3. Friend’s house in BR: insulated from flooding but prone to prolonged power outages due to downed trees. Has a gas stove. House is super crowded as a new tenant just moved in and some of the previous tenant’s stuff is still there. I would be riding the couch.
Current models track the eyewall to hit the latter two locations.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:49 am to saderade
quote:
Nola peeps staying or leaving?
1 story and no generator so I’m leaving tomorrow by lunch. Foley, AL so might try to sneak a beach day in after the storm passes
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:49 am to MorbidTheClown
That part of Cuba won’t help much with this storm.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:49 am to rt3
Just a reminder again not to sleep on the inland and river flooding threat. Lots of rainfall with this thing.


Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:49 am to gizmothepug
quote:
North Covington
quote:
I’m not going anywhere, what are we looking at 30-40 mph winds?

Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:50 am to Duke
The GFS is very, and I mean very, slightly east at 48 hours.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:50 am to Duke
quote:
A bit of a north shift would be unsurprising. Its trying to tuck the center under the convection and got pulled a little north.
Dumb question, I'm sure, but how does that north shift with the center affect the E to W directional movement? (ridge aside)
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:50 am to MorbidTheClown
quote:
for once, can that country help us out a bit?
This same little tip of Cuba helped us out big time in 2008 and weakened cat 4 Gustav.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:51 am to Fe_Mike
quote:
Good thing all these thunderstorms are about to be rolling through for the next 6 hours to really get everything primed and soaked through before this hurricane hits.
We've been fighting this in the eastern Gulf all morning trying to get people out.. Helicopter operators shutting it down at COB today.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:51 am to LSUTiger23
GFS 12z coming in slightly more east than the 06z
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:51 am to Coatesbathroom
quote:
Only worry would be parking lot flood for car.
Go park it at the nearest hospital parking garage
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:52 am to The Boat
What mph winds we looking at in BR ?
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:53 am to The Boat
Would be nice if center passed right over isle of youth. Anything to slow it down
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:53 am to The Boat
quote:
Forecasting and tracking is better but that 3 day Katrina cone doesn’t show anything about that.
Pretty sure, the cone shows forecasting skill based on historical data, it does not describe any of the uncertainty of any particular storm.
So, the three day cone being much smaller now than it was in 2005 is very much indicative of how much better forecasting has gotten since then.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:53 am to LSUTiger23
quote:
GFS 12z coming in slightly more east than the 06z
it corrected. Almost identical landing spot
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:54 am to Brobocop
quote:
What mph winds we looking at in BR ?
There’s a graphic explaining just this 2 posts before yours
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