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re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update

Posted on 8/17/20 at 9:53 am to
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
129674 posts
Posted on 8/17/20 at 9:53 am to
quote:

The Canadian Ensembles by in large take it on a Florida Strait passage which never bodes well for the Northern GOM:


Straight to NOLA of course


Posted by PhillyTiger90
Member since Dec 2015
11670 posts
Posted on 8/17/20 at 9:53 am to
Laura/Marco/Nana are the next 3 names in line

If 98L turns into Marco that looks like a real bad hombre
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
129674 posts
Posted on 8/17/20 at 9:54 am to
Marco is a solid name

Nana is a grandma
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
104454 posts
Posted on 8/17/20 at 9:55 am to
quote:

Nana


As long as they don't use Meemaw as a name. I couldn't handle that.
Posted by lsumailman61
Gulf Shores
Member since Oct 2006
7944 posts
Posted on 8/17/20 at 10:08 am to
Me Maw would hit Alabama dead on as a Cat 5
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
49286 posts
Posted on 8/17/20 at 10:11 am to
My kids call my mom "nana". A Hurricane Nana would come in here rough as hell, spend all my dad's money on bullshite, and forget where she's going the entire time.
Posted by Python
Member since May 2008
6600 posts
Posted on 8/17/20 at 10:35 am to
I’ll take a Nana. A storm with no teeth to it sounds good.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216201 posts
Posted on 8/17/20 at 10:41 am to
Hurricane Camille hit the Miss coast on this date as a cat 5 monster that killed at least 256 people and destroyed miles and miles of land as it came through....

With a 22 ft. Tidal surge.....:whoa:
Posted by PhillyTiger90
Member since Dec 2015
11670 posts
Posted on 8/17/20 at 10:52 am to
Gotta be honest I saw your username and panicked

But yes a sad anniversary indeed :(
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146596 posts
Posted on 8/17/20 at 10:54 am to
quote:

I’ll take a Nana. A storm with no teeth to it sounds good.

fun fact... the NHC only used women's names for storms from the time they started naming storms in 1954 until 1978 (NEPAC basin) and 1979 (Atlantic basin)
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
39951 posts
Posted on 8/17/20 at 10:54 am to
quote:

GfS has 98L entering gulf as a major hurricane and hitting Texas



Isn’t the GFS always the one that has it as a major storm 10 days out
Posted by PhillyTiger90
Member since Dec 2015
11670 posts
Posted on 8/17/20 at 11:00 am to
Isn’t there some sort of weird theory that average death tolls are higher in woman named storms compared to men named because people are less afraid? Thought I heard that somewhere but don’t know the research behind it
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51121 posts
Posted on 8/17/20 at 11:07 am to
James Spann had a good, fairly simple write up on the tropical situation this morning:

quote:

TROPICS: Tropical storms Kyle and Josephine dissipated over the weekend with no impact to land. But, now NHC is monitoring two tropical waves in the MDR (main development region) of the Atlantic basin, and both are expected to develop.

One wave is located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic well to the south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands, and is producing a large area of cloudiness and disorganized showers. The wave is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph during the next few days, and environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for the development of a tropical depression during the middle-to-latter part of this week while the system moves across the central tropical Atlantic.

The other one, now Invest 97L, is fast-moving tropical wave located about 400 miles east of the Windward Islands continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. This disturbance is expected to move westward at about 20 mph during the next few days, and that fast forward speed is likely to limit significant development while the system approaches the Windward and southern Leeward Islands today, and moves across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea tomorrow and Wednesday. After that time, however, the system is expected to move more slowly westward across the western Caribbean Sea, where upper-level winds could become more conducive for the development of a tropical depression during the latter part of this week. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected over portions of the Windward and southern Leeward Islands beginning this evening through Tuesday morning.

Model guidance suggests 97L will ultimately enter the Gulf of Mexico at some point over the coming weekend, but it is way too early to know the final destination, or intensity. Simply something to watch for now. But, it sure looks like the Atlantic basin is about to come alive as we head into the peak of the hurricane season.

There are NO tropical issues in the Gulf of Mexico this week (through Friday).
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21063 posts
Posted on 8/17/20 at 11:19 am to
quote:

is fast-moving tropical wave


Good point by Spann. In fact, both waves are faster moving than normal. That might be one of the reasons the models are slow to develop them.
Posted by OldSouth
Folsom, LA
Member since Oct 2011
10993 posts
Posted on 8/17/20 at 11:38 am to
quote:

GfS has 98L entering gulf as a major hurricane and hitting Texas




Now it’s hitting Lafayette on the 12Z run.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
13816 posts
Posted on 8/17/20 at 11:40 am to
Not a good track on this GFS run, but it is 8 days out and the low level center of the system is not yet developed. Subject to change as always...

Posted by whoa
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
5856 posts
Posted on 8/17/20 at 11:42 am to
Is this 3 separate storms we’re looking at?
Posted by LSU5508
New Orleans
Member since Nov 2007
3756 posts
Posted on 8/17/20 at 11:50 am to
quote:

GfS has 98L entering gulf as a major hurricane and hitting Texas


Correct me if i'm wrong but 1002 mb is not even a hurricane correct?
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43225 posts
Posted on 8/17/20 at 11:50 am to
That is 97L right?
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1935 posts
Posted on 8/17/20 at 11:50 am to
Newest Canadian model shows a double whammy coming for the GOM next week. Buckle up boys


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