- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:40 pm to Friedbrie
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:40 pm to Friedbrie
quote:
Meteorologists have the only job I know of where their "predictions" affect so many lives, they can be wrong more than 75% of the time, and still keep their jobs.
It’s almost like the more variable a system has the harder it is to predict the system’s future.
0
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:40 pm to Duke
Dropsondes and reconnaissance is preferred to onland resources when tracking close to shore?
I'm thinking of the delay in dropsondes vs technology that can estimate conditions
I'm thinking of the delay in dropsondes vs technology that can estimate conditions
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:42 pm to fightin tigers
So is thing a nothingburger for Nola yet?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:42 pm to Lasix
Sally making her presence known in Baton Rouge at this hour.
If you're getting out to grab a burger and blast from Sonic, be careful, the Baton Rouge area is under a Tropical Storm Warning.
If you're getting out to grab a burger and blast from Sonic, be careful, the Baton Rouge area is under a Tropical Storm Warning.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:43 pm to ellishughtiger
Are you asking if it will be going just east of NOLA?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:44 pm to slackster
quote:
Point being, I’d be a little surprised if they come down on the winds with such a recent data point to consider. Maybe they do though.
I don't think they'll drop the wind estimate and I think this is a short term hiccup in strength. I'm just saying I think 100 mph max is a little too high for what is being shown by the recon.
The NHC isn't going to drop the Category with it coming toward a population area. Maybe 95, but I doubt it and don't really blame them.
quote:
Maybe. Have my doubts. Probably less than 6 mph?
I'm talking recently. Next couple hours will tell.
There's an airplane in there finding the exact center and marking it. The last two passes have the center moving due west. There's nothing to doubt. It's moving slow for sure.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:44 pm to ellishughtiger
Watching Weather Channel. Guess they are maximizing the fear level. Forecaster is wearing a mask while giving hurricane outlook.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:45 pm to fightin tigers
From 50 miles west to over 150 miles east in about 36 hours ..........
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:46 pm to fightin tigers
quote:
Dropsondes and reconnaissance is preferred to onland resources when tracking close to shore?
I'm thinking of the delay in dropsondes vs technology that can estimate conditions
VDMs - recon center fixes - are better for storm motion because they tend to smooth out wobbles due to the time interval between fixes. They still wobble, but much less so than radar scans ever few minutes. NHC tries to talk in terms of the storm's “best track,” which is in 6 hr intervals.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:46 pm to fightin tigers
quote:
Dropsondes and reconnaissance is preferred to onland resources when tracking close to shore?
That's the preferred method period, but obvious can't do drops over land. You get pretty real time data from radio signal. Anything on land like radar is estimating.
It's practically real time data from the planes.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:47 pm to Duke
quote:
don't think they'll drop the wind estimate and I think this is a short term hiccup in strength. I'm just saying I think 100 mph max is a little too high for what is being shown by the recon.
Gotcha. Agreed too.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:50 pm to Duke
quote:
The NHC isn't going to drop the Category with it coming toward a population area. Maybe 95, but I doubt it and don't really blame them.
This is what I tell everyone here. Just with a little less tact.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:51 pm to Duke
18z GFS and now 18z HMON are both more west ( New Orleans isn’t in play though).
Peak intensity 120mph.
Peak intensity 120mph.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:52 pm to Ramblin Wreck
Looks like she is stopping in Atmore for the night at some Casino. She’s not really sure what to do from there. Gonna make a plan tomorrow. But she’s pissed she was talked into leaving. She’s worried she won’t be able to get back for 7-10 days.
I’m not familiar with that area much off 65, assume it’s a decent area
I’m not familiar with that area much off 65, assume it’s a decent area
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:53 pm to slackster
quote:
New Orleans isn’t in play though).
Don't toy with my emotions
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:54 pm to IT_Dawg
quote:
stopping in Atmore for the night
Prayers sent
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:54 pm to IT_Dawg
The casino is fine. Couple of gas stations, a Popeye’s and a Taco Bell is about all there is at that exit.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:55 pm to fightin tigers
quote:
Don't toy with my emotions
Felt the need to clarify in case people see west and freak out.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:55 pm to slackster
I don't have the bourbon for a shift back to NOLA
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:55 pm to IT_Dawg
quote:
Looks like she is stopping in Atmore for the night at some Casino
The Wind Creek, excellent choice.
Also a Hardees right down the road, great exit.
The Poarch Creek Indians thank you for your visit.
Everything is basically brand new.
This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 6:00 pm
Page 157 of 298
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News