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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Posted on 6/13/24 at 4:23 pm to
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16272 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 4:23 pm to
With Wagner's march to Moscow we saw what happens when Putin feels threatened, he hides like the little man he actually is.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42835 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 4:25 pm to
Specifically, what does this agreement do that the Budapest Acords did not do?
Posted by RuLSU
Chicago, IL
Member since Nov 2007
8131 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 4:31 pm to
quote:

I think the effort Russia put into defenses before the hyped Ukrainian counter-offensive points to the second one being true. I don't think you make that level of investment in securing the lines coupled with not really launching any huge offensives yourself unless you're prepared to really grind this out.

Totally agree on this point: they drew a line on the map and proceeded to defend it to the death. The level of defensive effort they put up was tremendous.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
30783 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 4:37 pm to
Mick Wallace loses election in Ireland for the MEP seat following Clare Daly a couple of days ago. They were considered Russia's best friends in the EU Parliament.


The Irish Times
Posted by ticklechain
Forgotten coast
Member since Mar 2018
834 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 4:42 pm to
How are their replacements? Not friendly?
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3985 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 4:44 pm to
quote:

Specifically, what does this agreement do that the Budapest Acords did not do?


Not include Russia?
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42835 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 4:46 pm to
quote:

Not include Russia?


Or the UK. Does it modify our obligations from the Budapest Accords? That’s what I want to know.
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3985 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 4:53 pm to
quote:

quote:
Not include Russia?


Or the UK. Does it modify our obligations from the Budapest Accords? That’s what I want to know.


I would say that all went out the window when Putin just ignored it with "I never signed that, that was somebody else so it doesn't matter" and Obama just kind of shrugged it off and did little things behind the scenes to kind of help Ukraine but publically just said "Ukraine is just not important to us..." when Putin snatched Crimea.
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3985 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 5:27 pm to
though part of Obama's thing was that he thought the Iran non-nuke deal was vastly more important and he needed Putin for that...

Trump scrapped that deal... there's not one in place, and while Iran probably won't develop nukes on their own any time soon... who knows if Russia will hep them, but does Russia even have anybody who knows what they're doing in that area, anymore?
Posted by LSU7096
Member since May 2004
3031 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 5:50 pm to
You suffer from TDS.

Trump provided more thank blankets and 1st aid supplies to Ukraine when in office.

He likely would have approved a weapons free ROE for Ukrainians with our aide. No make them fight handicapped for 2+ years.

Too many neocon and libs in this thread with alternate versions of history and fantasy about what big bag orange will do. Look at what he did to aid them.
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3985 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 5:59 pm to
If I suffer from TDS, the leaders of the Western World do, too...
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
21083 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 6:02 pm to
Breaking Defense has a new article up on Ukraine receiving Mirage 2000 jets from France.

quote:

The Dassault aircraft would potentially be the second western fighter aircraft to be flown by Ukraine’s armed forces, joining US-made F-16s donated by Denmark, Belgium, Norway and the Netherlands, with the first batch of jets expected to arrive sometime this summer.
quote:

In operating both types of aircraft, the Ukrainian Air Force (PSU) would be mirroring the force structure of Greece, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt and Taiwan — all of which also have the two models in their inventories. Like Ukraine, Greece had no advanced combat aircraft in its air force prior to acquiring the F-16 and Mirage 2000 but purchased both in the same year as part of a dual-tracked modernization plan.


Why did Ukraine change its mind and ask France for these jets, when they had previously indicated that they wanted the simplicity of just F-16s for now?

quote:

“While I believe there is risk for Ukraine to take on a second fighter, I also believe I understand why they are doing it,” he told the publication via his Signal channel. “The Biden administration has slow-rolled F-16 delivery to the point that Zelensky is fed up and willing to assume the risk associated with standing up a second Western fighter jet capability.”


Read the full story to see specifically how Ukraine might use the Mirage. They discuss:

1) Mirage would likely serve as an escort for the Saab AWACS planes, and linking with their radar could make the Mirage a fearsome air-to-air platform.

2) Mirage is more challenging for enemy radar to detect, so it can fire SCALP missiles closer to the front lines than Ukraine's Su-24s.

The article also gets into some of the challenges.
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
21083 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 6:11 pm to
Working as crew for an S-300 or S-400 unit, especially in Crimea, is rather a risky job these days.

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Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
27062 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 6:12 pm to
quote:

Apparently, Crimea is too vulnerable and expensive to maintain having to ship things around to the Kerch bridge, which is why Putin has always wanted "a land bridge" directly down to it through the Donbas... I would think shipping things down the Sea of Azov would be cheap, so maybe that's just an excuse to invade?



Crimea is about 93 miles by 200 miles. If they were at peace, supply wouldn't be hard at all by bridge and by ship. If they were at peace.
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
21083 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 6:18 pm to
We have not provided Ukraine with as much aid as we have claimed.

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Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3985 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 6:28 pm to
are we going to make up the difference? Or do we just readjust the amount we claimed to have given them?
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
140079 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 6:29 pm to
quote:

You need to let all the Russians in line at the Russian banks that their money is safe.
You miss my point, or at least deflect from it. I couldn't care less about Russians in line. It's happened to them before. LSURussian speaks brilliantly to that. My concern is Americans in the same situation. We've leveraged/weaponized the USD in very dangerous ways.

Translation: If you as an "independent" nation don't toe the United States' line, we will confiscate your financial resources
Posted by OleVaught14
Member since Jun 2019
12044 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 6:31 pm to
quote:

Translation: If you as an "independent" nation invade another sovereign nation and threaten world peace, the world will confiscate your financial resources
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
140079 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 6:55 pm to
quote:

Translation: If you as an "independent" nation invade another sovereign nation and threaten world peace, the world will confiscate your financial resources

... signed Iraq?
... signed Afghanistan?
... signed Libya?
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
21083 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 7:02 pm to
quote:

are we going to make up the difference? Or do we just readjust the amount we claimed to have given them?


I don't have the time to read the full report and analyze when the various equipment was donated and under which specific authority. Some of the spending authority for some of the older stuff has expired, so I feel sure that some of it cannot be made up with additional donations.
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