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Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:16 am to Pettifogger
quote:
Maybe the south LA topography is a different animal, but I think it's also relatively common that Cat 2-3 storms come in with recorded sustained below 100 even at the coast. I know that's not definitive of sustained winds due to measurement issues, but a consideration nonetheless
Correct. I think I saw on that screenshot earlier the highest sustained winds recorded in BR history was in the 75 MPH range or so. Imagine 25 more MPH... there would probably be more trees down than standing at the end of it. Barring some kind of random vaccum like condition that would allow the eye wall to basically remain completely intact for 200 miles or so, 100 MPH sustained winds is basically impossible this far inland.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:17 am to VermilionTiger
quote:
Looks like a west shift to me
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:17 am to maisweh
quote:
Keep going west you hoe!
frick that.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:18 am to slackster
Seems more west by 30 miles, no?
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:18 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
Looking annular no?
Louisiana is getting anal...that's for sure!
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:18 am to fatboydave
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:18 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
Looking annular no?
Bingo
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:19 am to Jake88
These were the models run at 1AM. The next ones will be telling now that we are getting a more defined center of circulation.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:20 am to CockyTime
Highest sustained in BR is 61 from Gustav
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:20 am to TDsngumbo
Hurricane hunters showing center fix North of previous fix.
Probably going to see a shift East in the tract later today.
https://aircraft.myfoxhurricane.com/recon/
Probably going to see a shift East in the tract later today.
https://aircraft.myfoxhurricane.com/recon/
This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 9:23 am
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:20 am to LSUTiger23
Seeing chatter that the last hwrf has it at 940 at landfall and initialized it at 8 kb higher than what the nws has already recorded?
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:21 am to sp22
However, deridder is more inland than BR and they got 90-100 from Laura
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:21 am to DhanTigers212
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:21 am to BilJ
quote:
BilJ
Bruh
This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 9:22 am
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:22 am to BilJ
I’d love to wish this thing go more West but I can’t wish that on SW LA; those poor people just can’t catch a break.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:22 am to sp22
quote:
Highest sustained in BR is 61 from Gustav
And Gustav fricked some shite up around BR.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:22 am to loogaroo
We just need to build a giant fan to blow the hurricane away from here
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:22 am to VermilionTiger
Praying for everybody in the path of this one.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 9:23 am to LSUTiger23
I guess if/when the news comes out on likely strength being 4-5 is when people not paying attention are going to flip the frick out.
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