re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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Is this confirmed? Seems like a bit much.

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Day eight of war in Eastern Europe. The Ukrainian air force seems to have mustered whatever it can to hit the convoy NW of Kyiv. There are also reports that Uke Special Forces have raided Hostomel Airfield, presumed deep behind Russian lines. Things seem to be faring well for the Ukrainians in that sector where they also launched a counteroffensive yesterday in the direction of Makariv west of Kyiv. But I'm not convinced the Russians are completely moribund in that sector. Something is up... perhaps Maskirovka, or battlefield deception. The Russians are masters at it, soldiers sleeping on the ground and eating expired rations notwithstanding.

I've seen enough indiscriminate heavy shelling of Mariupol, Kharkiv and Irpin (W of Kyiv) to know that civilian casualties are growing well in excess of what can be timely and accurately reported. The Ukrainians, as they grow desperate themselves, will dig into civilian structures. But they are mindful to evacuate civilians from structures they fortify, unlike the Taliban or ISIS. Still, heavy weapons and artillery will always cause collateral damage when trying to dig out urban defenders.

There are reports the Russians are now running low on stocks of precision guided munitions. They are going to have to resort to iron bombs and cluster munitions more and more often, which will also cause plenty of collateral damage. It will also cause an increase in flight sorties, meaning the aerial battle could be nearing a climax. There are reports that the Russians are even planning to use old crop dusters to fly as decoys (Maskirovka) to suppress Ukrainian air defenses, which remain strong. In fact, Ukrainian air defenses are half of why the Russians have not attained air superiority. The other reason is that the Russian air force has been holding back, using small strike groups with precision munitions. That is going to change. The air war will grow in intensity.

Belarussian forces are reportedly massing on their border with Western Ukraine. They may possibly open a new front to attack towards Lutsk and Lviv, a vital sector needed to secure supply lines from Poland into Ukraine. Whatever "Gru" Lukashenko is up to, it is nothing but a vassal and lackey for Putin. Other former Soviet vassals are also reportedly shifting major forces by rail to destinations unknown, namely Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan. Meanwhile Macron got nowhere with Putin today in a lengthy call. The Ukrainian and Russian delegations agreed to open humanitarian corridors through agreed upon ceasefires. That is good and well, but that will clog roads with refugees, preventing ease of operational movements of the Ukrainian Army through the rear areas, and giving the Russian the respite to resupply. It works in Russia's favor.

What I'm interest in hearing tomorrow is if rumors are true that Putin intends to declare martial law across Russia, as Ukrainian intelligence suggests. Wilder rumors than that is that he will declare mandatory conscription. I won't know what to think about that if it happens. It is too fraught to consider right now.

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What's the cliffnotes on the nuclear thing? Been away the last 4 hours

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GOOD NEWS - The fire at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power station broke out IN A TRAINING BUILDING outside the plant's perimeter, the state emergency service said in a statement

Separately, the plant's director told Ukraine 24 TV radiation security had been secured at the site.

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What's the cliffnotes on the nuclear thing? Been away the last 4 hours

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we need to move the tactical nukes to poland and bordering Nato allie’s now if not already done, use the Navy to seize all Russian Yachts all over the world, and the billions of dollars worth of Russian real estate in miami etc

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He’s just trying to get us into the biggest war since WWII. Hopefully he’s primaried and voted out.

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Dipshit Adam Kizinger just reissued his call for a no-fly zone

The entire country came down on him, I assumed he'd fade into oblivion

These neocons are just not finding traction so far, hope it stays that way

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He's not running again, which is probably part of the reason he feels he has license to do this

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