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Message

re: NOAA says sea levels could rise 2 feet by 2050 in Louisiana.

Posted on 2/17/22 at 8:22 am to
Posted by LSUtoBOOT
Member since Aug 2012
12521 posts
Posted on 2/17/22 at 8:22 am to
Da Boot’s gonna go all Tom Dempsey on us.

Posted by Aubie Spr96
lolwut?
Member since Dec 2009
41214 posts
Posted on 2/17/22 at 8:24 am to
quote:

subsidence is a real thing as the land isn’t getting built up by spring floods since the levees were installed.



Ironically, the very systems they built to protect New Orleans will ultimately be what kills it.
Posted by Naked Bootleg
Member since Jul 2021
1848 posts
Posted on 2/17/22 at 8:25 am to
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
26039 posts
Posted on 2/17/22 at 8:26 am to
quote:

2050


No it won’t! Trump will still be President.
Posted by Kadjin
edge of the basin
Member since Oct 2013
1251 posts
Posted on 2/17/22 at 8:29 am to
quote:

I used to be heavily involved in measuring and documenting coastal subsidence and land loss.


I’m still involved, been surveying the marsh for 8 years now, with survey data I’ve seen no discernible rise in sea level in 8 years. Land loss and subsidence is another story, you can see that with the naked eye over brief periods of time. Louisiana has 100 problems, but sea level rise in my opinion is so far down the list it doesn’t even need to be mentioned at this point.
Posted by lsugradman
Member since Sep 2003
8594 posts
Posted on 2/17/22 at 8:30 am to
Coastal subsidence in Louisiana is a real and serious thing. I studied it and went out in the field and measured it extensively. But the highest rates are generally not in areas where people are living. Its very much soil/geology dependent and there are some localized high rates near coastal faults and water/HC withdrawal areas.
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
36791 posts
Posted on 2/17/22 at 8:32 am to
They predicted this same shite in the 80s. Only it Was supposed to happen by 2000. Grand isle and Houma are still there. As is Chalmette, Venice, and Braithwaite. NOAA has no credibility on anything related to the long term future.

Shut up and try to get the forecast for this weekend correct. That’ll be good enough.
Posted by NPComb
Member since Jan 2019
27484 posts
Posted on 2/17/22 at 8:32 am to
That's it. I'm not moving. I've always wanted beachfront property and I can get that right here in BR!
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
28504 posts
Posted on 2/17/22 at 8:33 am to
And Alexandra Daddario could call me to come over and reenact the Woody Harrelson scene from True Detective with her next week.

Both of these scenarios have about an equal chance of happening...which is almost zero
Posted by lsugradman
Member since Sep 2003
8594 posts
Posted on 2/17/22 at 8:33 am to
I believe NOAA is quoting relative seal level rise, not absolute so they are factoring in their estimates of subsidence over that time period. Again subsidence rates vary widely across coastal Louisiana. In marshland and heavy silt areas its super high.
Posted by yellowfin
Coastal Bar
Member since May 2006
97720 posts
Posted on 2/17/22 at 8:35 am to
This is a good thing, more water = more fishing spots
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
16478 posts
Posted on 2/17/22 at 8:36 am to
quote:

The point of my post was that every time one of these reports are published, the estimates seem to be all doom and gloom then as the years go by we learn it is no where near reality.

Guess that means our tax dollars are working, at least that's what their counter-point will be. Besides, I thought this was getting solved by all of our Christmas trees.
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 2/17/22 at 8:37 am to
I am well aware of that.
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
119538 posts
Posted on 2/17/22 at 8:39 am to
quote:

Da Boot’s gonna go all Tom Dempsey on us.
Posted by TheFonz
Somewhere in Louisiana
Member since Jul 2016
20475 posts
Posted on 2/17/22 at 8:39 am to
I can remember in the fifth grade (1991) being told the exact same shite would happen by 2015.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
68431 posts
Posted on 2/17/22 at 8:41 am to
In roughly 1984 we were told nola would be underwater by 2014 or so.
Posted by lsugradman
Member since Sep 2003
8594 posts
Posted on 2/17/22 at 8:42 am to
So are you saying the survey data is showing no appreciable subsidence in the last 8 years? I mostly looked at geodetic leveling data going from the 50s to roughly 2005. As well as some more recent GPS measurements at key locations. Havent kept up with the most recent data but the historical data definitely showed plenty of subsidence at different rates both temporally and spatially.
Posted by Miethos
A van down by the river
Member since Sep 2021
42 posts
Posted on 2/17/22 at 8:42 am to
ManBearPig was just sighted in the NOLA area carjacking some fools. News at 10
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 2/17/22 at 8:43 am to
quote:

So are you saying the survey data is showing no appreciable subsidence in the last 8 years?
Where?
Posted by HeadSlash
TEAM LIVE BADASS - St. GEORGE
Member since Aug 2006
49874 posts
Posted on 2/17/22 at 8:43 am to
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