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Severe weather threat continues today for parts of the southeast - Threat is Over.

Posted on 3/14/21 at 7:53 am
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42280 posts
Posted on 3/14/21 at 7:53 am

This post was edited on 3/19/21 at 1:09 pm
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41578 posts
Posted on 3/14/21 at 8:26 am to
I refuse to believe the BR area gets any actual severe weather from this. It’ll all be further north like 95% of the time in these outbreaks.
Posted by Duckhammer_77
TD Platinum member
Member since Nov 2016
2677 posts
Posted on 3/14/21 at 8:55 am to
Awesome. The one day I have to drive BR to morgan city then lafayette for work.
Posted by soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
65645 posts
Posted on 3/14/21 at 9:06 am to
quote:

The one day I have to drive BR to morgan city then lafayette for work.
This is in the future right? Take I-49, you’ll be fine.

Posted by SlickRick55
Member since May 2016
1887 posts
Posted on 3/14/21 at 9:33 am to
What about rainfall amounts?
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164116 posts
Posted on 3/14/21 at 9:34 am to
Classic Dixie Alley setup
Posted by HempHead
Big Sky Country
Member since Mar 2011
55446 posts
Posted on 3/14/21 at 9:48 am to
God looked at Mississippi and said, "frick this place in particular."
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora, Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
63958 posts
Posted on 3/14/21 at 10:49 am to
It's that time of year again. Instead of bitching about cold we bitch about thunderstorms and pollen. Then oppressive heat. Then three weeks of nice Fall weather. Then bitch cycle starts over again.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
53914 posts
Posted on 3/14/21 at 12:26 pm to
Here's a useful site to watch:
quote:

The Saint Louis University CIPS Analog Guidance is an impact-based decision support resource that uses an objective approach to find similar historicalevents to the upcoming forecast. By incorporating historical impact data with a conditional climatology of the model forecast, forecasters can use the
analog guidance to identify similar historical events and the risk of high-impact threats. Since November of 2009, the guidance has been mentioned in
over 1200 NWS Area Forecast Discussions by over 80 WFOs across the country.


CISP Historical Analog Guidance




Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
53914 posts
Posted on 3/14/21 at 12:52 pm to
On a semi-related note, storm chasers and meteorologists have a tendency to fight like school children on Twitter when they disagree. It is like the OT, but for storms.
Posted by HempHead
Big Sky Country
Member since Mar 2011
55446 posts
Posted on 3/14/21 at 12:56 pm to
You ready for Mooresville Rd to turn in to an overnight creek?
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
53914 posts
Posted on 3/14/21 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

You ready for Mooresville Rd to turn in to an overnight creek?


You need to stop throwing darts. You might hit something.
Posted by HempHead
Big Sky Country
Member since Mar 2011
55446 posts
Posted on 3/14/21 at 1:03 pm to
Hell I just like to drive out that way sometimes. We used to go gigging there after a good rain. Not trying to dox you, baw.
This post was edited on 3/14/21 at 1:04 pm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
53914 posts
Posted on 3/14/21 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

Hell I just like to drive out that way sometimes. We used to go gigging there after a good rain. Not trying to dox you, baw.


No big deal. If you go gigging in some of those spots, you probably saw more cotton mouths than anything. One of my old areas, I don't think I'd even consider going to now.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
141114 posts
Posted on 3/14/21 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

It's that time of year again. Instead of bitching about cold we bitch about thunderstorms and pollen. Then oppressive heat. Then three weeks of nice Fall weather. Then bitch cycle starts over again.

BUT...

at least right now tLLotOT are starting to put on their sundresses and bikinis again

ETA: and cut-off jorts with low cut tank tops
This post was edited on 3/14/21 at 1:55 pm
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42280 posts
Posted on 3/15/21 at 6:02 am to
I have updated the OP with the latest SPC outlook for Wednesday. The threat of a significant severe weather event Wednesday is still there.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
62763 posts
Posted on 3/15/21 at 6:22 am to
30% 3 days out is very uncommon.
Do we have any new terms that the SPC have added this year?
Posted by BuddyRoeaux
Northshore
Member since Jun 2019
2696 posts
Posted on 3/15/21 at 6:25 am to
ATL may not be a green track come Sunday. Busch series and the trucks should get some rubber down.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42280 posts
Posted on 3/15/21 at 6:25 am to
quote:

Do we have any new terms that the SPC have added this year?

As far as categories on the convective outlook, they haven’t changed anything. Still the same 5 risk categories (marginal, slight, enhanced, moderate, high).
Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
131369 posts
Posted on 3/15/21 at 6:30 am to
I’m in the 30% zone.

Does that also mean there is a 70% chance there won’t be severe weather?
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