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Posted on 7/10/20 at 12:40 pm to 91TIGER
One of my baws got swine flu at 24 and was on vent for 5 days. It was far worse on young healthy people
Posted on 7/10/20 at 12:41 pm to LSUJML
cool, thanks. JBE needs to keep us in phase 2, not sure he can move us backward at this point with school set to start in a few weeks.
Posted on 7/10/20 at 12:41 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Yep and now we are seeing that we overreacted because everybody is popping positive and only 1% or less end up in hospital
If we assume all 2,000+ cases are from today the 70 in the hospital are actually closer to 3% in the hospital. Just playing devils advocate here
Posted on 7/10/20 at 12:42 pm to 91TIGER
quote:
Yep. Can you imagine if they ran stories in the media during the Swine Flu when a couple of young kids died in Lafayette ?
Why didn’t they?
Posted on 7/10/20 at 12:42 pm to Oilfieldbiology
quote:
Why didn’t they?
Barry Soetoro was in charge !
Posted on 7/10/20 at 12:42 pm to KLSU
A second shutdown wont work
Its already everywhere. In the first shutdown people actually stayed home and didnt interact with friends and family. They wont do that this time because the fear is gone. Everybody knows somebody who has tested positive and said it was like a mild cold. If bars close people will just have parties at home.
Its already everywhere. In the first shutdown people actually stayed home and didnt interact with friends and family. They wont do that this time because the fear is gone. Everybody knows somebody who has tested positive and said it was like a mild cold. If bars close people will just have parties at home.
Posted on 7/10/20 at 12:43 pm to LSUGUMBO
FYI, most of your calculations for the percentage increase are off (I only verified this for the ventilator and hospitalization numbers).
You need to divide the number of new cases by the total YESTERDAY. Looks like you divided the number of new cases by the total TODAY. If you fix the numbers, the result is that the percent increase goes up, slightly. Not sure if this is how the other guy has been doing it as well, but if so, then he's been calculating it wrong too.
Example: if you go from 110 vents yesterday to 122 vents today, you have increased by 12 from 110. 12/110 = 10.9%. You have it as 9.8%. That's incorrect.
You need to divide the number of new cases by the total YESTERDAY. Looks like you divided the number of new cases by the total TODAY. If you fix the numbers, the result is that the percent increase goes up, slightly. Not sure if this is how the other guy has been doing it as well, but if so, then he's been calculating it wrong too.
Example: if you go from 110 vents yesterday to 122 vents today, you have increased by 12 from 110. 12/110 = 10.9%. You have it as 9.8%. That's incorrect.
Posted on 7/10/20 at 12:43 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Its already everywhere. In the first shutdown people actually stayed home and didnt interact with friends and family. They wont do that this time because the fear is gone. Everybody knows somebody who has tested positive and said it was like a mild cold. If bars close people will just have parties at home.
You sir are exactly correct.
Posted on 7/10/20 at 12:44 pm to Oilfieldbiology
quote:
If we assume all 2,000+ cases are from today the 70 in the hospital are actually closer to 3% in the hospital. Just playing devils advocate here
Thats not how it works baw.
Need to look at new cases for last month or so plus new hospitalizations last month or so to get a better idea
This post was edited on 7/10/20 at 12:45 pm
Posted on 7/10/20 at 12:44 pm to Cosmo
How many bogus tests are we getting in these numbers?
How do they test entire prisons, etc and everyone has it but everyone is asymptotic. Why are people accepting that?
How do they test entire prisons, etc and everyone has it but everyone is asymptotic. Why are people accepting that?
Posted on 7/10/20 at 12:45 pm to Cosmo
No I know. I really wish they would back date the data/cases to the date of testing or even better the onset of symptoms. But, alas, that is too hard
Posted on 7/10/20 at 12:49 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Its already everywhere
Which is why everything needs to be opened up including nursing homes
I’m single & work from home yet the govt deems me more dangerous to my Grandfather than a CNA that lives in a multigenerational household & works a 2nd job at a grocery store
Posted on 7/10/20 at 1:02 pm to Arimo64
quote:
FYI, most of your calculations for the percentage increase are off (I only verified this for the ventilator and hospitalization numbers).
Noted. Thanks for the correction.
Posted on 7/10/20 at 1:13 pm to LSUGUMBO
Posted on 7/10/20 at 1:15 pm to LSUBoo
July 4th bump. Not unexpected
Posted on 7/10/20 at 1:16 pm to BiggerBear
Yep. Thought you should know
Posted on 7/10/20 at 1:17 pm to RidiculousHype
quote:
1,100 beds may seem scary but remember we were at 2,100 beds in mid-April
And we nowhere near being overrun then either
Posted on 7/10/20 at 1:21 pm to LSUJML
quote:
Which is why everything needs to be opened up including nursing homes
did you mean excluding?
Posted on 7/10/20 at 1:23 pm to LSUGUMBO
(no message)
This post was edited on 9/25/20 at 1:39 am
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