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re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update

Posted on 8/26/20 at 12:48 pm to
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 12:48 pm to
Manson Gulf?
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
42316 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 12:49 pm to
When is the last time y’all have seen a storm upgrade from a TS to a Cat 4 in less than 36 hours? I mean hell, wasn’t it a TS yesterday?
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51776 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 12:49 pm to
Well, she only needs 17mph more in her sustained winds to be a Cat. 5.
Posted by DomincDecoco
RIP Ronnie fights Thoth’s loafers
Member since Oct 2018
11941 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 12:49 pm to
Live cam at I10 and bridge
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75308 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

Gustav maxed out right before it went over the Isle of Youth and Cuba which really disrupted its core then the Gulf wasn't primed for it. The wind shear and dry air were tough. It was hard to follow the 08 season as close without power for much of it but it just wasn't a good year for conditions in the Gulf.

Laura actually benefited from only being a disorganized TS during its time passing over/near Cuba. Crazy to think that had it been a hurricane there, it would have weakened, and would be trying to reorganize now.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

Slack- since you are in MC would be happy to buy you breakfast at The Galley or wherever once this shite passes.


Dinner at Cafe Jo Jo’s?
Posted by tigahfan747
New Orleans
Member since Oct 2017
1892 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 12:49 pm to
Cat 4. Could grow to a Cat 5. God Bless those folks
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
42316 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

Surely tech has improved tremendously in nearly 20 years.


You would think.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43466 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 12:50 pm to
Dumb question here...

I know people make fun of the I-10 bridge in LC, but are we concerned about this surviving the NE Q of Laura?
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14318 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 12:50 pm to
Approx. 122 knot SFMR and 128 knots flight level

Wow

Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 12:50 pm to


quote:

DISCUSSION...Convective band associated with Hurricane Laura is
currently moving northward into far southern LA. Storms within the
band are generally moving northwestward, with shallow,
short-duration/pulse-like updrafts thus far. Additionally, northward
motion of the entire band suggests predominantly outflow-dominant
storm structures. Given the strength of the low-level wind fields,
some of these outflows could produce 40-50 kt gusts.

Low-level kinematic environment will continue to improve across the
region as Laura approaches. Current LIX VAD profiles and recent
mesoanalysis suggest around 20-25 kt of 0-1 km bulk shear and
100-150 m2/s2 of 0-1 km storm-relative helicity are already in place
across the region. Gradual strengthening is anticipated over the
next few hours, particularly as the stronger low to mid-level flow
moves over the region, lengthening the hodographs.

Modest thermodynamics are in place, suggesting storms will continue
to develop on the outflow, but the overall kinematic environment
does not appear overly supportive of tornadogenesis on a large
scale. Even so, given the strengthening of the low-level wind fields
that is anticipated, trends will be monitored closely and a watch
will be needed later this afternoon.
This post was edited on 8/26/20 at 12:51 pm
Posted by MikeD
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2004
8457 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

The red and white oaks in oak hills are always falling. It seems like they are worse than the water oaks


Hope not. Got a big red oak in our yard.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75308 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

I wonder if 5 is now on the table?

Hell, it appears to have no ceiling right now. As Duke said, hoping for the start of an EWRC just as it starts its final approach is the best bet for weakening or at least leveling off. That, and the shallower water, but it is plenty warm and Laura is moving fast.
Posted by Pedro
Geaux Hawks
Member since Jul 2008
39197 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 12:51 pm to
I dont think thats a dumb question at all. I imagine its going to make it through fine but i imagine that has to be a valid concern
Posted by Tyga Woods
South Central Jupiter Island, FL
Member since Sep 2016
42316 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

Live cam at I10 and bridge

frick driving over that POS right now
Posted by BeepNode
Lafayette
Member since Feb 2014
10005 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 12:52 pm to
So, is it about to get bad in Baton Rouge?
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51776 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

I wonder if 5 is now on the table?

I won’t say that it is super likely, but I don’t think anything can be taken off the table at this point.

Maybe Laura will do what Michael did and strengthen up to landfall.
This post was edited on 8/26/20 at 12:53 pm
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53888 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 12:52 pm to
Never seen the TWC with this storm surge map showing individual streets, buildings hotels.
They showed L'auberge, Golden Nugget, City Hall downtown buildings and neighborhoods
wow
This post was edited on 8/26/20 at 12:57 pm
Posted by BradC
Smith Lake
Member since Feb 2019
334 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

DomincDecoco


Link to the live cam
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177410 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

Dumb question here... I know people make fun of the I-10 bridge in LC, but are we concerned about this surviving the NE Q of Laura?

As long as no one’s on it and it doesn’t fall on anyone that wouldn’t be the worst thing in the world. Then they’d be forced to replace it instead of farting in the wind and telling us they’ll replace it 20 years from now when it needed to be replaced 60 years ago.
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