re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update

I understand people not wanting to leave for a storm. It is awful.

Assuming they make it through unscathed, the worst part of the whole ordeal is the aftermath.

We waited a week before coming back to Abita after Katrina. It was like living in a bizzaro world. It was almost a month before we had power. We lost so many trees it took a week of three of us with chainsaws sun up to sun down to clear them. I remember laying on the bare tile because it was the only way to escape the heat.

frick all that.

2005 was bad. Dennis Rita Katrina and a few others

NWS needs to get rid of the 1-5 categorical rating system.

All that's needed is Hurricane and Major Hurricane.

Then maybe people would stfu with all of this "OMGZ WILL IT BE A CAT 5?!?!?!?!" bullshite.

It doesn't fricking matter. Florence (Cat 1) killed more people than Michael (Cat 5). But it was "only a Cat 1 no big deal..."

/endrant

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Brett Adair is live.

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Is that the guy with the floating truck in the Mexico beach stream?

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We waited a week before coming back to Abita after Katrina. It was like living in a bizzaro world

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Same here man. We went to Ferriday. Came back and I just remember the smell of freshly cut pine trees and the change in the tree line, especially starting at dogpound rd at hwy 59.

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Brett Adair is live.

Is that the guy with the floating truck in the Mexico beach stream?

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Yes it is

Meh...there’s a good system—mandatory evacuations. If you don’t listen to those then you won’t listen to any type of “rating system”

Jeff the Blue Shed storm chaser
Did an update from Vinton's Sonic, said he's most likely going to LC.
He's building up chemical plant fires in Port Arthur and flooding issues

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If it comes in at a 5, how the hell did the wiff so badly on the strength? I mean, that can endanger lives. people who stay thinking it will be a 3, trusting the reports, get stuck in the path of a 5.

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We often get too caught up in intensity models. They are non-exact, ever-evolving, and potentially flawed programs. While they are a great guide, paying attention to the overall setup for a storm is just as, if not more important, than following models religiously.

The great meteorologists will tell you this. They have experience in knowing what to look for that will lead to major development. You cannot ignore that gut when it is based on years of experience in the field.

A good example of this is the folks who took what the HWRF and HMON was showing several days ago, overlayed it with the current environment that the system would be moving into, and started warning of the potential for a major, strengthening system in the Gulf. FYI, Mark Sudduth was one who did this. He was insistent, days ago, that this system had the potential to be a major hurricane. He, unfortunately, was right.

Sonic.... Wonder if he just got done checking knuckles..