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Started By
Message
re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:18 pm to HTOWNTIGER1
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:18 pm to HTOWNTIGER1
quote:
HTOWNTIGER1
I know someone who won't be getting any rice in their Christmas stocking.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:18 pm to DhanTigers212
quote:
It’s 2020 I wouldn’t be surprised if this sucker hits right in the middle of Louisiana. Just been that kind of year lol.
Careful... I said basically this about 100 pages ago and was booed off stage....
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:18 pm to DVinBR
quote:
i don't know what to think anymore since marco was projected to be a landfalling hurricane that turned into hardly anything because it got sheared apart that wasn't shown in earlier projections
Exactly and now the “experts” tell us to trust the models for Laura but when you look at what’s happening at this moment with Laura, it’s showing a more northwest track
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:19 pm to HTOWNTIGER1
Time to start placing bets on how the track shifts at 4 pm. Time to listen to those gut feelings.


Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:20 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
GEAUXmedic
When is the next major update, and what is the update you think is that's gonna really nail the track down?
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:20 pm to NorthEndZone
HRRR mesoscale model is a little east of the global and hurricane models. This is just one possibility that one of the experts like Rds or Duke could maybe explain why it is not a main model for tropical weather.


Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:20 pm to Impotent Waffle
My prediction was Vermillion Bay Cat 3.
They were mean to me.
They were mean to me.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:20 pm to tiger91
quote:
Is that premium membership a real thing?????
Sure is. Just Venmo me @gmail.com. I can get you in for a small initiation fee.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:20 pm to The Boat
quote:
Time to start placing bets on how the track shifts at 4 pm.
East closer to Lake Charles but no further than 10 miles east of Lake Charles.
This post was edited on 8/25/20 at 3:23 pm
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:21 pm to Festus
quote:
When is the next major update, and what is the update you think is that's gonna really nail the track down?
4pm, hopefully 10pm.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:22 pm to The Boat
Johnson. Bayou.
This post was edited on 8/25/20 at 3:22 pm
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:22 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
4pm, hopefully 10pm.
Appreciate you.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:23 pm to Festus
I just got a call from the Governor, informing me there's a hurricane on the way.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:23 pm to Swagga
80 miles is huge. I saw during Katrina what a difference of damage 20 miles had
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:24 pm to TigerNAtux
quote:
My prediction was Vermillion Bay Cat 3.
They were mean to me.
I am here for ya, baw.. They are ruthless fricks
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:24 pm to jimbeam
quote:
Johnson. Bayou.
Damn that would frick some shite up in Hackberry....
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:25 pm to NorthEndZone
quote:
This is just one possibility that one of the experts like Rds or Duke could maybe explain why it is not a main model for tropical weather.
Convective allowing models do funky things with tropical systems because of the schemes they use to depict the impact of convection (how this works is more complicated than this thread needs).
Depending on the scheme, you can get some crazy shite like the 3kNAM.
What they are good for in tropical systems is checking rainfall and seeing if they start throwing up big numbers. The NAM first and HRRR soon after starting throwing out biblical numbers on Harvey as an example.
But they aren't going to nail you track and intensity. It's why we made hurricane specific models.
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