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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:51 pm to Large Farva
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:51 pm to Large Farva
Nm
This post was edited on 8/26/21 at 5:52 pm
0
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:51 pm to slackster
quote:
Yeah I would take a quick storm 10 times out of 10.
I’m not an expert, but I’d take a category 2 over a category 4 10/10 times as well
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:52 pm to nugget
A cat 4 going 100 mph gets better gas mileage than a cat 2 at 10
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:54 pm to Chad504boy
quote:
A cat 4 going 100 mph gets better gas mileage than a cat 2 at 10
You are a fantastic hurricane salesman, *Slaps roof of the storm*
This post was edited on 8/26/21 at 5:55 pm
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:54 pm to rmnldr
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:54 pm to Tigerpaw123
quote:
slow cat 4 is about as bad as it gets, a fast moving cat 2 would be cake compared
The gist was a fast moving Cat 2 would hold its windfield together further inland than a slower moving stronger storm.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:55 pm to maisweh
quote:
So next run pushes it east?
Maybe, but the 18z GFS pretty much pegged where it thought Ida would be at this moment. It's not some egregious error like it was implied earlier.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:56 pm to nugget
quote:
I’m not an expert, but I’d take a category 2 over a category 4 10/10 times as well
With that kind of analysis you're well on your way to your own weather blog.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:57 pm to slackster
Its gonna shift east
fricking latoya gets bailed out every time
fricking latoya gets bailed out every time
This post was edited on 8/26/21 at 5:57 pm
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:57 pm to slackster
quote:
With that kind of analysis you're well on your way to your own weather blog.
They could call it “Weather Nuggets”. See it writes itself.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:58 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Its gonna shift east
fricking latoya gets bailed out every time
I mean you say that...
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:58 pm to Tigerpaw123
quote:
slow cat 4 is about as bad as it gets, a fast moving cat 2 would be cake compared
I was only talking about wind damage further inland.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:59 pm to Duke
Can you explain this to me like I'm 5
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:59 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Its gonna shift east
fricking latoya gets bailed out every time
It's possible but the GFS has been locked on for days now. It would take some really decent changes for it move significantly at this point. Tonight's runs will have additional data and we'll see by after tonight it's pretty much a lock.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:00 pm to Bayou_Tiger_225
quote:
Can you explain this to me like I'm 5
Yeah. What he said.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:01 pm to BOSCEAUX
quote:
I know it’s not ideal but a fast moving Cat 2 is better than a slow arse Cat 4. At least for catastrophic damage. Yes more people may lose power but less people will lose roofs.
Lol duh a cat 2 is better than a cat 4
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:01 pm to Oates Mustache
this isn't 2005 where you wake up and the Florida storm is now a Louisiana storm.
Changes are gonna be like 50 miles or so probably at the very very most
Changes are gonna be like 50 miles or so probably at the very very most
This post was edited on 8/26/21 at 6:01 pm
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:01 pm to Oates Mustache
Is the consensus now putting it between Morgan City and Gulfport?
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:01 pm to Bayou_Tiger_225
quote:
Can you explain this to me like I'm 5
The storm is supposed to be going NW but it's more or less moved west. I suspect the center is bouncing around with all the convection firing different places.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:01 pm to BOSCEAUX
If I recall last year the models were overestimating the forward speed of most storms. Are people fairly confident this thing is really going to go Cuba to Louisiana in ~48 hours? If that’s wrong and this spends a touch longer crossing the gulf . . .
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