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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - August 7, 2020 Update: 128,746 cases - 4089 deaths - 1,505,002 tested

Posted on 8/7/20 at 1:33 pm to
Posted by boxcarbarney
Above all things, be a man
Member since Jul 2007
27326 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 1:33 pm to
quote:

So seriously, regarding masks, this shite has to stop at some point, right?


Do we even know what benchmark was passed for the masks to be mandated? I imagine they have no clue what opposite benchmark needs to be passed for us to relax restrictions, other than gut feeling/goosebumps/hairs on the back of the neck standing up/Ouija boards.
Posted by treyk89
Member since Oct 2003
2264 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 1:37 pm to
quote:

I keep seeing this yet nothing from the White House or CDC says 5%


Doesn’t mean it hasn’t been discussed. “Near Zero incidence” as listed has always been there for phase 2 and 3 as an overall guide. They do have specific target rates within that.
Posted by danilo
Member since Nov 2008
26364 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

Sasquatch Smash

You good bro?
Posted by tigerskin
Member since Nov 2004
47082 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

You are utterly delusional if you think we go to full Phase 3 in August.


It won’t be full phase 3. Sports will be one thing that benefits from “phase 3”

It is actually a must for high school football to even have a chance
Posted by treyk89
Member since Oct 2003
2264 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 1:42 pm to
quote:

quote: I keep seeing this yet nothing from the White House or CDC says 5%

Doesn’t mean it hasn’t been discussed. “Near Zero incidence” as listed has always been there for phase 2 and 3 as an overall guide. They do have specific target rates within that.


Further more that guidance you listed was issued months ago. States considered red or hot beds have their own goals as advised by the CDC. The downward projections, near zero cases, and less than 10% positivity is a universal recommendation. It gets very specific and in more detail at some state levels. This is widely known and reported; all you have to do is pay attention and do a little research.
Posted by BRIllini07
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2015
3211 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 1:44 pm to
quote:

Do we even know what benchmark was passed for the masks to be mandated? I imagine they have no clue what opposite benchmark needs to be passed for us to relax restrictions, other than gut feeling/goosebumps/hairs on the back of the neck standing up/Ouija boards


Individual parishes can opt out of the mask mandate upon 2 weeks of a case load under 100/100,000.

Effectively - if new cases don't grow by 0.1% of the population over a 2 week period than that Parish can opt out of the mask mandate. No Parish in LA meets that (this is the first screen on the LDH page which is red).

Orleans is pretty close - but obviously Latoya is never going to be less restrictive than the state.
This post was edited on 8/7/20 at 1:45 pm
Posted by LSUJML
Central
Member since May 2008
56855 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 1:49 pm to
quote:

If you want to have more fun, the 2nd derivative of the epi curve looks like it rolls negative - indicating case count was no longer exponentially growing - around July 1st, indicating July 4th didn't have much of an effect either.


It was Memorial Day that did us in



Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
108769 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 1:57 pm to
Some stupid fricks running these states.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40277 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 1:58 pm to
So how do I read the numbers on that slide for vermilion parish? 742,1 is what the 2 week incidence is listed as. ???
Posted by LSUJML
Central
Member since May 2008
56855 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

dude I gave you all the info last week


LINK

quote:

A document prepared for the White House Coronavirus Task Force but not publicized suggests more than a dozen states should revert to more stringent protective measures, limiting social gatherings to 10 people or fewer, closing bars and gyms and asking residents to wear masks at all times.


Who prepared the document? It was prepared for the task force, not by the task force

Why are the % not listed on the CDC or White House reopening guidelines?


The document references the WHO guideline
quote:

In May, the World Health Organization recommended that governments make sure test positivity rates were at 5 percent or lower for 14 days before reopening


Posted by hendersonshands
Univ. of Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Member since Oct 2007
160203 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 2:01 pm to
quote:

She was on KPEL yesterday ... said the same thing.


That’s probably the interview I was talking about. Just listened on the website today.
Posted by Privateer 2007
Member since Jan 2020
7951 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

I think masks work


I know Herd Immunity works.
Posted by treyk89
Member since Oct 2003
2264 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

Who prepared the document? It was prepared for the task force, not by the task force Why are the % not listed on the CDC or White House reopening guidelines? The document references the WHO guideline


So I’m not the only one that’s tried to explain this to you? You are either trolling or slow to understand things. Let it go and just move on.
Posted by questionable
FL
Member since Apr 2008
1293 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 2:09 pm to
quote:

9 (Northershore): July 14


Tha frick is a northershore?
Posted by LSUJML
Central
Member since May 2008
56855 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

slow to understand things. Let it go and just move on.


frick you

I’m pointing out that it’s nowhere referenced on the CDC / WH guidelines
I just asked for a clean link to where this # was coming from & all I have been given was a news article where the only reference to 5% was from the WHO
Posted by shiftworker
LP
Member since Dec 2011
5378 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 2:51 pm to
quote:

How many more weeks of masks?




How many more weeks does Gov Honor Code have as Governor? There’s your answer.
Posted by treyk89
Member since Oct 2003
2264 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 2:59 pm to
quote:

frick you


No thanks. I don’t mess with the mentally disabled.
Posted by Sasquatch Smash
Member since Nov 2007
25964 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 3:09 pm to
quote:

Tha frick is a northershore?



Haha. That was an ugly one.
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86757 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 3:20 pm to
quote:

I’m pointing out that it’s nowhere referenced on the CDC / WH guidelines


because it hasn't been spelled out, it was in a document that they didn't release to public, but was leaked

quote:

I just asked for a clean link to where this # was coming from & all I have been given was a news article where the only reference to 5% was from the WHO


:sigh:

just like I told you last time, if you actually looked into the document, you would see the 5% referenced multiple times when a state was listed as "green"

all you have to do is literally read the first bullet point on the first Alaska page to see the reference

then go to Alabama and see that they are in the "red zone" with a positivity rate of >10%

then go to Arkansas and see that they are in the "yellow zone" with a positivity rate of 5% - 10%

I told you all of this last time
This post was edited on 8/7/20 at 3:25 pm
Posted by hendersonshands
Univ. of Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Member since Oct 2007
160203 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 3:57 pm to
quote:

Dr. Stefanski was on KPEL this morning. Said that Lafayette is still high but every metric is trending down right now.




Just got a chance to look at the graphs, and you can see what she means.

Acadiana's peak for hospitalizations was July 22nd with 304 hospitalized. August 7th is showing 241. A net decrease of 63 people in the hospital over the last 16 days since the peak.



Ventilators are in no danger of being overwhelming but those peaked on July 27th with 58 people on vents. Today's number is 39.



The last day we were given a percent positive number for Lafayette was for the week of July 23rd-29th which was 11.1% which was a decrease from 14.1% for the week prior.


The baws are healing.
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