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re: Southeast Severe Weather: January 8-9, 2024

Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:11 pm to
Posted by red sox fan 13
Valley Park
Member since Aug 2018
18339 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:11 pm to
quote:

But it shows the line splitting and gapping South BR/AP?
Indian Mounds baw. I’m telling you it’s a real thing
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71375 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:12 pm to
quote:

So BR looks to have avoided the worst, or should we stay frosty a few more hours?

As soon as the line of storms clears your area you should he good as far as severe storms go. It'll still be pretty windy behind the line/front, though.
Posted by tigersownall
Thibodaux
Member since Sep 2011
16635 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:12 pm to
The entire state of Alabama is getting shite on right now.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71375 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:14 pm to
quote:

Low level lapse rates are horrible.

I didn't think they'd live up to some of the modeled soundings, but I didn't think they'd be this puny, either. It, and moisture, were the two glaring failure modes for this system, at least for the LA threat.
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
22808 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:15 pm to
quote:

So is BTR out of the woods?

quote:

Low level lapse rates are horrible. The front has really slowed too. There’s not enough propagation to get enough lift to overcome the poor low level lapse rates. Plus there’s too much low level shear with such poor low level buoyancy. The line doesn’t have a chance to deepen and intensify where it is now. Classic winter cape/shear balance issue.

Uh... what's that mean in English?

Do I have to set an alarm on my phone, or can I just go to bed like normal? BR/Central area
Posted by tgrgrd00
Kenner, LA
Member since Jun 2004
10932 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:15 pm to
quote:

we talking about the derecho that knocked the train off the Huey P. in Jefferson Parish?


Never forget. Office is 1/4 mile from where the train was on the ground behind the Cane's.

Craziest storm I've ever witnessed. Will never forget that day.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71375 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:16 pm to
quote:

The entire state of Alabama is getting shite on right now.

Hell, if we can keep most of the trees up I will take it. We need the rain.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
175612 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:18 pm to
You can go to bed in BR
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71375 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:18 pm to
KMOB sounding:
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
50746 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:20 pm to
Wind is getting intense at my location. Probably blowing 20 mph constantly with higher gusts.
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
22808 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:22 pm to
quote:

You can go to bed in BR

Thank you
Posted by LSUZombie
A Cemetery Near You
Member since Apr 2008
29556 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:23 pm to
quote:

Where are y’all getting blown up in BR? The house here loses powers when someone sneezes wrong but we’re fine for now - 70808


I’m in 70815. Off of Goodwood near Sherwood.

And yeah same. If there’s the slight bit of bad weather, power outage is imminent. Considering I work from home and Entergy response is always slow, it’s hard not to pull the trigger on a home generator.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
175612 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:25 pm to
I facetiously say if you live in an extremely low lying area around BR your biggest concern would be minor flooding over any other severe mode based on how slow the line is crawling now. Bunch of flash flood warnings in SW Mississippi.
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
14675 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:39 pm to
when the squall line supposed to get its act together again?
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216037 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:40 pm to
Not yet….
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
63704 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:41 pm to
quote:

propagation


Yea.....uhh....I knew this whole time that there wouldn't be enough....umm....propagation
This post was edited on 1/8/24 at 10:41 pm
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
22808 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:41 pm to
quote:

I facetiously say if you live in an extremely low lying area around BR your biggest concern would be minor flooding over any other severe mode based on how slow the line is crawling now. Bunch of flash flood warnings in SW Mississippi.
Thanks, that's relevant. I don't "flood" flood, didn't even in 2016. But I do get standing water in the yard when there's extended rain, my back yard in particular is graded poorly. Every so often we run a sump pump under the house (older house, elevated). One room is lower, used to be the garage once upon a time. Drylok has solved 99.9% of any wetness inside, even on named storms.

Actually more concerned about laying down in a couple minutes, and losing power in the night. Gotta get up around 5.
Posted by BamaCoaster
God's Gulf
Member since Apr 2016
6588 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:42 pm to
quote:

The entire state of Alabama is getting shite on right now


I live in Ft Morgan, and things are quiet.
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
39839 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:43 pm to
What do we think about this sounding? (We meaning the people who can actually read these)

Posted by ArHog
Gulf Coast
Member since Jan 2008
38123 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:43 pm to
Quiet on Plash Island as well
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