re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Ukraine Situation Report: Naval Strike Missiles May Be Headed To Ukraine

Ukraine could be in line to receive the Kongsberg Naval Strike Missile, or NSM, from Polish stocks, with reports in the Polish media suggesting that talks between the two countries about a possible transfer of these coastal defense systems are underway.

A report on the Defence24.pl website says that negotiations are at an advanced stage. The NSM would provide Ukraine with a powerful ability to attack both naval and land targets at distances of over 124 miles.

The War Zone

ISW Update

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Key Takeaways:

Ukrainian forces reportedly conducted counteroffensive operations in six sectors of the front on July 2 and made gains in some of these areas

Russian forces conducted another series of drone and missile strikes targeting southern Ukraine and Kyiv on July 2.

The Russian MoD’s conflict with the milblogger community over a trivial combat operation may indicate that the Russian military command does not think it has any other successes to report to Putin amidst the ongoing Ukrainian counteroffensive.

The Russian MoD’s attempt to overstate a potential tactical Russian victory near the Antonivsky Bridge and its efforts to restrict opposing information has backfired.

Putin continues to face the choice of either siding with the Russian MoD to defend its weakened reputation or maintaining his support among pro-war ultranationalist milbloggers and their patronage networks.

Russian and Ukrainian forces continued to engage in positional battles along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna frontline.

Ukrainian and Russian forces continued to conduct limited ground attacks around Bakhmut and along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line.

Ukrainian forces reportedly conducted limited offensive operations in western Donetsk Oblast and have advanced as of July 2.

Russian sources claimed that Russian and Ukrainian forces conducted limited offensive operations in the western Donetsk-eastern Zaporizhia oblasts border area.

Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces maintain limited positions in east (left) bank Kherson Oblast near the Antonivsky Bridge as of July 2.

Kremlin Spokesperson Dmitry Peskov stated that Russian officials plan to create regional centers for the development of drones in Nizhny Novgorod as well as in occupied Sevastopol, Crimea, and Mariupol, Donetsk Oblast.

Ukrainian and Belarusian sources reported that Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko and other Belarusian officials and citizens are actively involved in the deportation of Ukrainian children from occupied territories to Belarus.

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The broken record has moved to Twitter:

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And there's a market for that crap, because there are lots of people who want to believe lies. Igor Shusko is the Ukrainian equivalent.

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And there's a market for that crap, because there are lots of people who want to believe lies. Igor Shusko is the Ukrainian equivalent.

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I found it hilarious when I logged into twitter for the first time yesterday and Elon Musk was the first suggestion in both of "interesting people" and "people to follow" and Igor Shusko, for whatever reason, was second.

British Defence Intelligence
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 3 July 2023

On 29 June 2023, Ukrainian authorities reported that, under emergency legislation,139,000 citizens have been evacuated from the combat zones in the Ukrainian controlled areas of the Donetsk, Kharkiv and Kherson regions since July 2022.

This is just one part of Ukraine's ongoing broader crisis of displacement. The UN estimates 6.3 million Ukrainians remain refugees, and over five million internally displaced.

With a pre-war population of 44 million, a quarter of Ukrainians remain forced from their homes as a result of Russia's invasion.

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The authorities of Rostov estimated the damage to the city from the Wagner PMC at 92.5 million rubles

This assessment was announced by the head of the city administration Alexei Logvinenko to the publication "RBC Rostov". According to him, the damage to the road sector is estimated at 28.8 million rubles, the remaining 63.7 million rubles will be spent on the restoration of specialized municipal equipment.

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LINK

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A fuel depot damaged during Wagner's mutiny last month is visible in new satellite imagery of Russia.

This damage occurred when a Wagner-operated air defense system engaged a Russian helicopter in the city of Voronezh.

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LINK

A flamethrower drone, reportedly able to shoot up to several metres with 100 second of firing time.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z3_eEO0Cvwg&t=3s

Thoughts on whether this could have an application in Ukraine?

Burning out trenches or setting forested areas on fire to create confusion/panic/cover are mine, but the limited firing range and likely slow speed due to shape/payload would make it quite easy to target.

Edit: Fixed link

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Douglas Macgregor

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I'd be interested to know how much money Russia paid this clown and/or what business interests he has there.

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The Russian MoD’s conflict with the milblogger community over a trivial combat operation may indicate that the Russian military command does not think it has any other successes to report to Putin amidst the ongoing Ukrainian counteroffensive.

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Can anyone shed any light on what this is about?