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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - August 7, 2020 Update: 128,746 cases - 4089 deaths - 1,505,002 tested

Posted on 8/7/20 at 12:31 pm to
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
89448 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 12:31 pm to
quote:

AND we're now at 11 days under 10% positive.



We're not that according to the actual dates of the test... at least that's what LDH says.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
132711 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 12:31 pm to
quote:

I think masks work


They help. But not nearly as much as is advertised
Posted by danilo
Member since Nov 2008
26364 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

They help. But not nearly as much as is advertised

True. Wear a mask AND keep your distance when possible
Posted by A Menace to Sobriety
Member since Jun 2018
32842 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

How many more weeks of masks?


How many weeks until the election?
Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
29174 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

They help. But not nearly as much as is advertised


There is something about the larger scale community behavior which is driving these leading numbers down. The mask mandates is the latest thing which has been imposed statewide. Can you think of what else may be pushing the trends in the positive direction? The trends are getting much better again.
Posted by tigerskin
Member since Nov 2004
47096 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

Wr are going to phase 3 on August 28.


2 weeks after labor day at earliest imo


I say August 28th and do an all out beg for people to behave on Labor Day.

A lot of people want sports now so may be able to convince a lot of the public for just that day.
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

I think masks work


JBE knew the peak was coming. We said it here repeatedly and we don’t even have all the data he does. His “mask mandate” was a well timed move to make it look like he made a difference.

95% of people wearing legitimate masks were wearing them before the mandate. The other 5% after the mandate are wearing an old tshirt over their face that does absolutely nothing.
This post was edited on 8/7/20 at 12:34 pm
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
22286 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 12:34 pm to
quote:

Wr are going to phase 3 on August 28.

quote:

2 weeks after labor day at earliest imo



Think the State would only wait 2 weeks? It appears ldh is giving a 10 day cushion before they claim the cases by collection date are accurate, so at the very least I would think 3-4 weeks after labor day.
Posted by LSUJML
Central
Member since May 2008
56855 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

I think masks help, especially for those that refuse to social distance & do not practice good hygiene


FIFY
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
43563 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 12:35 pm to
It was just the first wave to hit Lafayette and SWLA. The spread dies out on it own.
Posted by Nawlens Gator
louisiana
Member since Sep 2005
5963 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 12:35 pm to


Is it OK to leave the house yet?

Posted by tigerskin
Member since Nov 2004
47096 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 12:36 pm to
I will say something opposite of what we have been told the whole time.


Masks help more for this virus than washing hands
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 12:36 pm to
There was an initial peak around New Orleans.

Then another peak for the rest of the state.

The virus was following its natural course. Separate out New Orleans and look at that curve. It’s no different before and after the mask mandate.
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
22286 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 12:38 pm to
There is no way to prove it, but I noticed that people were getting a lot more comfortable with their social distancing before the mask mandate went into affect. Once the mandate was put out there, people were getting back to the 6' social distancing. It now is starting to appear as if people are getting more comfortable again, and are not as concerned with distancing.

I believe it has more to do with the fear component, and top of mind for people. When JBE put that mask mandate out there, it probably reset a certain level of fear that had more people more cognizant of distancing and personal hygiene.
Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
29174 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 12:38 pm to
quote:

It was just the first wave to hit Lafayette and SWLA. The spread dies out on it own.


That may be. New Orleans and BR were hit hard and then declined. That decline could just be a natural life span of the outbreak or it could be due to behavioral changes in the more seriously affected population. I certainly don't have any data to say one or the other is correct. You may be correct.
Posted by tigerskin
Member since Nov 2004
47096 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 12:40 pm to
But you can also be like New York and keep building on those peaks. Fortunately we didn’t
Posted by LSUJML
Central
Member since May 2008
56855 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 12:41 pm to
quote:

There is something about the larger scale community behavior which is driving these leading numbers down. The mask mandates is the latest thing which has been imposed statewide. Can you think of what else may be pushing the trends in the positive direction? The trends are getting much better again.


quote:

.@LouisianaGov says the federal surge testing meant people who are asymptomatic got a positive result. Estimates show that between 25-40% who are positive for COVID are asymptomatic.


Could it be that it made it to the area, affected those that couldn’t fight the virus & ran through the rest of the community?
Seems like it hits an area then goes away like NY & NO

It’s “back” in my Grandpas nursing home after several weeks of no new cases
The new cases do not require hospitalization
Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
37499 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 12:42 pm to
quote:

I think masks work

I think the mask mandate works because fewer people are out and about, because they won't want to wear the mask. People will stay home, and therefore the spread will decrease.
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

But you can also be like New York and keep building on those peaks. Fortunately we didn’t


That may have more to do with population density and public transportation
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
43563 posts
Posted on 8/7/20 at 12:45 pm to
Delaying the inevitable though.
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