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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding

Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:16 pm to
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102610 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:16 pm to
quote:

Actually, stupid people piss me off, so I try to make them less stupider.


Less stupid*
Posted by blight
central
Member since Jul 2012
1036 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:17 pm to
yes. type slowly so the more stupider posters can understand.
This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 6:18 pm
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:17 pm to
quote:

Oh for frick’s sake folks, you realize this stuff is archived, right? We can easily call you on your bullshite. When was the storm projected to go 50 miles west of New Orleans? When did it make landfall 150 miles east of New Orleans? It’s only 100 miles from the center of Lake P to the MS/AL border.


Not to bust your balls or any of the guys that give good info here. BUT just a couple weeks ago, someone stated that when the strike zone is out 36 hours, things are set in the cone.

Guess this one has busted a lot of balls.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:18 pm to
Big OOF slack
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:18 pm to
quote:

Less stupid*


Hopefully my sarcasm was clear.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:19 pm to
quote:

BUT just a couple weeks ago, someone stated that when the strike zone is out 36 hours, things are set in the cone.

Guess this one has busted a lot of balls.


36 hours out for this storm happened about 6 hours ago.
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15737 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:20 pm to
is the shear supposed to lay off on Sally for it to increase in strength? seems to be getting impacted pretty good right now
Posted by TigerNAtux
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2007
18622 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:21 pm to
IR showing some thunderstorm action around the eye.
Posted by Mohican
Member since Nov 2012
7117 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:21 pm to
quote:

Every time i start to feel a little better about this storm a new model comes out that puts me right back in the crosshairs of the eye...This is stupid.


Over the years I’ve watched the windshield wiper effect and done the wobble watching back and forth I’ve come to one conclusion.

The NWS is most consistently more accurate with their track than any one model has ever been. That is one government organization that seems to hire competent people.

Not to say they don’t miss, but they’re extremely solid.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75069 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:23 pm to
quote:

Anyone have a c.unt hair to measure this?

Definitely a red one maybe a red one and a half.
This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 6:25 pm
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:24 pm to
quote:

36 hours out for this storm happened about 6 hours ago.


Understand 100%. This storm will feed a lot of info in the future.

Like I said, not trying to bust anybody's balls.

Oh, if you ever in the New Roads area, beer is on me.
This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 6:26 pm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75069 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:24 pm to
This is officially an OT hurricane thread now that we have a multi-page bitchfest over "The Cone".
This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 6:25 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21504 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:26 pm to
quote:

Some signs that mid-level shear is pushing back a bit. Seeing a bit of degradation in the overall appearance. How long will that last?


Cloud tops had been warming near the center all afternoon but this new convective burst might be a sign that the system will once again try for some accelerated strengthening.

Posted by Dlab2013
Pineville, Luzianna
Member since Jun 2013
9529 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:26 pm to
quote:

This is officially an OT hurricane thread now that we have a multi-page bitchfest over "The Cone".


You musta missed the school closure bitchfest this morning lol
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
26696 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:26 pm to
quote:

This is officially an OT hurricane thread now that we have a multi-page bitchfest over "The Cone".


So does the M in the cone stand for Multi-page then?
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:28 pm to
quote:

This is officially an OT hurricane thread now that we have a multi-page bitchfest over "The Cone".


Me, I'm one happy camper this shite is going way east. Was stand to loose around 25K in pecan money.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75069 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:28 pm to
quote:

The NWS is most consistently more accurate with their track than any one model has ever been.

That is by design. The NHC takes every bit of current information available into account when making their forecasts. They are beholden to no single model, and will evaluate everything from soundings, Hurricane Hunter data, and local weather station data.
Posted by back9Tiger
Island Coconut Salesman
Member since Nov 2005
17943 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:28 pm to
Oye, the school closure bitch fest was a site to see.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75069 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:28 pm to
quote:

Me, I'm one happy camper this shite is going way east. Was stand to loose around 25K in pecan money.


You have an orchard, baw?
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:29 pm to
quote:

the system will once again try for some accelerated strengthening.


Well, that's just something we don't want to hear
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