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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - April 13, 2020 Update: 21,016 Cases - 108,091 tested - 884 dead

Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:39 pm to
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:39 pm to
quote:

OK I Forgot about your rolling averages


This is why I do the rolling averages...otherwise the charts would look like this:

Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11843 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:42 pm to
quote:

My nursing home has I believe 5 positive residents


You own a nursing home and don’t know exact numbers?
Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
29151 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:42 pm to
quote:

I think we are past the peak but that's with all the measures in place. I still think April 30 is a good time to start pulling the measures back, but not before then.


Reasonable and I agree.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40262 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:44 pm to
I work there as a contract employee and an now having to work from home.

And no, the owner probably doesn’t know — he owns a shitload of them
This post was edited on 4/13/20 at 12:45 pm
Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
39424 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:46 pm to
Do you work by the one near Maxi Mart?

ETA - let me see if the girl I mentioned earlier is taking house calls for women. It was an easy fix for me
This post was edited on 4/13/20 at 12:48 pm
Posted by Methuselah
On da Riva
Member since Jan 2005
23350 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

- Increase (or decrease) in hospital bed usage.
- Increase (or decrease) in ventilation usage.


OK. So if hospital bed usage are at their high point thus far, but they increased less this week than last week, it would show a downward line?

Nothing wrong with that method of course. I'm just personally more interested in finding out total number of beds being used and how it compares to past periods and how that line looks.
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 1:17 pm to
quote:

OK. So if hospital bed usage are at their high point thus far, but they increased less this week than last week, it would show a downward line?

Nothing wrong with that method of course. I'm just personally more interested in finding out total number of beds being used and how it compares to past periods and how that line looks.


Yeah. Good point. I can add it to the chart starting tomorrow.

Posted by danilo
Member since Nov 2008
26347 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 1:42 pm to
I don’t think these provide great value
1. You can make thing look good if the projections are off enough
2. Since that projected skews scale of the graph, difficult to get a good sense of actual
Posted by LSUJML
Central
Member since May 2008
56852 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 1:54 pm to
Tiger91


WBRZ story about nursing homes, 201 deaths

There’s also a list of facilities with clusters of the virus, I’m curious to know how many cases make a cluster
This post was edited on 4/13/20 at 2:02 pm
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
184649 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 1:54 pm to
Has anyone pointed out that your "% increase" is pretty useless because as the total number grows the percentage increase is going to shrink even if the total is the exact same number for several days in a row?

In other words, say we have 300 new cases every day for 5 days then % increase on day 5 will be the lowest of those 5 days because of the running total even though technically there hasn't been a decrease.

Am I wrong?

Posted by Tigerpaw123
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2007
17921 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 1:59 pm to
quote:

I’m curious to know how many cases make a cluster


I think I remember 2

quote:

A cluster means two or more cases that appear to be connected.


And they stopped naming the homes with clusters, strong NH lobby in LA
This post was edited on 4/13/20 at 2:01 pm
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216684 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 2:00 pm to
STFU.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40262 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 2:01 pm to
I want to say it’s two from what I remember reading at LDH site. Will see if I can find again.

ETA that article says a cluster is two or more that appear to be connected (ie I’m assuming same nurse, cna, they’re in the same room).
This post was edited on 4/13/20 at 2:03 pm
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40262 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 2:03 pm to
And that list is outdated — I’m in region 4 and there are none listed. Definitely wrong.
Posted by LSUJML
Central
Member since May 2008
56852 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 2:03 pm to
quote:

And they stopped naming the homes with clusters, strong NH lobby in LA


They are listed in the WBRZ story
I applaud them for publishing the names since the state won’t

ETA
Well crap

It’s wrong that they are publishing the names of the facilities
I guess it is up up to family members to call & ask
This post was edited on 4/13/20 at 2:07 pm
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40262 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 2:04 pm to
See my post above.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40262 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 2:05 pm to
Nope. Not in Vermilion parish.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40262 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 2:05 pm to
I’ll just keep rocking my ponytail on days I don’t want to deal with washing/drying. Drying is the issue!
Posted by TigerDeacon
West Monroe, LA
Member since Sep 2003
29900 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 2:15 pm to
quote:

Has anyone pointed out that your "% increase" is pretty useless because as the total number grows the percentage increase is going to shrink even if the total is the exact same number for several days in a row?

In other words, say we have 300 new cases every day for 5 days then % increase on day 5 will be the lowest of those 5 days because of the running total even though technically there hasn't been a decrease.

Am I wrong?


Useless unless you were expecting exponential growth, i.e. each new case infecting 2 or more people.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
88346 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 2:33 pm to
quote:

Has anyone pointed out that your "% increase" is pretty useless because as the total number grows the percentage increase is going to shrink even if the total is the exact same number for several days in a row?

In other words, say we have 300 new cases every day for 5 days then % increase on day 5 will be the lowest of those 5 days because of the running total even though technically there hasn't been a decrease.

Am I wrong?
It's used that way to capture potential exponential growth.
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