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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - April 3, 2020 Update: 10,297 Cases - 53,645 tested - 370 dead

Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:34 pm to
Posted by BRIllini07
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2015
3211 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:34 pm to
Any word on if the if the hospitals that are testing in-house (OLOL, Oschner) are reporting negatives to the state? Or is just the Quest-like companies and the state lab?
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
38535 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

Thanks for keeping us informed. Your spreadsheet is user friendly and I appreciate the daily updates.




Posted by TigerGrad2011
Member since Aug 2016
1592 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:36 pm to
quote:

how do you know the difference between the two isn't because of the measures being implemented?


How do you know the difference between the two is because of the measures being implemented?

When the numbers flesh out and we have an accurate account of death percentages, age, comorbidities, etc., we will have a clearer picture. I’m not arguing that everyone who is being proactive isn’t helping to some degree, but I’m going to sure as hell ask if the juice was worth the squeeze when this is all said and done.
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
38535 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:36 pm to
quote:

and we thank him for it, because he's more organized than the states website.




quote:

Idk but I hope he continues doing it. Very clean and easy chart to read.


Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
88349 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:36 pm to
quote:


Deaths are probably the closest to temporally correct
I would think hospitalized and ventilators
Posted by Pintail
Member since Nov 2011
12161 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:37 pm to
quote:


I just hope you learn how to differentiate between a preexisting chronic illness versus a highly contagious infectious disease.


Okay then tell me Mr. Knowitall. At what point do we go back? Because with it being that highly contagious, maybe we should wait until not one single person has it.

But lets think that through rationally. If we continue to flatten the curve, and say there are only 10,000 new cases a day, it would take 460 more days for everyone in Louisiana to catch it. At least we can hope by then we will have a cure.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:38 pm to
quote:


I would think hospitalized and ventilators


I would think those are real time numbers
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
88349 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:38 pm to
quote:

How do you know the difference between the two is because of the measures being implemented?
huh? I never made such claim. You're the one who said we should use the comparison to "shove up Honor Code’s arse when this all said and done."
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40269 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:38 pm to
quote:

Honor Code’s


Do we know where his numbers are coming from? I just do NOT see 1000s and 1000s and 1000s of vents being needed.

Also, is anyone utilizing the convention center set up yet? Is it ready to go?
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
38535 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:38 pm to
My gut tells me a lot of these tests are old. I just find it hard to believe that we're seeing 40%+ positive rates with the massive increase in testing capacity.
Posted by Antonio Moss
The South
Member since Mar 2006
49580 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:38 pm to
quote:

People died 4 days ago that haven't gotten their test results back yet..so unless they test positive they arent counted.

Surely some occurred yesterday but not 60


Most accurate does not equal perfectly accurate
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40269 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:40 pm to
Terhe's a spot for state tests and private tests numbers on the ldh website.
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

Anyone with knowledge have a hypothesis as to why the hospitalization and ventilator numbers seem to be coming down? Is treatment working? Seems to me if those numbers continue to decline and this is something easily treatable it could lead to an earlier getting back to normal.


We're likely on the front end of seeing the effects of the stay at home order.

11 days into the stay at home order.

Schools and events have been canceled for 17-23 days.
Posted by Pastalaya
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2012
827 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:41 pm to
same here. Start getting those on vents healthy and freeing up room while quarantining slows new cases.

Hopefully we are building stronger immunity to this thing as well. I heard nurses have taken to calling it "The Beast".
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:41 pm to
quote:

We're likely on the front end of seeing the effects of the stay at home order.

11 days into the stay at home order.

Schools and events have been canceled for 17-23 days.



agreed
Posted by Unknown_Poster
Member since Jun 2013
5758 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

Do you refresh the LDH site every day around 12 so you can update your spreadsheet and be first?

Odd melt, BAW.
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36812 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

Deaths are probably the closest to temporally correct. I would guess the vast majority of those deaths occurred yesterday.



Terrebonne Parish alone reported 7 deaths that happened during the previous 8 days since yesterday's update. I'm sure they aren't the only parish that did so
Posted by TigerGrad2011
Member since Aug 2016
1592 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:54 pm to
I was just asking the opposite of the question you posed to show that we can’t answer this right now in either direction.

The out of beds, out of vents by such and such dates are going to be pretty easy to track and he’s been way off on those already.

The effects of the stay at home orders will only start to be felt in the next week or two on hospitalizations and vents, and while I think his measures have probably helped in those regards. What I disagree with are his scaring of people with his rhetoric and the shutting down business as early as he did. I honestly believe this is political grandstanding at it’s finest with his eye on politics and getting federal money while putting certain desires before the greater good of the people of this state.
Posted by Unknown_Poster
Member since Jun 2013
5758 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:56 pm to
Better to prepare for the worst case scenario than to be sitting there with your dick in your hand and not having enough ventilators.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
88349 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

My gut tells me a lot of these tests are old. I just find it hard to believe that we're seeing 40%+ positive rates with the massive increase in testing capacity.
Yeah, the %pos of last two days are indicative of dump of early tests when test requirents were stricter. At least one would hope so. Maybe one of the vendors was just more delayed than the others.
This post was edited on 4/3/20 at 12:59 pm
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