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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding

Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:09 pm to
Posted by tilco
Spanish Fort, AL
Member since Nov 2013
14473 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:09 pm to
quote:


How far from the coast are you? Are in an area that could take on storm surge?


We’re wayyyy off the coast. I’m guessing it was a limb on a power line or something.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
111294 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:10 pm to
quote:

Looks to be going East now?? What are the chances it does something crazy and looping south and then nw again?
About 50/50 I’d say
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51685 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:10 pm to
I’m just really worried that the AL Coast could end up in the northern eyewall for 8-10 hours. Even for a cat 1, that’s 60+mph sustained winds.
This post was edited on 9/15/20 at 9:12 pm
Posted by Crimson1L
Fairhope
Member since Nov 2015
291 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:11 pm to
quote:

Baldwyn EMC Coop showing 12,000 of 74,000 without power. AL Power Outage Map


Still have EMC power in Fairhope, but starting to “flicker.”
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:12 pm to
quote:


Why do you get so upset in these threads.


I'm not upset. I actually smiled typing that. Your desire to be a contrarian in these threads has you willing to defend the pump system in New Orleans. That's impressive.

quote:

Tell me what I said was incorrect?



Everyone in SELA knows the rules in New Orleans - 1" of rain in the first hour and half an inch every hour after that - and even that is veryyyy optimistic.


Lastly, the 5 day total is what the NHC offers as part of their graphic package. There are 24 hour projections available from the WPC.



Zoom in and you'll see the pink. Also, if they're calling for 20", you can usually bet your arse the local totals will be even higher.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:13 pm to
quote:

About 50/50 I’d say


Sounds like you could work for the NHC.
Posted by lsumailman61
Gulf Shores
Member since Oct 2006
7967 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:14 pm to
Both my cameras, MM 3 in Ft Morgan on the oyster farm and on West Beach at 13th Street are offline so I’m assuming power is out at both locations. I’ll be booted up at dawn to assess damages.
Posted by lesthemadhatter
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2015
1495 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:14 pm to
Does anyone know if there is a possibility this storm could ever pick up speed as it moves more inland? Anything quicker than 2 mph?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:15 pm to
quote:

Fort Morgan Rd out by the Dollar General has had about 9" already today. At an inch an hour they will be at 12" by midnight.



Do you have any link to this? Appreciate it.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53877 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:15 pm to


Felicia Combs
@FeliciaCombsTWC
·
3h
Made it to #Daphne, Alabama on the east side of Mobile Bay. I’ll see you from 9am-1pm CT tomorrow on
@weatherchannel
.
This post was edited on 9/15/20 at 9:16 pm
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16382 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:15 pm to
Falling pressure doesn’t necessarily mean increased winds right?
It could just mean that wind speed isn’t dropping.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:16 pm to
quote:

Does anyone know if there is a possibility this storm could ever pick up speed as it moves more inland? Anything quicker than 2 mph?




It should pick up speed, but it won't be until around noon or so tomorrow.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16382 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:16 pm to
I think she starts tomorrow
Posted by Funky Tide 8
Bayou Chico
Member since Feb 2009
56840 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:16 pm to
quote:


What's the story on that boat?

It's the human interest stories that make TD hurricane threads elite.


Status unknown, but my gf and her mom are already accepting that its gone. I am trying to give them hope, but it ain't looking good I reckon.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14276 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:16 pm to
TS force sustained winds are just getting to the city and inland across the bay.

Coast Guard Station NOAA guage just hit 39 mph sustained gusting to 51.

There is much more to come. If power is starting to go out with 50 mph gusts, it won't be long for most of the rest of the area.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53877 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:16 pm to
damn, yeah just saw Her Twitter
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75056 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:16 pm to
quote:

Both my cameras, MM 3 in Ft Morgan on the oyster farm and on West Beach at 13th Street are offline so I’m assuming power is out at both locations. I’ll be booted up at dawn to assess damages.

At this rate, you may still be in the shite at dawn.
Posted by BamaCoaster
God's Gulf
Member since Apr 2016
7003 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:17 pm to
quote:

Baldwyn EMC Coop showing 12,000 of 74,000 without power. AL Power Outage Map



I live in GS, and parents live in Foley...we’re still with power
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51685 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:17 pm to
quote:

Both my cameras, MM 3 in Ft Morgan on the oyster farm and on West Beach at 13th Street are offline so I’m assuming power is out at both locations. I’ll be booted up at dawn to assess damages.

Yeah, there is a personal weather station out there that I follow and it has been offline since 4:45pm meaning power or internet went out then. I hope the Ft. Morgan area fares well. My family and I vacation out there every year and love it.
This post was edited on 9/15/20 at 9:18 pm
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:18 pm to
quote:

Everyone in SELA knows the rules in New Orleans - 1" of rain in the first hour and half an inch every hour after that - and even that is veryyyy optimistic.


No one believes that. That’s been proven to be inaccurate by a number of engineers. That is just a rule of thumb and talking points they use. The only way the pumps can pump at that capacity is if every pump is online pumping at full capacity and that will never happen because it’s impossible



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