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re: So, WBRZ just reported 41' for the Amite in Denham

Posted on 7/12/19 at 7:14 pm to
Posted by lostinbr
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2017
9543 posts
Posted on 7/12/19 at 7:14 pm to
quote:

It's pretty much a wild arse guess at this point. It all depends on where the bands come on shore and how all of this plays out.

This. In 2016 the flood projections (once they came) were based on rain that had already fallen, and was continuing to fall. In this case they are base on projected rainfall that hasn’t even started yet.

I’m not saying people shouldn’t be prepared - they absolutely should. But just pointing out that there’s still a chance things aren’t as bad as currently projected.

At least that’s what I’m going with, for the sake of sanity.
Posted by tigerbutt
Deep South
Member since Jun 2006
24604 posts
Posted on 7/12/19 at 7:19 pm to
This will be a very underwhelming rain storm. The meteorologists have done remarkably well in putting the fear in everyone and will all be forgiven when everyone sees how moderate the rain fall will be compared to their doom and gloom predictions.
Posted by ElderTiger
Planet Earth
Member since Dec 2010
7015 posts
Posted on 7/12/19 at 7:20 pm to
quote:

The real question is... why are you watching WBRZ? WAFB is far superior in weather coverage.


Never trust a weatherman that wears a toupee!
Posted by WestSideTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2004
3589 posts
Posted on 7/12/19 at 7:21 pm to
I gotta agree with you there. Hopefully that is worse case scenario. 41 ft will definitely panic a lot of people though.
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112369 posts
Posted on 7/12/19 at 7:24 pm to
quote:

Wtf. He lost everything, family heirlooms, pictures, keepsakes. He was devastated



I mean, fool me once shame on you....
Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11488 posts
Posted on 7/12/19 at 7:25 pm to
People live in a flood plain then are shocked by flooding?

I don’t know why taxpayers subsidize this behavior.
Posted by Walt OReilly
Poplarville, MS
Member since Oct 2005
124686 posts
Posted on 7/12/19 at 7:30 pm to
frick off scumbag
Posted by ladygoodman
under there
Member since Oct 2016
371 posts
Posted on 7/12/19 at 7:31 pm to
quote:

frick off scumbag


Thanks for saying it. I was thinking the same thing.
Posted by tossedoff
LP
Member since May 2009
1525 posts
Posted on 7/12/19 at 7:32 pm to
quote:

Never trust a weatherman that wears a toupee!


Or whose son is the male anchor.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
25843 posts
Posted on 7/12/19 at 7:33 pm to
quote:

This will be a very underwhelming rain storm


This is potentially dangerous information. I suggest anyone concerned spend some time on the storm thread, start back about 20 pages or so now since there haven't been any recent updates. The usual suspects that know what the frick they are talking about and how to interpret the data have all been around. The consensus among them is there are places that are going to get hammered with rainfall, the exact places still remain a little fuzzy since Barry just doen't have his shite together yet.
Posted by RealityTiger
Geismar, LA
Member since Jan 2010
20446 posts
Posted on 7/12/19 at 7:34 pm to
quote:

I don’t know why taxpayers subsidize this behavior.

Please explain this to us in detail.
Posted by soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
65873 posts
Posted on 7/12/19 at 7:35 pm to
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35643 posts
Posted on 7/12/19 at 7:36 pm to
This forecast is based on the QPF (rainfall) forecast from the WPC. That one sets the heavy rain over Baton Rouge. So from the rain projections this is closer to a worst case.

That band might be east or west of BR, so it can be lower. Depends on what falls.

But also realize there is potential for higher rainfall amounts than projected in the main rain band.
Posted by GeorgeTheGreek
Sparta, Greece
Member since Mar 2008
66474 posts
Posted on 7/12/19 at 7:37 pm to
quote:

He got 7' in 16


7’ is a lot of water. Maybe he should have moved after the first flood?
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
48760 posts
Posted on 7/12/19 at 7:37 pm to
Duke, I thought the main rain events have shifted towards Lafayette?
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35643 posts
Posted on 7/12/19 at 7:41 pm to
quote:

Duke, I thought the main rain events have shifted towards Lafayette?


It may end up there. Between St. Tammany and Laffy could get the monster rain band.

I'm thinking it does end up more over the Morganza, but everyone that could get it should be prepared for what happens if you get the huge rains.
Posted by magildachunks
Member since Oct 2006
32485 posts
Posted on 7/12/19 at 7:43 pm to
quote:


Never trust a weatherman that wears a toupee!



Unless you want to Know wind forecasts.


Gaurantee he keeps an eye on those
Posted by secondandshort
Member since Jan 2014
1028 posts
Posted on 7/12/19 at 7:44 pm to
That would correlate to a lower river crest on the Amite correct?
Posted by LordSnow
Your Mom's House
Member since May 2011
5528 posts
Posted on 7/12/19 at 7:58 pm to
He shoulda got an aquadam.

Or moved.
Posted by Meezy
DA Bomb Squad
Member since Apr 2005
6956 posts
Posted on 7/12/19 at 8:04 pm to
I got 9.5ft in my business on Florida in 16. Spent the whole day moving stuff up thinking it was 38ft. Now have to go back in tomorrow and move all this shite to the rooftops!
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