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Posted on 8/25/20 at 9:00 am to OysterPoBoy
frick off
Posted on 8/25/20 at 9:00 am to thejudge
quote:
So I booked two rooms in Alexandria. Someone here tell me that was a good move.
Give me some confidence!
Probably okay, but might lose power nonetheless. It's hard for me to give a vote of confidence to an evacuation to a place that would probably lose power on the current path, but it's better than LC for now.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 9:01 am to GRTiger
What a story!
Posted on 8/25/20 at 9:01 am to GRTiger
quote:
My wife was 38 weeks pregnant during Harvey (third kid.) I think I was freaking out at the thought of having to deliver my child in the tub more than she was about anything. Still remember the overwhelming feeling of relief after the storm passed and I did a test run to the hospital to make sure the roads were clear. Pulled into the parking lot and broke down
Ohh Lord. I can only imagine the stress monster my wife and her Mom would be in that scenario. We would love an excuse to have our first born be actually born in Louisiana (like us), so we'd probably evacuate to Louisiana
mine is currently in the easy going symptom less stage of her 2nd trimester. Bad enough we have to deal with the added precautions of COVID and being pregnant, doing that during Harvey would be hell.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 9:01 am to Klark Kent
Another trail on the NW side that I ride is White Oak Trail. That one will take you all the way to downtown. It's not as scenic as Spring Creek Greenway but it's still a good trail.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 9:01 am to lsut2005
quote:
Any chance this shifts east, or will any future shifts be western? I know nothing is a given.
Future shifts can be in any direction, but something like a Vermillion Bay landfall is almost certainly off the table now.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 9:02 am to Impotent Waffle
quote:
Rita was worse in BR than Katrina. Do we have similar experience from Laura?
That's what happens when you're on the right side of the eye
Posted on 8/25/20 at 9:02 am to loopback
quote:
What can we expect to see in Lafayette? Besides a bunch of New Iberia haircuts and truck nuts
From what I understand.
Bouts of heavy rain and TS wind gust. Overall should be not too bad in that area. I am no professional though
Posted on 8/25/20 at 9:02 am to OysterPoBoy
quote:
Can we keep these weather threads a little more on the serious side?
It’s raining in Central
Posted on 8/25/20 at 9:02 am to rds dc
anyone know how many miles TS force winds extend eastward from the center of laura?
Posted on 8/25/20 at 9:03 am to DVinBR
175 miles from the center
Posted on 8/25/20 at 9:03 am to Impotent Waffle
It seems like New Orleans is going to get mostly rain from this, which is fine. Will be a nice test for S&WB and their recent claims.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 9:04 am to DVinBR
I’ve seen this story so many times.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 9:04 am to Klark Kent
quote:
nice. we love the area. we'll probably move further north in a few years tho to avoid the inevitable creep north from 1960. shame tho, i bet this area was a great place to raise kids in the 80's/90's/early 2000's.
If you want to see a good example of that check out the Lanier Theological Library.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 9:04 am to redstick13
quote:
Another trail on the NW side that I ride is White Oak Trail. That one will take you all the way to downtown. It's not as scenic as Spring Creek Greenway but it's still a good trail.
we used to live off 43rd street North of 610, so i've been on it a few times. I had no idea it extended this far North tho. I would always only go South to downtown and back to our area.
quote:
If you want to see a good example of that check out the Lanier Theological Library.
my wife taught at Klein Forrest High the last 4 years. (Now at York Junior High). It's amazing how you can go from million dollar mini mansions in that area to Plank Rd esque ghetto 5-6 blocks later. This post was edited on 8/25/20 at 9:10 am
Posted on 8/25/20 at 9:06 am to DVinBR
Finally looked at the models this morning they look to be zero'd in. Probably not going to see anything other than minor shifts with little over 40+ hours until landfall. Obviously those shifts will make a difference for someone. Good luck all.
This post was edited on 8/25/20 at 9:07 am
Posted on 8/25/20 at 9:07 am to OysterPoBoy
quote:
It scared people in New Orleans and isn't that what it's really all about anyway?
I was told by my sister there was a run on the money machines and supermarkets in Houston last Saturday. If that thing shifts a little more to the west there's going to be another Rita run out of Houston.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 9:07 am to deuce985
Nick Mikulas
quote:
Hurricane Laura continues to chug along quickly across the Gulf of Mexico, with steady strengthening underway. The official forecast now calls for Laura to become a category 3 hurricane at landfall, and that landfall still looks like a southwest Louisiana, or upper Texas coast issue. Models have trended slightly west overnight, which would move the core of the worst sustained wind to our western parishes, but with a large, and strong circulation, there will be plenty of issues across the area. Here’s how I see things happening.
First off, it looks like we will see scattered storms this afternoon as moisture increases across the area. This will be enhanced by the leftover energy from Marco. Look for some briefly gusty wind, and heavy rain from these. This is most certainly not the main show. Laura could bring outer bands to the area as soon as Wednesday afternoon, with the main event really ramping up after midnight Wednesday night into Thursday morning. The peak impacts in our area should be from 3:00 AM until 3:00 PM Thursday. There is still some track discrepancy, which will always be the case, but the most likely landfall point will be between Cameron Parish, and roughly 50 miles east of Houston. So we are honing in on a general area, and the morning models should give us a good idea of which side of that fairly narrow corridor has the best chance at seeing a direct hit. After landfall, Laura will move north, then northeast, which will keep us in the moist inflow through Friday. The window for really rough stuff will be about 12 hours, but bands of rain will impact the area off and on through Friday at the very least, with chances for rain not directly tied to Laura still pretty high through the weekend. I’ll make my first attempt to go parish by parish based on the current forecast path and strength. These numbers are just a guide, and you should plan on the higher end of the forecast, just so you can be prepared for a worst case scenario.
Rapides… Peak gusts 50-75 mph 4-8 inches of rain
Vernon… Peak gusts 60-90 mph 4-8 inches of rain
Grant… Peak gusts 40-70 mph 4-8 inches of rain
Avoyelles… Peak gusts 40-60 mph 3-7 inches of rain
Sabine… Peak gusts 50-80 mph 4-8 inches of rain
Natchitoches… Peak gusts 45-70 mph 4-8 inches of rain
Winn… Peak gusts 40-60 mph 3-7 inches of rain
LaSalle… Peak gusts 40-60 mph 3-7 inches of rain
Catahoula… Peak gusts 35-55 mph 3-6 inches of rain
Concordia… Peak gusts 35-55 mph 3-6 inches of rain
Beauregard… Peak gusts 70-95 mph 4-8 inches of rain
Allen… Peak gusts 60-85 mph 4-8 inches of rain
Evangeline… Peak gusts 50-70 mph 3-7 inches of rain
St. Landry… Peak gusts 40-65 mph 3-7 inches of rain
These are somewhat similar to Rita type numbers, and future forecast track changes will have an influence on these. A track further west, will pull numbers down a bit, and track further east will bump them up. Obviously the strength of the storm will also change things, but this is my first stab at it. This should give you a general idea. There will also probably be a few bands of 10+ inches of rain mixed in where storms train over the same area for several hours. Power outages will be possible areawide, but the general trend would be that the worst of this will be west of I 49. With the landfall forecast to be a bit farther west, there will be the potential for scattered tornadoes across the entire area that will be very difficult to warn, as they form very quickly in a landfalling tropical storm. So pay attention to radar, and any warnings as things will change quickly. I’ll post the updated NHC track when they release it at 10:00.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 9:07 am to Klark Kent
quote:
we used to live off 43rd street North of 610, so i've been on it a few times. I had no idea it extended this far North tho. I would always only go South to downtown and back to our area.
You can park where White Oak Bayou intersects Alabonson Rd. Be warned, that area is sketchy but the parking lot is safe during the day.
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