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Started By
Message
Oil prices record steepest annual fall since Covid pandemic
Posted on 1/1/26 at 2:28 pm
Posted on 1/1/26 at 2:28 pm
Truck Nuts {Off} On
quote:
Oil markets have recorded their steepest annual fall since the Covid pandemic and could be on track to plummet further as oil producers continue to pump more crude than needed by the global economy.
Oil prices slumped by almost 20% in 2025, marking the biggest annual loss since 2020 and the first time that the oil market has recorded three consecutive years of annual losses.
The steady slide in prices has emerged despite ongoing conflict in some of the world’s most important energy-producing regions due to a “cartoonishly” oversupplied market, according to analysts.
Crude fell below $60 a barrel for the first time in almost five years last month as political leaders began to inch towards a Russia-Ukraine peace deal which could increase the glut in the global market if western sanctions are lifted on Russian exports.
6
Posted on 1/1/26 at 2:31 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
Good. Gas should be no more than $2 gallon. Everyone makes bank and the consumer isn't raped.
Posted on 1/1/26 at 2:32 pm to kywildcatfanone
Gas Price People.....lol!
Posted on 1/1/26 at 2:39 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
This is more of a money board topic, but the contrarian in me says it’s only a matter of time before oil rockets back up. Everyone and I mean everyone is bearish on oil. That’s typically when the elites are quietly entering positions.
Posted on 1/1/26 at 3:15 pm to kywildcatfanone
quote:
Gas should be no more than $2 gallon.
quote:
Everyone makes bank and the consumer isn't raped.
$2 X 42 gallons/barrel = $84 barrel
Gulf of America development breakeven = $60 barrel
$24 left to transport to refinery, refining process, to transport to retail site, to market/advertise and for all to make reasonable return on capex / capital employed
…after paying all federal and state taxes.
Everyone DOES NOT make bank. Fact.
S&P 500 has returned cumulative 22X these last 30 years. Major oil stock 10X over same period.
Why the difference? Oil price / cycle.
“Bank” is made outside oil industry / segment more often than not.
Posted on 1/1/26 at 3:24 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
Just stocked up on 20L from Costco.
Posted on 1/1/26 at 3:24 pm to TDFreak
quote:
Everyone and I mean everyone is bearish on oil. That’s typically when the elites are quietly entering positions
Companies aren’t investing in capex at all, when the worm turns its going to be very painful.
This post was edited on 1/1/26 at 3:29 pm
Posted on 1/1/26 at 3:27 pm to kywildcatfanone
quote:
Gas should be no more than $2 gallon. Everyone makes bank
Are you in the industry?
Posted on 1/1/26 at 3:35 pm to Everyday Is Saturday
Except that more goes into the price of gas than the price of oil. There’s state taxes, individual state emission standards, refinery capacity, to name a few.
Why do you think California gas prices are so much higher than Louisiana gas prices when the price of a barrel of oil is more or less the same in both states?
Why do you think California gas prices are so much higher than Louisiana gas prices when the price of a barrel of oil is more or less the same in both states?
Posted on 1/1/26 at 3:35 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
Posted on 1/1/26 at 3:37 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
Drill baby drill
Posted on 1/1/26 at 3:39 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
Cheap oil suffocates Russia and their allies
Posted on 1/1/26 at 4:16 pm to Macavity92
1st reply to OP says…
Me says…
Case in point…
30 years in oil industry (upstream & retail fuels). Tell me about it. I just stripped it down to raw materials to make pernt. Not much else needed but appreciate your help.
quote:
Everyone makes bank
Me says…
quote:
Not true. Optimum oil price for all segments in value chain is higher than what yields $2.00 street price
Case in point…
quote:
Except that more goes into the price of gas than the price of oil.
30 years in oil industry (upstream & retail fuels). Tell me about it. I just stripped it down to raw materials to make pernt. Not much else needed but appreciate your help.
This post was edited on 1/1/26 at 4:23 pm
Posted on 1/1/26 at 7:20 pm to Everyday Is Saturday
quote:
$2 X 42 gallons/barrel = $84 barrel
You need to look up the per barrel output after distillation.
Posted on 1/1/26 at 7:31 pm to kywildcatfanone
quote:
Everyone makes bank and the consumer isn't raped.
Tell us you don't know about crack spreads without telling us you don't know about crack spreads.
Posted on 1/1/26 at 8:15 pm to 2 Jugs
quote:
You need to look up the per barrel output after distillation
Yield less than 100%…say what? Kidding.
Making a simple pernt with simple math…
That is…no, no on the everyone making bank comment.
Posted on 1/1/26 at 8:20 pm to kywildcatfanone
Everyone does not make bank at those prices.
You are ill informed.
You are ill informed.
Posted on 1/1/26 at 8:22 pm to JohnnyKilroy
Clearly he is not.
Posted on 1/2/26 at 6:04 am to Everyday Is Saturday
42 gallon barrel of oil yields at optimum, 20 gallons of gasoline, 9 gallons of diesel and 4 gallons of jet fuel/kerosene, et al.
Use the correct numbers for your argument.
Use the correct numbers for your argument.
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