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re: Snow Tease for Baton Rouge (Saturday) UPDATE (1/20)

Posted on 1/19/22 at 4:39 pm to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 1/19/22 at 4:39 pm to
That middle plains shortwave doing things huh?
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
102103 posts
Posted on 1/19/22 at 4:40 pm to
Another bust for Nola
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 1/19/22 at 4:41 pm to


Friday night snow party in BR?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 1/19/22 at 4:41 pm to
But NOLA was never in the mix.
Posted by purple18
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2009
1774 posts
Posted on 1/19/22 at 4:41 pm to
quote:

And down goes school on Friday


With the access to virtual learning, it’s a safe decision to close schools. Why take the chance of having buses on icy bridges and roads.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26623 posts
Posted on 1/19/22 at 4:47 pm to
quote:

Why take the chance of having buses on icy bridges


I almost fall out of a bridge once
This post was edited on 1/19/22 at 4:48 pm
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
102103 posts
Posted on 1/19/22 at 4:53 pm to
quote:

But NOLA was never in the mix.


So close tho
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10129 posts
Posted on 1/19/22 at 4:53 pm to
quote:

Why take the chance of having buses on icy bridges and roads.


Oh I agree but I dont think they will even go virtual on Friday
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
25464 posts
Posted on 1/19/22 at 4:57 pm to
These winter threads are much more confusing than hurricane threads.

- it might snow

- there is no chance of snow

- there might be a good bit of freezing rain and ice

- looks like the ice event is off. All dry air (I'm assuming dry air means no precipitation of any kind)

- models are showing snow


I can't keep up.
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10129 posts
Posted on 1/19/22 at 5:02 pm to
Yeah... I think winter storms are just tough to crack ESP down this far south.
Posted by LSUsmartass
Scompton
Member since Sep 2004
82743 posts
Posted on 1/19/22 at 5:05 pm to
I highly doubt they cancel school on Friday in the BR area
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 1/19/22 at 5:06 pm to
Winter weather is often harder than hurricanes.

An easy example the typical snowfall to liquid ratio. The normal assumption is 10:1 or 10 inches of snow to 1 inch liquid.

Do you get upset when there's a miss of 0.5" of rain? Probably not. You'd care if you miss the snowfall forecast by 5" though.

Then in the south, where you need about 40 things to go right to go right.
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10129 posts
Posted on 1/19/22 at 5:13 pm to
quote:

highly doubt they cancel school on Friday in the BR area


Why? Its Baton Rouge folks can barely drive on a dry road, let alone an icy one.
Posted by jaytothen
Member since Jan 2020
8679 posts
Posted on 1/19/22 at 5:13 pm to
quote:

I almost fall out of a bridge once


Did your buddy throw you over?
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75112 posts
Posted on 1/19/22 at 5:25 pm to
quote:

Friday night snow party in BR?

GFS or bust at this point. Nothing else is really showing it. Maybe if you can get some lingering showers farther to the North. Right now, after the rain moves through and the temps drop, the only area getting precip is the Gulf. Fingers crossed for some flurries, though.

That, or the GFS is on to a bit of something.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177296 posts
Posted on 1/19/22 at 5:25 pm to
We got spc hail reports from that cell
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15740 posts
Posted on 1/19/22 at 5:40 pm to
this is what the 18z GFS shows for 03z saturday on pivotal, im not sure why they are different?

This post was edited on 1/19/22 at 5:41 pm
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15740 posts
Posted on 1/19/22 at 5:55 pm to
here's a fun screenshot from the cold snap in 2018, 14F with a feels like of 1F

Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
25464 posts
Posted on 1/19/22 at 5:58 pm to
Wasn't a crack on the weather guys. Just been a whirlwind to follow.

I personally don't really care. All I'm hoping for is a free vacation day Friday.
Posted by Langland
Trumplandia
Member since Apr 2014
15382 posts
Posted on 1/19/22 at 5:59 pm to
Message: NOAA-NWS-ALERTS-LA1263DD05E10C.WinterWeatherAdvisory.1263DD23E760LA.LIXWSWLIX.b5dc5d51115eff6962365aa0ed63c635 from w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Sent: 15:23 CST on 01-19-2022
Effective: 18:00 CST on 01-20-2022
Expires: 12:00 CST on 01-21-2022

Event: Winter Weather Advisory
Alert:
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO NOON
CST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of a
light glaze generally less than a tenth of an inch.

* WHERE...All of Southwest and Coastal Mississippi. Portions of
Southeast Louisiana including the Northshore, metro Baton Rouge,
and the River Parishes.

* WHEN...From 6 PM Thursday to noon CST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Very slippery elevated roadways and bridges are
possible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning
commute. The cold wind chills as low as 15 degrees could result
in hypothermia if precautions are not taken.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A Winter Weather Advisory means that
periods of snow...sleet...or freezing rain will cause travel
difficulties.
Be prepared for slippery roads and use caution
while driving.
Instructions: Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

Target Area:
Ascension
Assumption
East Baton Rouge
East Feliciana
Iberville
Livingston
Northern Tangipahoa
Northwest St. Tammany
Pointe Coupee
Southeast St. Tammany
Southern Tangipahoa
St. Helena
St. James
St. John The Baptist
Upper Lafourche
Upper Terrebonne
Washington
West Baton Rouge
West Feliciana

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