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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - April 15, 2020 Update: 21,951 Cases - 121,928 tested - 1,103 dead

Posted on 4/15/20 at 12:20 pm to
Posted by Sam4LSU
Member since Aug 2014
142 posts
Posted on 4/15/20 at 12:20 pm to
Many people are still gathering with family. As evidenced by my patients who are still needing tests. On the outpatient side of things- I can assure you that there are MANY recovered and MANY MANY people with mild disease. I think we have achieved our goal and agree we need to start getting people back to work.
Posted by Privateer 2007
Member since Jan 2020
7951 posts
Posted on 4/15/20 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

on a 1-10 scale it's a 4-5 ... measles a 9


What's typical flu?

Aren't you an MD?
Posted by tigerskin
Member since Nov 2004
46992 posts
Posted on 4/15/20 at 12:22 pm to
Very good numbers. Zero reason to not start open up May1
Posted by Bullfrog
Running Through the Wet Grass
Member since Jul 2010
61820 posts
Posted on 4/15/20 at 12:26 pm to
Message from the Governor, this am:
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
179932 posts
Posted on 4/15/20 at 12:27 pm to
COVID LA DEATH FACTS:

Lets get to the bottom of this mother fricker.

CASES: 21951
DEATHS: 1103
Magical Rate of: 5.02%

NOW lets do some liberal Math and i'm going to be super conservative doing so.

Real LA Covid Cases that has actually occured: 250,000 + 21,951 equals 271,951
Real LA Covid deaths truly from Covid from above numbers: 803
Covid LA Deaths that truly occured prior to testing for Covid: 17
Total LA Covid Deaths: 820

Actual Death Rate: 0.301% Not even a third of a %
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
24485 posts
Posted on 4/15/20 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

Many people are still gathering with family. As evidenced by my patients who are still needing tests


I've been staying busy and not holding back seeing friends and family. I haven't been in a group of more than 8-10 in over a month from what I can remember, but groups of 8-10 every other day or more.

But this is good, we don't want cases to drop off completely. That's not the point. We want cases to plateau at a point just under the hospital capacity. Otherwise we are just delaying the inevitable longer and longer until there's a vaccine.
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
16221 posts
Posted on 4/15/20 at 12:28 pm to
These numbers get treated like crawfish prices. No matter what the numbers are somehow they are bad. No matter what the crawfish conditions are the prices are high until Easter.
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
89400 posts
Posted on 4/15/20 at 12:36 pm to
quote:

shite is wall to wall packed.


Considering they limit the amount of customers in the store, that's not exactly possible
Posted by uscpuke
Member since Jan 2004
6378 posts
Posted on 4/15/20 at 12:38 pm to
quote:

So about a week until we beat Katrina death numbers

Flu beats it every year
This post was edited on 4/15/20 at 12:41 pm
Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
29151 posts
Posted on 4/15/20 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

All I see from these number and trends is that if the state doesn’t open back up on 5/1 it will be complete and utter bullshite.


It's starting to look like the scheduled expiration of the present orders at the end of April is just about right, and maybe a couple days on the over-safe side. It would be premature to open up today, with only a couple days of positive trend, but if the positive trend continues for another week, it would certainly no longer be premature.

I'll try to get some indication from my sauces in EBR as to the end game on these orders.
Posted by Mahootney
Lovin' My German Footprint
Member since Sep 2008
12179 posts
Posted on 4/15/20 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

Don’t think about yourself, think about others
He should listen to his own advice!
Killing small businesses, draining what little savings some people did have, and all updated models project much, much lower mortality risk.
Maybe, just maybe, jbe can try to crawl out of the economic cellar for a change.
Posted by shawnlsu
Member since Nov 2011
23682 posts
Posted on 4/15/20 at 1:03 pm to
quote:

People that are still getting tested, where the frick are they picking this virus up at??
Everything is closed

6 year olds gotta have their play dates, Baw!

ETA: La is going to open at the end of the month no matter what JBE says.
This post was edited on 4/15/20 at 1:05 pm
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
33900 posts
Posted on 4/15/20 at 1:07 pm to
Can anyone explain to me why were are at 90 deaths?

We had just 21 in the last 24 hours and were projected about 30-45 deaths. Is JBE backtracking again like they did yesterday?
Posted by Shaun176
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
3180 posts
Posted on 4/15/20 at 1:13 pm to
quote:

Can anyone explain to me why were are at 90 deaths? 



They are adding in a bunch of deaths over the last 2 weeks that were presumptive Wuhan virus deaths.
Posted by Shaun176
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
3180 posts
Posted on 4/15/20 at 1:22 pm to
quote:

1,320 COVID cases have been reported among residents of nursing homes


That is about 5% of nursing home residents in Louisiana with confirmed cases.

Nursing homes patients aren't going to stores, picking up take out, or going to work in essential jobs.

If 5% of the general public has had it, that's 250 000 cases in Louisiana.
Posted by leftovergumbo
Member since May 2018
579 posts
Posted on 4/15/20 at 1:45 pm to
quote:

deaths down


Unless you know voodoo, deaths ain't going down
Posted by bnb9433
Member since Jan 2015
14867 posts
Posted on 4/15/20 at 1:46 pm to
Posted by crewdepoo
Hogwarts
Member since Jan 2015
11131 posts
Posted on 4/15/20 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

Flu beats it every year
Fake news. Flu kills an average of 778 people in Louisiana per year
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
132688 posts
Posted on 4/15/20 at 2:10 pm to
Typical seasonal flu probably 3-4
Posted by Methuselah
On da Riva
Member since Jan 2005
23350 posts
Posted on 4/15/20 at 2:17 pm to
Hospitalizations down two days in a row is a great sign. Vents going down a lot of days recently is excellent too.
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