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TxTiger82
| Favorite team: | Monmouth |
| Location: | |
| Biography: | |
| Interests: | |
| Occupation: | |
| Number of Posts: | 33935 |
| Registered on: | 9/2/2004 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
Recent Posts
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re: Fresh polling out of Wisconsin
Posted by TxTiger82 on 4/18/24 at 8:05 pm
Not sure why anyone would be surprised by the RFK effect. The guy is an anti-vaxxer and very few self-respecting Democrats would call themselves anti-vaxxers. He's a Trump spoiler, 100%. In fact, this is some of the best evidence of that we have yet. We now that Trump is the net loser when he is on ...
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re: Fresh polling out of Wisconsin
Posted by TxTiger82 on 4/18/24 at 8:01 pm
[quote]What?? You have a link to this?[/quote]
Just look at the numbers. When's he's not included, Trump "leads" by 3. When he is included, the "lead" shrinks to 1.
RFK is taking votes from both Trump and Biden, but he's taking more from Trump than he is from Biden. Enough to move the needle ...
re: Fresh polling out of Wisconsin
Posted by TxTiger82 on 4/18/24 at 7:51 pm
Factor in RFK, Jr. who is clearly siphoning votes from Trump rather than Biden, and you'll get a decisive Biden victory in 2024. ...
re: Fresh polling out of Wisconsin
Posted by TxTiger82 on 4/18/24 at 7:47 pm
[quote]Wisconsin has been the tightest of the swing states for several months. It's all the college liberals in Madison and then the urbanites in Milwaukee.
[/quote]
Demographic shifts since 2020 strongly favor the Democrats. Most of the state has lost population, while the Madison area has grow...
re: Fresh polling out of Wisconsin
Posted by TxTiger82 on 4/18/24 at 7:41 pm
[quote]For likely voters, the sample size is 674, with a margin of error is +/-4.9 percentage points.[/quote]
That's a huge MOE, and it means the poll has no clear leader. ...
re: Does RFK hurt Biden or Trump more?
Posted by TxTiger82 on 4/17/24 at 1:19 pm
100% he’s a spoiler for Trump....
re: Old concept- blood money.
Posted by TxTiger82 on 4/17/24 at 10:25 am
What you're describing is a tribal society, and tribalism is completely incompatible with democracy, which views an individual as an individual rather than a member of some tribe or clan that needs to be paid reparations for any harms against its members.
So no -- terrible idea and quite regressi...
re: Trump's previous substantial lead in RCP polling is now negligible
Posted by TxTiger82 on 4/17/24 at 10:22 am
[quote]What can he do to turn it around and save us from another Biden term?
[/quote]
Ignore the polls and look at actual election results in key battlegrounds since 2020. They have all favored the Democrats. The same will happen in 2024 -- Biden wins going away.
...
re: To what extent would LSU be more prestigious if it were in a safer location?
Posted by TxTiger82 on 4/16/24 at 3:42 pm
[quote]That game has caught up with them and they've slipped back a fair amount, but there are some real improvements that should linger.[/quote]
UA is pretty much done growing at the undergraduate level. They have now turned to the graduate programs in the push to generate more grant revenue. So...
re: Op/Ed by U of CA Professor: Expect financial fallout when the fossil fuel bubble bursts
Posted by TxTiger82 on 4/16/24 at 3:30 pm
[quote]I’m really not sure why so many Americans insist that we remain vulnerable to Arabs for our energy needs.[/quote]
Exactly.
So-called "conservatives" say they value energy independence, but chafe at the possibility of developing a truly independent system.
They say they value indivi...
re: Why hasn't auto insurance come down yet
Posted by TxTiger82 on 4/16/24 at 10:24 am
The more computerized your vehicle, the more costly it is to repair. Insurance passing those costs onto you....
re: Can high speed rail work in the United States?
Posted by TxTiger82 on 4/16/24 at 10:21 am
All true, but what you describe is not different from flying. Renting a car at the airport vs renting a car at major train hub — same difference.
The most pertinent questions are (a) whether trains are faster, more affordable, and less hassle than domestic flights and (b) whether those improvemen...
re: War Room reporting Treasury auctions are not going so well.
Posted by TxTiger82 on 4/16/24 at 10:06 am
The two biggest buyers -- China and the Fed -- aren't buying. (The Fed is actually selling -- that's the definition of QT)....
re: Can high speed rail work in the United States?
Posted by TxTiger82 on 4/16/24 at 10:04 am
[quote]California has proven that whatever the estimates are for HSR, the actual costs are much higher. [/quote]
That's just California red tape. They can't get out of their own way when it comes to building new stuff. ...
re: Can high speed rail work in the United States?
Posted by TxTiger82 on 4/16/24 at 10:02 am
[quote]What does the O-T think of high speed rail being implemented stateside?
[/quote]
Airlines are one of the most subsidized industries in the world, and despite all the public money and in-kind services, the experience of taking even a short flight is fricking horrible. So I'm all for it.
...
re: To what extent would LSU be more prestigious if it were in a safer location?
Posted by TxTiger82 on 4/16/24 at 9:54 am
[quote]Has more to do with F King. He destroyed LSU's academic ranking.[/quote]
The two biggest factors in the USNWR rankings are (1) peer assessment (which is purely reputational ie total BS) and (2) four-year graduation rates.
For some reason, it appears that LSU's graduation rate plummeted...
re: Dean Of Berkeley Law & Law Professor Wife Suddenly Outraged By Behavior Of Fellow Progs…
Posted by TxTiger82 on 4/14/24 at 3:40 pm
Buy the ticket, take the ride.
Maybe time to go back to objective admissions criteria rather than "personal narrative."...
re: A question about Middle-Eastern countries
Posted by TxTiger82 on 4/14/24 at 3:21 pm
[quote]It means "god willing". In reality it means "if allah wanted me to pick up all this trash, he'd make me do it.[/quote]
Funny, I see the exact same attitude here in the American Southeast on a daily basis. Surprising how much these two cultures have in common. ...
re: A question about Middle-Eastern countries
Posted by TxTiger82 on 4/14/24 at 3:18 pm
Specifically Iran?
They developed a case of Dutch Disease, then tried to cure it with central planning by an authoritarian bureaucracy.
Despite these barriers to their development, Iran has GDP and HDI comparable to China's, a GINI coefficient comparable to Australia, and life expectancy onl...
re: Income Tax
Posted by TxTiger82 on 4/10/24 at 5:17 pm
[quote]Gotta pay for all those new IRS agents. [/quote]
Did you miss the part where he said STATE taxes?...
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