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Started By
Message
re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:01 pm to Bayou_Tiger_225
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:01 pm to Bayou_Tiger_225
quote:
Can you explain this to me like I'm 5
Da big bad storm might hit you on the head really hard.
0
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:02 pm to geauxjo
quote:
Can you explain this to me like I'm 5
Recon indicated a pure west movement made by the COC. Bouncing around
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:02 pm to BOSCEAUX
In today’s unsurprising news, Grand Isle voluntary evac starting now.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:03 pm to The Boat
quote:
know it’s not ideal but a fast moving Cat 2 is better than a slow arse Cat 4. At least for catastrophic damage. Yes more people may lose power but less people will lose roofs.
Lol duh a cat 2 is better than a cat 4
I know. I was just saying a fast moving storm will hold its winds together further inland than a slower stronger storm. It was probably a bad analogy. I apologize.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:03 pm to rds dc
HWRF currently updating on tidbits, a good eastward shift from the previous run
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:03 pm to Oates Mustache
It's been a while since I've followed a tropical thread... so I have to ask this again
What are the NWS updates, in central time?
What are the NWS updates, in central time?
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:04 pm to slackster
quote:
Maybe, but the 18z GFS pretty much pegged where it thought Ida would be at this moment. It's not some egregious error like it was implied earlier.
Yes, I think the GFS is closer to the final solution than the Euro although both are fairly close.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:04 pm to Delacroix22
10
1
4
7
1
4
7
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:04 pm to Delacroix22
Ok.
The NHC updates four times a day:
4/10/4/10 CDT
Well the big updates. Position and strength are every 3.
This will change to every hour as the storm approaches.
The NHC updates four times a day:
4/10/4/10 CDT
Well the big updates. Position and strength are every 3.
This will change to every hour as the storm approaches.
This post was edited on 8/26/21 at 6:06 pm
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:05 pm to DVinBR
quote:
HWRF currently updating on tidbits, a good eastward shift from the previous run
Can you provide a link or a screenshot?
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:06 pm to No Colors
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:07 pm to DVinBR
Every forecast it more and more east. By tomorrow it's probably gonna be in Alabama
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:09 pm to Higgysmalls
I read something earlier that said a high pressure around Florida wouldn’t let it go much further East than the LA/Miss state line.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:10 pm to BOSCEAUX
My understanding it's going to ride that high into the NO area.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:10 pm to rds dc
Recon still shows a system that is disorganized with TS force winds displaced well away from the LLC. Which appears to be drifting west based on recon fixes (VDM) but that is probably just an artifact of how broad the LLC is at this time.
18z HWRF looks to be handling the situation pretty well and shows kind of a steady state system through Cuba with the "LLC" bouncing around and pressure going up over the next 6hrs or so. This results in a less organized system moving across Cuba tomorrow vs. 12z and the 18z GFS.
18z HWRF for 00z Saturday
vs. 12z at same time
vs. 18z GFS
18z HWRF looks to be handling the situation pretty well and shows kind of a steady state system through Cuba with the "LLC" bouncing around and pressure going up over the next 6hrs or so. This results in a less organized system moving across Cuba tomorrow vs. 12z and the 18z GFS.
18z HWRF for 00z Saturday
vs. 12z at same time
vs. 18z GFS
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:10 pm to DVinBR
quote:
HWRF currently updating on tidbits, a good eastward shift from the previous run
Actually it’s not. It’s just weaker but in the identically same place at 42
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:11 pm to Duke
frick
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:11 pm to Higgysmalls
And that would be typical. Nola is going down several days before landfall then it shifts becoming a non-event for the city.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:12 pm to Higgysmalls
quote:
Every forecast it more and more east. By tomorrow it's probably gonna be in Alabama
nb4 "So BR is in the clear??"
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:13 pm to PUB
quote:
And that would be typical. Nola is going down several days before landfall then it shifts becoming a non-event for the city.
You seem disappointed.
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