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Message
re: Snow Tease for Baton Rouge (Saturday) UPDATE (1/20)
Posted on 1/19/22 at 6:09 pm to Hold That Tiger 10
Posted on 1/19/22 at 6:09 pm to Hold That Tiger 10
quote:
Wasn't a crack on the weather guys. Just been a whirlwind to follow.
No, I know.
I was illustrating why it aint your imagination its harder to follow and figure out.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 6:14 pm to Duke
quote:
But NOLA was never in the mix.
Its not over unless Peej says it is.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 6:16 pm to The Boat
quote:
The Boat
What's it looking like for TM Country and a little south in CenLa? I usually get my winter weather reports from tBoat.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 6:25 pm to BorrisMart
quote:
What's it looking like for TM Country and a little south in CenLa? I usually get my winter weather reports from tBoat.Although, last year it lead to a snowpocolypse.
Just a cold cold weekend for us up here. We won’t get out of the 30s until Saturday afternoon and might touch the high teens.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 7:41 pm to LSUsmartass
quote:
highly doubt they cancel school on Friday in the BR area
They let school out early if it’s going to rain in the afternoon, that shite is fa sho going to be canceled
Posted on 1/19/22 at 7:47 pm to LSU-MNCBABY
Already got the call from the St. Tammany Parish School Board about they are watching the weather and to look out for any updates.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 7:57 pm to Cool Hand Luke
00z HRRR continues the downtrend. Mostly nothing. A trace in some areas. The chance of the trace will probably be enough to get schools canceled.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 8:09 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
00z HRRR continues the downtrend. Mostly nothing. A trace in some areas. The chance of the trace will probably be enough to get schools canceled.
As that downward model trend has progressed, NOAA LIX has upped the chances. A bit bizarre. I have to wonder if they are seeing colder temperatures than what the models represent. A 1-2 degree reduction at the surface has big impacts.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 8:29 pm to lsugolfredman
The only thing I can figure is that they aren't buying the dry air taking over as the bulk of the rain moves out. They're probably seeing those light streamers in the area could be enough to cause problems, and by that time the temps are below freezing.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 8:43 pm to The Boat
quote:
Just a cold cold weekend for us up here. We won’t get out of the 30s until Saturday afternoon and might touch the high teens.
Well shite. I guess it beats another week of no power and 3" ice on the roads.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 8:46 pm to LegendInMyMind
Here's your answer:
quote:
Quick update on tomorrow night...potential and confidence is low and the main question mark is moisture available. Right now all models have trended drier with the bulk of the activity along the coast or to the south. However, looking at fcst soundings along I-12, much of the column is saturated for 6 to possibly 10 hrs. And where it is not completely saturated it is above those drier layers with lift being indicated. That would allow for precip to fall into that drier layer with evaporative cooling moistening and and cooling that layer. With that even though the trend has been drier it won`t take much to get precip and if precip is falling there will be winter precip to deal with. /CAB/
Posted on 1/19/22 at 8:47 pm to LegendInMyMind
I have a gut feeling the moisture is being downplayed. Look for flurries friday
Posted on 1/19/22 at 8:52 pm to trussthetruzz
quote:
gut feeling
It sure seems like you have done a lot of wish casting in this thread.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 9:11 pm to beerandt
So nobody really knows but it sounds like some of us will be at home with kids on Friday finding out. Godspeed
Posted on 1/19/22 at 9:13 pm to lsugolfredman
im curious if the NWS is leaning on the higher side for public safety
Posted on 1/19/22 at 9:19 pm to DVinBR
NWS has an advisory because people would be bitching if there was no advisory and we got ANY amount of ice
Posted on 1/19/22 at 9:43 pm to notiger1997
the “gut feeling” part is a joke if you’ve read the hurricane threads around here. Not wishcasting
Posted on 1/19/22 at 9:53 pm to trussthetruzz
Gotcha. I know all about that phrase in those threads.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 9:54 pm to notiger1997
I just acquired 2 bottles of Cambodian Titty milk just in case.
This post was edited on 1/19/22 at 9:56 pm
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