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re: Severe weather threat continues today for parts of the southeast - Threat is Over.

Posted on 3/17/21 at 11:42 am to
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 3/17/21 at 11:42 am to
quote:

nothingburger

Hoping this will be the word of the day
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71625 posts
Posted on 3/17/21 at 11:42 am to
quote:

Hmm looks like a nothingburger for me. They missed badly on the high risk area


You should keep an eye out for any cells that form on the tail end of that line out to the west. If you don't get anything before then, your area could be primed if any of those pop over you.
This post was edited on 3/17/21 at 11:43 am
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42049 posts
Posted on 3/17/21 at 11:44 am to
This is nuts:

Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100426 posts
Posted on 3/17/21 at 11:44 am to
Squall line is breaking up in Arkansas too. I might not hardly get any rain.

It feels prime here, suns out, humid, windy. Nothing is trying to form. Kinda weird I wonder what’s holding it off
Posted by tigerbandpiccolo
Member since Oct 2005
49437 posts
Posted on 3/17/21 at 11:45 am to
A lot of it is bad news. I also covered Hattiesburg and would often be on 59 and scared shitless with those little cells that popped up in the afternoons this time of year, right around the time I was heading back to Baton Rouge. It’s just not worth it to attempt to drive in that.
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15259 posts
Posted on 3/17/21 at 11:45 am to
HRRR shows only a line pushing through SLA this evening, nothing discrete
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71625 posts
Posted on 3/17/21 at 11:46 am to
quote:

It feels prime here, suns out, humid, windy. Nothing is trying to form. Kinda weird I wonder what’s holding it off


See my above post. I think your biggest threat will be any cells that form at the tail end of the line. Especially if you don't get anything between now and then, and if you see sun.
This post was edited on 3/17/21 at 11:47 am
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42049 posts
Posted on 3/17/21 at 11:47 am to
south Louisiana was never gonna get anything. This is about north of us.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
50874 posts
Posted on 3/17/21 at 11:47 am to
I don’t think we’ve had a 45% tornado probability here since April 27, 2011.
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15259 posts
Posted on 3/17/21 at 11:48 am to
the moderate risk area extends into SLA?
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71625 posts
Posted on 3/17/21 at 11:48 am to
Still not alot od spin on radar in Central AL, but plenty of development.
Posted by member12
Bob's Country Bunker
Member since May 2008
33038 posts
Posted on 3/17/21 at 11:48 am to
shite this is looking pretty darn serious. More like 2011 than 2012.

Hopefully I'm wrong. But I would take caution if you are in central Mississippi and Alabama.
Posted by Bray Wyatt
Member since Mar 2021
178 posts
Posted on 3/17/21 at 11:49 am to

Weird my sister found this driving from Atlanta
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
175772 posts
Posted on 3/17/21 at 11:50 am to
quote:

the moderate risk area extends into SLA?

That’s really just because they kind of have to

You can’t have a high risk area then nothing else around it. You have to work your way out and decrease risk from that center point. It’s pretty much to cover themselves.

But BR could still get a wind gust as the line moves through which is severe weather so they’d be right.
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15259 posts
Posted on 3/17/21 at 11:52 am to
Posted by TideCPA
Member since Jan 2012
13383 posts
Posted on 3/17/21 at 11:53 am to
quote:

I don’t think we’ve had a 45% tornado probability here since April 27, 2011.
This is only the sixth ever anywhere. 4/7/2006, 4/27/2011, 5/24/2011, 4/14/2012, 5/20/2019, and now 3/17/2021. All had enormous tornadoes in the 45% zone except 5/20/2019.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71625 posts
Posted on 3/17/21 at 11:54 am to
Such a weird storm mode right now. This almost looks like a progression/time lapse of the same cell:
Posted by oleheat
Sportsman's Paradise
Member since Mar 2007
14540 posts
Posted on 3/17/21 at 11:55 am to
Damn. Hoping everyone gets through this safely....
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21040 posts
Posted on 3/17/21 at 11:57 am to
Watch coming for portions of E. TX & W. LA. Line is breaking up and cells are taking on some supercell structures.

Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100426 posts
Posted on 3/17/21 at 11:58 am to
Clouds just thinned more and it got hot as frick here. Humid. Temps jumped from 75 to 79 on my dash in 5 minutes
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