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Message

re: Social Security's insolvency date is now a year earlier

Posted on 6/18/25 at 3:46 pm to
Posted by Dixie2023
Member since Mar 2023
5226 posts
Posted on 6/18/25 at 3:46 pm to
The widowed and orphaned don’t get to collect on deceased spouse’s or parental SSI that’s already been paid into? Or do they receive extra? What about disabled? I’ve known of folks to label their bipolar or ADHD kids “disabled” and they receive a check? How do we keep that going?
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
53525 posts
Posted on 6/18/25 at 3:51 pm to
quote:

I understand it sounds cutting edge to say Ponzi Scheme but the simple fact is Social Security does not fit the bill in any fashion.

They don't know what future "revenue" will be, so they have no idea if they can pay future obligations.

A declining population, more automation would suggest that it will be lower than expected.

So you'll have been promised some return on investment, even if it's a shitty return, and they very likely will not be able to meet said return due to lack of new investors. It might not be the exact definition of a Ponzi scheme, but it's pretty damn close.
Posted by TigerintheNO
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2004
44902 posts
Posted on 6/18/25 at 3:54 pm to
quote:

It sure would be nice if I could opt of SS


Go work for a state that opted out. They don't pay into Social Security.

quote:

government employees not covered by Social Security in selected states

State % Noncovered
California 42%
Colorado 76%
Connecticut 64%
Georgia 22%
Illinois 42%
Kentucky 29%
Louisiana 87%
Massachusetts 100%
Missouri 20%
Nevada 100%
Ohio 100%
Texas 35%
Posted by DakIsNoLB
Member since Sep 2015
1234 posts
Posted on 6/18/25 at 4:14 pm to
quote:

^This. There are two older ladies both 80 in our local community who never worked a damn day in their lives but have been drawing their dead husbands Social Security for nearly 20 years, yet my 78 year old mother who worked her arse off and paid into that shite for 40 years can only draw her check and not my father's also who died over 10 years ago and paid into it for over 40 years also. Total bullshite.


The most she could likely draw is the higher of the two.
Posted by DakIsNoLB
Member since Sep 2015
1234 posts
Posted on 6/18/25 at 4:18 pm to
quote:

^This. There are two older ladies both 80 in our local community who never worked a damn day in their lives but have been drawing their dead husbands Social Security for nearly 20 years, yet my 78 year old mother who worked her arse off and paid into that shite for 40 years can only draw her check and not my father's also who died over 10 years ago and paid into it for over 40 years also. Total bullshite.


They are drawing survivor's benefits, which is legal under social security.

Your mother is drawing hers based on what she paid in; your father got to draw his based on what he paid in.

I responded to AugustaDawg with your mother can likely only draw the maximum of the two. SS has never allowed one person to draw the full amount from both their own and their deceased spouse.
Posted by LSUtoBOOT
Member since Aug 2012
20394 posts
Posted on 6/18/25 at 4:31 pm to
quote:

There have been “rumors” that the program has been bankrupt for 40+ years

Why would this be surprising with a national debt over 37 trillion, Congress folks are not economists, other than those financial geniuses Maxine Waters, AOC and Bernie Sanders.
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
53525 posts
Posted on 6/18/25 at 4:50 pm to
quote:

average everyone will collect what they have paid within 11 years of retiring. If your FRA is 67 now your life expectancy is a little over 78....that means most people live longer in retirement than it takes to collect every penny of what they paid during their lives into social security

Now imagine if you will, that money earning 6-10% returns over that time period. Wow, even if it outlived me, I could leave it to my kids. I'd select option B all day long. But hey, you got your money back now that it's worth 1/3 of what it was when you paid in
This post was edited on 6/18/25 at 4:52 pm
Posted by Galactic Inquisitor
An Incredibly Distant Star
Member since Dec 2013
18452 posts
Posted on 6/18/25 at 4:52 pm to
That's the cost of a birthday parade.
Posted by TigersnJeeps
FL Panhandle
Member since Jan 2021
2868 posts
Posted on 6/18/25 at 5:14 pm to
SS has no Constitutional basis....

but it isn't going anywhere...
Posted by BlackAdam
Member since Jan 2016
7178 posts
Posted on 6/18/25 at 5:17 pm to
Democrats will eventually have the house, senate and presidency, and will "smash the cap" thus turning SS completely into a massive transfer of wealth. But hey, it will be solvent on the backs of every American who works their arse off to achieve.
Posted by BlackAdam
Member since Jan 2016
7178 posts
Posted on 6/18/25 at 5:22 pm to
quote:

I don’t consider SS an entitlement.


That is because you don't know what an entitlement is. Entitlements are expenditures Congress has to make by law. SS is exactly an entitlement.
Posted by BestBanker
Member since Nov 2011
19452 posts
Posted on 6/18/25 at 5:26 pm to

This post was edited on 6/22/25 at 4:14 pm
Posted by NBR_Exile
Houston via Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2012
2079 posts
Posted on 6/18/25 at 5:29 pm to
quote:

It sure would be nice if I could opt of SS


Yep, 7.5% straight to the goverment. Then federal taxes after the off the top deduction. I'm getting there but hope to get my share one day.
Posted by armytiger96
Member since Sep 2007
2529 posts
Posted on 6/18/25 at 5:30 pm to
quote:

I was being very facetious. I'm ~ 15 years into dumping money into that garbage arse program.


I wasn't necessarily replying directly to you but to your generation and the generation behind you that seemed to share the sentiment of your previous post.

quote:

- Is there actually an 8% ROI on money paid into SS? I thought it was much lower than that? - Are you going to get anwhere close to 1.3M back out of it?


Of course not. My model was based on the assumption that if I took the money paid into SS and invested it in my 401K then when I retired my portfolio would be $1.3M greater assuming I avg 8% ROI on those investments. Keep in mind that calculation isn't 100% accurate due to the nature of compounding interest calculations over time.

Avg ROI on SS is 2.5% according to marketwatch.com.

quote:

It needs to completely go away. I'm offering to give up my ~ 15 years of paying in to make it happen. What will you give up to help make it happen?


I'm going to disagree with you here. I think it needs to be "privatized" which means that the money put into the system is NOT put into a general pool but into an account with my name on it. Either that or Gov't force you to put whatever the equivalent of FICA Tax payments into your 401K or something to that effect. This account would be transferable to designated beneficiaries upon your death.

GW Bush tried to privatize it in 2000's and it was DOA as democrats and the media propaganda machine spewed their garbage message. This was the point when I lost complete faith in our government to ever fix a problem in this country.
Posted by DakIsNoLB
Member since Sep 2015
1234 posts
Posted on 6/18/25 at 5:44 pm to
quote:

It sure would be nice if I could opt of SS


quote:

Yep, 7.5% straight to the goverment. Then federal taxes after the off the top deduction. I'm getting there but hope to get my share one day.


6.2% goes to SS and 1.45% for Medicare. Opt out of both I guess.

Posted by NBR_Exile
Houston via Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2012
2079 posts
Posted on 6/18/25 at 5:49 pm to
quote:

Opt out of both I guess.


I've retired years ago. Was opting out possible?
This post was edited on 6/18/25 at 5:50 pm
Posted by Finch
Member since Jun 2015
3741 posts
Posted on 6/18/25 at 5:51 pm to
quote:

i want at least the amount of money i put in


That’s not how Ponzi schemes work
Posted by La Place Mike
West Florida Republic
Member since Jan 2004
31399 posts
Posted on 6/18/25 at 5:54 pm to
These SS threads are hilarious. Filled with people that don't understand what SS is and how it is supposed to work. One poster claimed people were contributing $5000.00 a year for 40 years to SS. That means that person was earning over 80k a year for 40 years.
This post was edited on 6/18/25 at 6:17 pm
Posted by armsdealer
Member since Feb 2016
12296 posts
Posted on 6/18/25 at 6:09 pm to
Only the government can take an amount of money from its citizens that would have them multi millionaires at retirement and go broke returning a fraction of the value that the free market would have created.
Posted by FizzyPop
350 posts
Member since Jun 2024
824 posts
Posted on 6/18/25 at 6:23 pm to
So we can enact a bipartisan $1.7 trillion Infrastructure Bill several years ago but we can't infuse say $100 billion into SS? Things that make you go hmmmmm.
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