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Started By
Message
re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:59 am to wope
Posted on 8/27/21 at 10:59 am to wope
LINK [0]=AZXhKtxoo7lfPWKYKTNC2q0qRWh6JLdBua0Gy-t-EofKOh0UsmTZ0t61TIvjNzN9oODBk7l_UIYJC8JhPs3yxHdRW-96zjLFJDGHpX1GuWZuclNxehplpY3VahyPFE6_DS-NePNdZ3awmnUy6aTtXAKzDeH5lpxftwCii7xbpHAEXQ&__tn__=%2CO%2CP-R" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noreferrer">HTV is live.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:00 am to The Boat
Really splitting hairs here but this is the past to present GFS runs. Quicker ejection to the east.


Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:00 am to The Boat
quote:
It's not my fault vienna sausages are so good.
Just wait till you discover the smoked ones. They are hard to find but hot damn they are delicious.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:01 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
HTV is live.
Everyone in this thread needs to watch this.
Hopefully he opens up the phone lines.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:02 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
HTV is live.
HE ALREADY GOT DAT BIG STICK OUT BAW!
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:02 am to rds dc
From a Strom chaser's
quote:
bomb's away…. #Ida will be a hurricane much sooner than forecast. This is a really bad sign that it’s strengthening as we approach diurnal minimum. Chances of a category 4+ type storm increasing, IMO…
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:02 am to Cosmo
12z GFS wind gusts.
Rain totals aren’t quite as daunting though.

Rain totals aren’t quite as daunting though.

Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:02 am to Oates Mustache
Ahhh Mais weh if Martin Folse is going live shite is about to get real.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:03 am to Oates Mustache
Martin Folse = Stacked
Terrebonne Parish = fricked
Terrebonne Parish = fricked
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:03 am to The Boat
You could set a coke can on dat arse. 
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:04 am to The Boat
I am really worried about the power outages. I am stunned you guys apparently have had more rain or just more than average than we have had in mobile since it rained damn near every day for 3 months but obviously your ground is saturated.
That means more trees are going to fall as ground is “soft” In the areas that have 100 mile winds from one direction for hours then 100 mile winds from different direction they are really going to fall. (Those shitty tall pines are going to be like match sticks. Man I hate those things in hurricanes since Fredrick. I was raking and picking up that shite for weeks)
So they are going to block roads, and take out power lines everywhere. The slower it moves the worst. The lack of prep time, and covid issues, (there are no power trucks lining up right now to help). California can’t send shite, Florida is covid central, etc. I fear some areas are going to be without power for weeks maybe even months.
I hope I am wrong about this, but if you live way down a bunch of little roads surrounded by Pune frees in small towns or rural areas you really need to have enough supplies to make it a few weeks or get out.
Again, I hope I am wrong but food for thought. This ain’t normal times.
That means more trees are going to fall as ground is “soft” In the areas that have 100 mile winds from one direction for hours then 100 mile winds from different direction they are really going to fall. (Those shitty tall pines are going to be like match sticks. Man I hate those things in hurricanes since Fredrick. I was raking and picking up that shite for weeks)
So they are going to block roads, and take out power lines everywhere. The slower it moves the worst. The lack of prep time, and covid issues, (there are no power trucks lining up right now to help). California can’t send shite, Florida is covid central, etc. I fear some areas are going to be without power for weeks maybe even months.
I hope I am wrong about this, but if you live way down a bunch of little roads surrounded by Pune frees in small towns or rural areas you really need to have enough supplies to make it a few weeks or get out.
Again, I hope I am wrong but food for thought. This ain’t normal times.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:04 am to Duke
Uncertainty plays into the cone. Like this beauty from Cristobal.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:04 am to slackster
At one point will the NHC updates become more frequent?
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:05 am to HammerheadLincoln
You know it's gonna get bad when the "My husband is a lineman" posts are trending on social media 
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:05 am to bayoudude
For anyone who doesn't follow Philippe Papin, you should. He is one of the best at providing a current understanding of what is going on with any particular storm. He's good and now works with the NHC.
@pppapin on Twitter
@pppapin on Twitter
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:05 am to TutHillTiger
quote:
The lack of prep time, and covid issues, (there are no power trucks lining up right now to help).
Uh, yeah there will be
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:05 am to TheFonz
Costco in BR is nuts but they’re handling it well from a check out perspective. I wouldn’t bother with gas unless you just hate yourself
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:05 am to The Boat
quote:
Uncertainty plays into the cone. Like this beauty from Cristobal.
Nope, the cone is a set amount of miles wide depending on how many hours away it is. Has nothing to do with certainty.
This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 11:06 am
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:06 am to Duke
quote:
Its 1 standard deviation of the error in track for the last five years. The cone aint small because of the relative certainty in track.
It’s also “small” because the forward speed makes the center fixes farther away, hence a smaller angle, but the cone at 24, 48, 72, etc hours is as wide as it was last year.
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