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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Posted on 6/13/24 at 1:52 pm to
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3985 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 1:52 pm to
Gifted article, everyone can read

New York Times: "Biden Signs 10-Year Pact to Aid Ukraine's Military"

Biden and Zelensky just signed this in Italy on worldwide TV...

This locks us in... so, if Trump breaks it, he will diminish global confidence in the US.

As someone just said "one thing you have to give Biden in this... he is 'Trump-proofing' US aid to Ukraine, instead of making it an election issue. He's tried to insure it happens even if he loses, instead of campaigning on 'if you want this you have to vote for me.' That is certainly not how Trump is handling anything is it?'"
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3985 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 2:00 pm to
But to be clear, the security agreement is really just a PR thing and a political tool... Trump could easily break it... but it is there for him to have to officially break.
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3985 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 2:02 pm to
So it would be like that peace deal Johnson supposedly broke up that gets mentioned here every two days as a big betrayal, or that NATO oath to not expand eastward... except actually an officially signed thing.
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8484 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 2:03 pm to
quote:

Biden and Zelensky just signed this in Italy on worldwide TV...

This locks us in... so, if Trump breaks it, he will diminish global confidence in the US.

As someone just said "one thing you have to give Biden in this... he is 'Trump-proofing' US aid to Ukraine, instead of making it an election issue. He's tried to insure it happens even if he loses, instead of campaigning on 'if you want this you have to vote for me.' That is certainly not how Trump is handling anything is it?'"


Anti-democratic.

We are months from an election. Let people vote on what we should do in regards to Ukraine.
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3985 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 2:13 pm to
quote:

Anti-democratic.

We are months from an election. Let people vote on what we should do in regards to Ukraine.


So what are the sides as it stands... who should you vote for to continue or discontinue support to Ukraine based on their stated policies?

Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
30783 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 2:13 pm to
quote:

Anti-democratic.

We are months from an election. Let people vote on what we should do in regards to Ukraine.


Where does this stop? 6 months from election, a year, two? It is one thing to argue about a lame duck after a lost election but trying to prevent governance (whether you like it or not) months before an election is anti-democratic along with other pejoratives.
Posted by OleVaught14
Member since Jun 2019
12044 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 2:14 pm to
quote:

Let people vote on what we should do in regards to Ukraine.


The US did vote for an overarching policy decision maker and elected Biden over Trump. Biden now gets to rule for his full 4 year term, just as Trump will get to make decisions for a full 4 year term if elected in November.
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3985 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 2:14 pm to
If you want the security deal to stand, you vote for Biden, I guess.

WHo do you vote for if you don't want the aid to continue?
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16272 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 2:46 pm to
Basically a promise not actually binding without being a treaty passed by the Senate
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8484 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

Where does this stop? 6 months from election, a year, two? It is one thing to argue about a lame duck after a lost election but trying to prevent governance (whether you like it or not) months before an election is anti-democratic along with other pejoratives.


I think when one party rams through a Supreme Court justice that will serve for decades months before an election, its anti democratic no matter which party does it.

If you make a 10 year, multi-billion dollar (if not Trillion dollar) decision less than 6 months until an election, that to me is anti-democratic.

We can use common sense here. No one is saying to not govern. I'm saying don't make long term decisions right before the people get to have a say. In fact, he did it when he did it SPECIFICALLY to at least attempt to lock us in regardless of the election results. There is a clear difference there.
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8484 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 2:58 pm to
quote:

So what are the sides as it stands... who should you vote for to continue or discontinue support to Ukraine based on their stated policies?



I think we will see once Trump gets put on the spot about his position in the debates, which will undoubtedly happen.
Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
14954 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 3:22 pm to
quote:

Biden and Zelensky just signed this in Italy on worldwide TV...

This locks us in... so, if Trump breaks it, he will diminish global confidence in the US.


this is not a binding treaty....only congress can ratify a treaty....
Posted by bigjoe1
Member since Jan 2024
1974 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 3:23 pm to
LINK Hungary agrees not to veto NATO support for Ukraine

As long as they don't have to participate
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3985 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 3:31 pm to
quote:

Basically a promise not actually binding without being a treaty passed by the Senate


Yep.

Zelensky, when asked about whether he thought this would mean anything if there was another American President instead said "The American people support Ukraine, and we are very thankful for that support, so it doesn't matter who the President is... if the American people support us, the support will continue!"
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3985 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 3:34 pm to
quote:

this is not a binding treaty....only congress can ratify a treaty....


optics.

Again, every day here someone brings up something someone with no power mentioned once in a meeting discussing something as a binding thing that was broken... this is levels beyond that, for optics
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8484 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 3:41 pm to
quote:

it doesn't matter who the President is... if the American people support us, the support will continue!"




Supporting and being willing to continuously write checks for the next 10 years are two separate things.

I support the Florida Panthers beating the Edmonton Oilers in the Stanley Cup, but I'm not buying a jersey.
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
27062 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 4:04 pm to
My guess is:

I think Trump will use a carrot and a big stick to deal with Putin and his gang.

The carrot might be something like an independent Crimea allowing Russia to keep its naval base as a lease if they withdraw from the rest of Ukraine. The big stick won't be Biden's trickle, trickle of arms for Ukraine, but a decisive move that can route Putin's army and air force.
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3985 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 4:12 pm to
quote:

My guess is:

I think Trump will use a carrot and a big stick to deal with Putin and his gang.

The carrot might be something like an independent Crimea allowing Russia to keep its naval base as a lease if they withdraw from the rest of Ukraine. The big stick won't be Biden's trickle, trickle of arms for Ukraine, but a decisive move that can route Putin's army and air force.


And Ukraine and Europe/NATO will never trust Putin to honor his agreement and not just just attack again...
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3985 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 4:19 pm to
Apparently, Crimea is too vulnerable and expensive to maintain having to ship things around to the Kerch bridge, which is why Putin has always wanted "a land bridge" directly down to it through the Donbas... I would think shipping things down the Sea of Azov would be cheap, so maybe that's just an excuse to invade?

He also keeps threatening the same for Kaliningrad through Lithuania...
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
27062 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

And Ukraine and Europe/NATO will never trust Putin to honor his agreement and not just just attack again..


At that stage he will have a gun to his head or a chance to save face. Putin can't be trusted as long as he thinks he has the upper hand.
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