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re: Millennial's or Gen Y

Posted on 4/11/20 at 12:36 pm to
Posted by northshorebamaman
Mackinac Island
Member since Jul 2009
38578 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 12:36 pm to
I don't think anyone denies (or at least I don't) that there were tough times. But every generation has tough times. Where his was fortunate was in the amount of good times. No major conflicts. Some strong economies. Massive improvement in living standards (if square footage is your standard of good living, at least). Not to say it was all roses.

I'm not on the generation hate train but it's not unfair to point out that someone born in 1960 was fortunate to be born when they were, historically. I don't resent people his age but I do envy them a little.
Posted by Joshjrn
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2008
33445 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 12:38 pm to
quote:

Thatsnot the reality of most people. If you were born in the South in the fifties or sixties, itsmost likely you were poor.

What you're describing is economic privilege.


What percentage of people currently at the age of... let's say 65... would you say have a life experience extensive and varied such that they should be deferred to? Let's say we could hypothetically interview every single person in this country who is currently 65 years old. After you had all of those interviews, what percentage of them do you think you would be comfortable saying "ok, you and I disagree on X, but because of what you have been through, I will defer to your judgement."

Because when generations clash, that's generally what it comes down to. I argue for X, Boomer argues for Y. When argument turns against Boomer, Boomer plays the "I have ___ years of experience on you; talk to me ___ years" card and expects everyone to bow in awe of their mythical "experience". You've been doing the exact same thing the exact same way for decades. Awesome. No one gives a shite. Either make your argument on the merits, or frick off.

At its core, Boomers aren't pissy because we don't listen to them, because we don't consider their views, etc, etc, etc; Boomers are fricking pissy because we don't defer to them, and they believe they deserve to be deferred to, because they have somehow "earned" it.
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
53839 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

I'm not on the generation hate train but it's not unfair to point out that someone born in 1960 was fortunate to be born when they were, historically. I don't resent people his age but I do envy them a little.

I was born in 78 and think it was a decent time to be born. I got to spend all of my childhood in the 80s, teens and early 20s in the 90s. I got out of college in 2000 which was a decent time economically. I was nearly a decade into my career by 2008-2009.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 12:41 pm to
quote:

not unfair to point out that someone born in 1960 was fortunate to be born when they were, historically.


A person born in 1960 absolutely had it more difficult right out of school than someone today.

If you're arguing their childhood was better, or their 40s were better, that's a different ballgame. But their young adult years were an economic pit. Particularly in Louisiana.

Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
41925 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 12:42 pm to
Nah
Posted by SHOtime Tiger
Member since Aug 2019
1361 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 12:43 pm to
quote:


A person born in 1960 absolutely had it more difficult right out of school than someone today.


Nope
Posted by OleWar
Troy H. Middleton Library
Member since Mar 2008
5828 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 12:45 pm to
Who is making you defer to them? Your parents, are you still living at home? I don't know anyone who tries to make me defer to them. Except maybe my wife and she is a year younger than me.
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
42786 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

Not as bad as the 08-09 graduates, but still.


Probably worse
Posted by OleWar
Troy H. Middleton Library
Member since Mar 2008
5828 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

Particularly in Louisiana.


I feel like people from different parts of the country are arguing generations but from the perspective of their region.

By most every metric every year has gotten better in the South, while perhaps in the North and California the decline has been more apparent.
Posted by northshorebamaman
Mackinac Island
Member since Jul 2009
38578 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

By most every metric every year has gotten better in the South, while perhaps in the North and California the decline has been more apparent.
Maybe. My parents were born in 60. We lived in a nice house in Palo Alto on my dad's lumberyard pay. From that perspective it's gone downhill a bit.
This post was edited on 4/11/20 at 12:52 pm
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 12:54 pm to
quote:

Nope


Were you there?

UI was 12%, interest rates 17-22% when these people graduated college.

Manufacturing jobs (those high paying non negree jobs) disappeared after 1970'.

In Louisiana, the recession worsened while it improved in some places

quote:

Between 1982 and 1987, the state would lose 147,000 jobs, or 9% of its workforce.


LINK
Posted by Pop
Member since Feb 2013
1126 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 1:08 pm to
Not the way the boomers I know worked. You are just trying to make it fit where you want it to.
Posted by TxTiger82
Member since Sep 2004
34329 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

What metrics do you use to decide the 70s were the most prosperous and mobile time?



Well here's one study for your perusal, since you asked ...

LINK

quote:

We estimate trends in intergenerational economic mobility by matching men in the Census to synthetic parents in the prior generation. We find that mobility increased from 1950 to 1980 but has declined sharply since 1980. While our estimator places greater weight on location effects than the standard intergenerational coefficient, the size of the bias appears to be small. Our preferred results suggest that earnings are regressing to the mean more slowly now than at any time since World War II, causing economic differences between families to become more persistent. However, current rates of positional mobility appear historically normal.
Posted by TxTiger82
Member since Sep 2004
34329 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 1:28 pm to
And another showing low probability of intergenerational mobility today (relatively higher in places like San Jose, CA, but not everyone lives there ...)

LINK

quote:

We use administrative records on the incomes of more than 40 million children and their parents to describe three features of intergenerational mobility in the United States. First, we characterize the joint distribution of parent and child income at the national level. The conditional expectation of child income given parent income is linear in percentile ranks. On average, a 10 percentile increase in parent income is associated with a 3.4 percentile increase in a child’s income. Second, intergenerational mobility varies substantially across areas within the United States. For example, the probability that a child reaches the top quintile of the national income distribution starting from a family in the bottom quintile is 4.4% in Charlotte but 12.9% in San Jose. Third, we explore the factors correlated with upward mobility. High mobility areas have (i) less residential segregation, (ii) less income inequality, (iii) better primary schools, (iv) greater social capital, and (v) greater family stability. Although our descriptive analysis does not identify the causal mechanisms that determine upward mobility, the publicly available statistics on intergenerational mobility developed here can facilitate research on such mechanisms.

Posted by TxTiger82
Member since Sep 2004
34329 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 1:30 pm to
Here's one showing that Boomers had high intergenerational mobility, on average.

LINK

quote:

This study compares wealth ownership and mobility patterns among baby boomers and their parents to explore whether the baby boomers have fared as well during their working years and whether they will be as secure in retirement as their parents. Cohort comparisons using survey data indicate that baby boomers had accumulated more wealth as young adults than their parents had at a similar age. Estimates from a simulation model reveal that baby boomers had more wealth than their actual same-sex parents at every stage of the life course. The simulation model also reveals that baby boomers were considerably more likely than their actual same-sex parents to experience upward wealth mobility at each point in the life course. These results suggest that speculations that baby boomers may be the first generation to do worse than their parents are misleading.
Posted by TxTiger82
Member since Sep 2004
34329 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

RogerTheShrubber


Long story short, most of the evidence suggests that you're wrong. Not saying that the late 70s weren't hard on the Boomers. But on average, your working lives unfolded during a time of upward mobility. You had it good. Stop talking down to the younger folks who have had it much harder than you ever did.

Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 1:45 pm to
quote:

But on average, your working lives unfolded during a time of upward mobility. You had it good.


People coming of age between 72-82 had it harder than you.

quote:

The 1970s were perhaps the worst decade of most industrialized countries' economic performance since the Great Depression.


And this still holds true today.

You can cherry pick all you want, but you can't change truth.

Now, again.. if you're looking at mid career, you may have a point but most Millennials aren't there yet.
Posted by TxTiger82
Member since Sep 2004
34329 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 1:47 pm to
quote:

People coming of age between 72-82 had it harder than you.



Me: Makes valid point based on evidence.
You: Where's your evidence?
Me: Here's a bunch of evidence in support of my point.
You: Nuh uh, you're wrong.

OK BOOMER.
This post was edited on 4/11/20 at 1:48 pm
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

Me: Makes valid point based on evidence.


Which evidence? All I saw was your opinion.

Inflation, terrorism, war, high unemployment, loss of hundreds of thousands of mfg jobs, incredibly high interest rates.. a 70k house then would cost what a 200k house costs today.

Even NYC was a cesspool.

90s through today are easy living with a couple noticeable bumps.
Posted by GreatLakesTiger24
Member since May 2012
61606 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

A person born in 1960 absolutely had it more difficult right out of school than someone today.

those are zoomers

and coming out of school (which they paid much, much less for) into the reagan economy? sounds awful.
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