re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

British Defence Intelligence
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 25 February 2024

At the outset of the war with Ukraine in February 2022, the Russian Navy (RFN) maintained the freedom to manoeuvre throughout the entirety of the Black Sea, most significantly in the north-west. Following Ukraine's success in employing asymmetric alternatives to its lack of a traditional navy (various guided missiles and uncrewed vessels), the RFN has been repeatedly forced to reassess its appetite for risk. Ukraine has continued to push Russian threat perception to new highs through combined strike activities on land and at sea, forcing Black Sea Fleet (BSF) units to relocate their main operating areas to the eastern Black Sea.

The ongoing success of Ukrainian attacks has persistently forced the BSF onto the back foot, with recent events such as the sinking of the TARANTUL III-class 'IVANOVETS' and ROPUCHA-class 'CAESAR KUNIKOV' leading to the dismissal of the second BSF commander since the war began. Despite Russia's continued ability to strike Ukraine using vessels in the relative safety of the eastern Black Sea, it is increasingly evident that the defensive posture adopted to mitigate against Ukraine's non-conventional approach to maritime warfare is not working as intended.

At a strategic level, Ukraine's approach has denied Russia the ability to interfere with its maritime trade routes. Since the collapse of the Black Sea Grain Initiative (BSGI), Ukraine's momentum has allowed it to dominate the western Black Sea. This has resulted in an increase in its exports via the unilateral Humanitarian Corridor, delivering higher trade volumes than under the BSGI, putting them on par with pre-war levels.

Surprised he's not on your side then

Nice deflection.

From his page on NewAmerica

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His other books include The Moral Animal (Pantheon, 1994), which the New York Times Book Review named one of the ten best books of the year, and Nonzero (Pantheon, 2000), which Bill Clinton called “astonishing” and instructed White House staff members to read.

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Wright argues that as complexity in human society increases, the ability to reap "non-zero-sum gains" increases. For example, electronic communications enable trade at a global level, and allow various societies to trade in items they could not produce or obtain otherwise, resulting in benefits for everyone: new goods. Similarly, global governments allow global solutions to common problems. Were aliens to attack, or the Arctic glaciers to melt, the world would be able to use its communicative technologies to band societies together and defend itself at large. In fact, this view of the world as an organic entity itself is touched upon in the penultimate chapter of the book, and is similar to that of Gaia theory.

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This guy is literally funded by Bill Gates, lauded by the Clintons, and writes books about global governments.

And Winston calls us the globalist cabal

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Trump is the closest thing to a Manchurian candidate I have ever seen in my lifetime. He will do whatever Putin tells him to do period

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So the guy who’s lived his life and built a fortune and status over doing what he wants, his way, and already had a term where he did the exact opposite of what the majority of world leaders wanted, is going to just do what Putin wants?

Makes sense

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and built a fortune

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lol

The NY Times from last week

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The Pentagon puts the Russian death toll at about 60,000, with the wounded three or four times that, totaling roughly 300,000 casualties, said a U.S. official speaking on the condition of anonymity.

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LINK

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So the guy who’s lived his life and built a fortune and status over doing what he wants, his way, and already had a term where he did the exact opposite of what the majority of world leaders wanted, is going to just do what Putin wants?

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I voted 3rd-party in the last two presidential elections, and I am not going to vote for Trump this year either, but I really don't agree with the "Putin stooge" assessment of him. I don't know how Trump would treat Ukraine in 2025 if he were to win.

Trump generally operates from instinct rather than a fixed set of principles, and support of Ukraine is extremely popular among the general public, and Trump often adopts popular views on critical issues.

MAGA may dislike Zelensky because of the role that he (unintentionally) played in the first impeachment, but I don't believe that Trump harbors any real dislike for him.

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No it isn't.

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Maybe in your circle of friends and associations, but the opposite is true. What even splits your circle is if the border was secure, then it support for Ukraine would be a non issue

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We all know Gates supports Ukraine so that talking point is rather a dud, innit?

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The article you posted was entirely based on “guilt by association”. The point here is assessing any issue based off who is for/against it is retarded. Gates funded this guy and he writes about one-world governments, but your entire schtick is fighting the globalist cabal.

Assess each situation separately. I wish the world was as simple as you seem to portend, but it’s not.