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re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update

Posted on 8/26/20 at 11:32 pm to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75203 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 11:32 pm to
Eric Webb agrees:

quote:

As others have alluded to this dropsonde in the northern eyewall of #Laura is nuts. After adjusting the winds for gusting, bringing them down to the sfc, & considering undersampling, this supports sustained winds of ~135 kts (155 mph). #Laura is nearly a category 5 hurricane LINK
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
477231 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 11:32 pm to
quote:

Depends too in that area what road you on, cause like bank street, that shite turns into a river. But west of st Louis usually holds up decent and I would think you will be ok, but gonna be very close.


this makes me feel better b/c during Ike there was barely any water on the ground but 2 blocks away people were on jet skis in the road

my mom's house is also on piers. 1' to the outside siding and probably 3' to the flooring
Posted by lsu777
Lake Charles
Member since Jan 2004
38079 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 11:32 pm to
quote:

is this thing heading slightly west of LC or am i missing something


Very slightly to the west and will put LC area in the eastern eye wall the whole time, worse case scenario.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43457 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 11:32 pm to
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15770 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 11:32 pm to
most of lake charles still has power incredibly
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 11:32 pm to
quote:

163 MPH at the surface this time. It's going to get an upgrade to Cat 5 at midnight if I had to guess...


The problem is that could be a gust. There's a correction they do with the sonde data and I'm not sure that supports a 160 mph upgrade.

155 mph maybe...
This post was edited on 8/26/20 at 11:34 pm
Posted by CobraCommander83
Member since Feb 2017
12477 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 11:33 pm to
I’m surprised Lake Charles still have power by watching Brett’s feed.
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
64517 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 11:33 pm to
quote:

Did she just say river forecasts don’t account for rainfall? That seems like a major flaw


IIRC they only include the next 48 hours of forecasted rainfall
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43457 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 11:33 pm to
quote:

What they getting? The dumb weather channel app only shows 68 right now which isn’t believable


There's 123mph readings to the left and 150+ to the right.

edit: this is about 2k ft up though.
This post was edited on 8/26/20 at 11:34 pm
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14312 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 11:34 pm to
gusting to 89 mph now at Calcasieu Pass sustained of 57
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 11:34 pm to
quote:

That's a lot more believable than the first one.

And just looking at radar and IR, the northern eyewall is probably the strongest part.


Radar out of KLIX gives a little better view of the eastern eyewall.



It’s strong as hell, just can’t see the damn thing because of how impressive the northern eyewall is.
Posted by BeeFense5
Kenner
Member since Jul 2010
42472 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 11:34 pm to
quote:

There's 123mph readings to the left and 150+ to the right.

edit: this is about 2k ft up though.



My god
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 11:34 pm to
quote:

It’s strong as hell, just can’t see the damn thing because of how impressive the northern eyewall is.


Safe to just assume the entire eyewall is fricking impressive right?
Posted by Tigerfan1274
Member since May 2019
4691 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 11:34 pm to
quote:

gusting to 89 mph now at Calcasieu Pass sustained of 57


Where you getting this info? TIA.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14312 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 11:35 pm to
quote:

I’m surprised Lake Charles still have power by watching Brett’s feed.


It won't be much longer before it's lost. The winds are only 30 to 40 maybe gusting to 50 so far.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
477231 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 11:35 pm to
quote:

Safe to just assume the entire eyewall is fricking impressive right?

oh man i may be about to lose 90% of what i own and have my mom's house destroyed, but i do appreciate that snap back
Posted by BeeFense5
Kenner
Member since Jul 2010
42472 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 11:35 pm to
quote:

It’s strong as hell, just can’t see the damn thing because of how impressive the northern eyewall is.


I feel like an idiot because I don’t know what this means and why that is the case
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 11:36 pm to
quote:

The problem is that could be a gust. There's a correction they do with the sonde data and I'm not sure that supports a 160 mph upgrade.

155 mph maybe...


They also leave some room for error for the fact they don’t sample the highest winds, statistically. It’ll be close. The numbers are there if they want to pull the trigger.
Posted by lsu777
Lake Charles
Member since Jan 2004
38079 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 11:36 pm to
quote:

I'd love to see a feed from the Cameron courthouse right now


Wont exist in about ~hour or so. Crazy velo numbers coming that way.


Na courthouse has survived Audrey with this high of winds, Rita and Ike. It will still be there. Dunno if anything else will be.
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33509 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 11:36 pm to
Stu

quote:

It's about to get real on the Louisiana coast -- the northern eyewall of #Laura is starting to move onshore


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